CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 looks like the 0c line is from ORH ne toward 495 scott or am i reading that right Yeah but like I said earlier, models are not the best with 2m temps and will tend to predict temps that are too high over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yeah but like I said earlier, models are not the best with 2m temps and will tend to predict temps that are two high over the interior. Oh he was referring to the sfc temps...i thought he was referring to the 850 0C line. Sfc temps are not very good on the models.It had been showing some upper 20s almost to BOS on previous runs, so there's certainly a cold signal there for sfc tmeps, but they will def change a bit each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Oh he was referring to the sfc temps...i thought he was referring to the 850 0C line. Sfc temps are not very good on the models. He might have..lol. I assumed he was, but you clarified it I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yeah euro to me looks like a 6-12 kinda deal for northern CT to BOS Interesting, with nearly 1.5+ Qpf in NE Ct, small warm layer and tremendous VV's and if Bufkit is right good snowgrowth. Seems low but I know thats how you do it, increment up. If the Euro/GFS pan out 12-18 is in site for NCT and is there is any meso-enhancement from banding 20 inch totals are not unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 thanks guys for feedback....and the maps i really like what i'm seeing just dont like that it seems like it was pushed back another 4 hours or so. geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 looks like the surface 0Cf line is from ORH ne toward 495 scott or am i reading that right Yellow = 1540 gpm 850-700 mb thickness 850 - 700 mb Thickness 1,525 gpm -Subfreezing layer 1,540 gpm All precip types possible 1,555 gpm Complete melting in layer Source Dashed blue is the 0c 850 which stays south of BOS and much of the region for most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 The blue dashed line is the 850 0C line, not the yellow line. The yello wline is the 850-700 thickness where you might start thinking about sleet. But sleet is likely a bit SE of that line in this setup . Are you feeling any differently than you were this AM about the sleet making it to Northern Ct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Interesting, with nearly 1.5+ Qpf in NE Ct, small warm layer and tremendous VV's and if Bufkit is right good snowgrowth. Seems low but I know thats how you do it, increment up. If the Euro/GFS pan out 12-18 is in site for NCT and is there is any meso-enhancement from banding 20 inch totals are not unreasonable. Still worried about pingers. If it was a colder system I'd feel more comfortable saying 12"+ for some areas. Euro verbatim gets pingers here but we'll see. Could trend colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Are you feeling any differently than you were this AM about the sleet making it to Northern Ct? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Are you feeling any differently than you were this AM about the sleet making it to Northern Ct? I feel a bit better to be honest. I was worried the Euro would jam this thing over the Cape and really torch us in mid levels lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I feel a bit better to be honest. I was worried the Euro would jam this thing over the Cape and really torch us in mid levels lol. Looks like we're still walking the line..but hopefully dynamics can overcome any sneaky sneaky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Thanks to Scooter, just awesome thank you, click to aniamate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Enjoy another snowstorm NE. This is gonna be a record January for some sites over there I'd guess. I haven't commented much lately over here on this sub forum given the apparent fringe yet again out here. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 SREFS over the BM or a tad SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 HAH Give me all that qpf with a little sleet and I'm in. Are you feeling any differently than you were this AM about the sleet making it to Northern Ct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I haven't seen Euro QPF for BOS anywhere. Can someone throw me a bone? And then translate it it to approximate total snowfall? Let me rephrase this: How much for Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 SREFs are bombing the low as it goes over the BM...pretty ideal for most of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 HAH Give me all that qpf with a little sleet and I'm in. Yeah 12-18 with an inch of sleet mixed in is nothing but good. Can't go worng there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 18z NAM isn't doing the dig dance it was near NM/Mexico earlier, should be more reasonable this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Let me rephrase this: How much for Boston? Euro is like 1.70 or 1.75" of qpf for BOS almost all snow, maybe a few pingers at the height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Let me rephrase this: How much for Boston? 1.5-1.75 qpf crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Euro is like 1.70 or 1.75" of qpf for BOS almost all snow, maybe a few pingers at the height. I have a hard time with BOS not getting sleet if we do in CT..Doesn't seem logical though I guess it can happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Well lets see what the nam is going to do for 18z almost time to roll..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 SREFs are bombing the low as it goes over the BM...pretty ideal for most of the area. Even for S NH? Or should we be worried about SE trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Thicknesses at all levels really crash as the storm gets going.. 15z SREF's def. colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I have a hard time with BOS not getting sleet if we do in CT..Doesn't seem logical though I guess it can happen I think BOS gets some sleet too on the Euro. I have to think theres a sneaky warm layer above 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I have a hard time with BOS no getting sleet if we do in CT..Doesn't seem logical though I guess it can happen It's more of a north/south ping fest delineation as opposed to west/east early on the way it goes. Kind of weird, yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Try again thanks Scooter click to animate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 still very conserned of a bust on good snows for PVD metro and half of the PVD-BOS corridor, anyone want to brighten my day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Scott, Thanks for throwing up the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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