ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nice stripe of 1-3 or 2-4" from the clipper on weekend via the Euro...not directly related to this storm threat, but thought I would throw that out there as almost a tack-on to this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 It's amazing the difference is in snowcover, from GHG to PYM. I saw it yesterday. Plymouth must be a disaster. I have 10" solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 While I have your attention and since you are an aviation guy, how does Logan do in these situations? Jet Blue leaving Buf at 6:25pm due to Logan before 8. It will depend on the airline. It's possible they will limit volume in and out of the terminal at that point, which means canceled flights. Since it may not be terribly bad at 8pm, hopefully you can sneak your flight in. If you can, perhaps try an earlier flight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 OK so the Euro gives me a 10-15 inch storm, nice. Looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nice stripe of 1-3 or 2-4" from the clipper on weekend via the Euro...not directly related to this storm threat, but thought I would throw that out there as almost a tack-on to this storm. That's been trending south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rboarderi Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GFS Bufkit for KGON shows it starting as rain and turning into a serious thump. 12.4" snow in 3hrs. 110126/1800Z 54 04013KT 32.2F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.075|| 0.07 0.05|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 17| 18| 64 110126/2100Z 57 04017KT 32.2F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.114|| 0.19 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110127/0000Z 60 04024KT 32.5F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.193|| 0.38 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110127/0300Z 63 02024KT 32.5F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.205|| 0.59 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110127/0600Z 66 35025KT 29.3F SNOW 13:1|12.4||12.4 0.945|| 1.53 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110127/0900Z 69 35024KT 28.2F SNOW 9:1| 1.8||14.3 0.205|| 1.74 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110127/1200Z 72 32016KT 28.6F SNOW 8:1| 0.2||14.5 0.024|| 1.76 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110127/1500Z 75 31014KT 28.0F SNOW 7:1| 0.1||14.5 0.008|| 1.77 0.00|| 0.05 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 I saw that too, hopefully its true, that would be nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This run actually slowed it a hair more....it did not speed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 That's been trending south as well. If it trends any further south, it might do a little redevelop stunt S of LI like the last one did that gave us 4-8"....the 5h looks pretty good for that already to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 You don't want the snow? Ahem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 The consensus of all the 12z guidance is pretty amazing outside of the NAM....which has been a disaster thus far in tracking this storm. 60-72 hours, can't ask for too much more. 12z OP runs and all 12z global ensembles....pending Euro ensembles which I expect to not shift much at all as they haven't in the last 2 days Yep, there's been no NW shift this time, it's been hanging around the BM with the GGEM and GFS being a bit west/NW but the GFS probably shouldn't have run the low where it did based on the 5h anyway. I do - it's a concern because it did well with a few recent events and it is disconcerting that it can't handle this - if that comes to pass. Same here. By all the logic in the previous events it should have done better here, but we're not even on the same planet at 5h which is what differentiates this from the last few. Here's the sea smoke freezing spray from this am. Boats in the basin were banging off the ice. Only the 2nd time I've seen this here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I saw that too, hopefully its true, that would be nice! Yep, wouldn't mind if it started out like that as long as we get nice a thump after it changes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 That's been trending south as well. GFS also has it. Love insult-to-injury systems... especially on a weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nice stripe of 1-3 or 2-4" from the clipper on weekend via the Euro...not directly related to this storm threat, but thought I would throw that out there as almost a tack-on to this storm. And during the GTG...lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I don't mean to sound apocalyptic but this has the potential to basically cripple alot of the area if it happens as currently depicted. I don't know what some of BOS and the immediate suburbs would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nice stripe of 1-3 or 2-4" from the clipper on weekend via the Euro...not directly related to this storm threat, but thought I would throw that out there as almost a tack-on to this storm. Any tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Plymouth must be a disaster. I have 10" solid. Very thin now, I have a some bare spots, what was leftover from the other day just sublimated in some areas but again it's been mostly solid snow cover here for a month and that just doesn't happen this close to the ocean near the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Any tomorrow? About an inch...there could be 2" somewhere N of the pike or into S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 your basically straddling the 1 inch line you are in good shape, no mix worries. though i suppose if it shifts further SE then you could be in trouble cause the cuttof is sharp as a tack. still, my money is on this shifting a touch back NW as per usual. Mike is in a great spot.....I'm still legitimately concerned about this trending a hair more west, than I'd like.....obviously with each tic se a I feel a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks about right. I'm going to hold you to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I don't mean to sound apocalyptic but this has the potential to basically cripple alot of the area if it happens as currently depicted. I don't know what some of BOS and the immediate suburbs would do. Who cares????? Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nice stripe of 1-3 or 2-4" from the clipper on weekend via the Euro...not directly related to this storm threat, but thought I would throw that out there as almost a tack-on to this storm. Saturday or Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kutskova Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 love this site, very informative. any idea on precip type in nw rhode island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Saturday or Sunday? Clipper is Saturday afternoon into Sat evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 love this site, very informative. any idea on precip type in nw rhode island. Please visit the Personalized Forecast subforum to post this request Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Clipper is Saturday afternoon into Sat evening. That would probably cancel the GTG then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 That would probably cancel the GTG then lol - Are you kidding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 lol - Are you kidding? People aren't gonna wanna drive that far in a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 That would probably cancel the GTG then Maybe for some. 2 or 3" of snow with temps near 30F isn't a big deal. Absolutely classic Jan/Feb 1994 setup occurring at D7-8 on the Euro. Monster PV in Hudson Bay with broad positively tilted trough out into the central US and Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Mike is in a great spot.....I'm still legitimately concerned about this trending a hair more west, than I'd like.....obviously with each tic se a I feel a bit better. yeah i think you are golden either way, very good chance you crack 30 inch depth after this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 People aren't gonna wanna drive that far in a snowstorm meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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