LVblizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Another view of the RGEM I love the position of the high to the north. Anyway, based on strictly gut feeling, I think the final solution is a compromise of the NAM and RGEM with the sharp cutoff setting up about 10 miles west of Voyager's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 http://www.wgal.com/slideshow/weather/26600441/detail.html Do you guys think this is a fast model? Shows the precip moving out to see at 0430 thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Another view of the RGEM Man that would be great for most what is the chance of that also when does the new data come into play from the airplane or did it already. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 According to the RGEM the dividing line between rain/snow is litteraly I-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 According to the RGEM the dividing line between rain/snow is litteraly I-95 That's at 48. After this point is when temps begin to crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 That's at 48. After this point is when temps begin to crash. I know, but it is pretty neat to see where it portrayed the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 While phl and ilg are mostly snow on 00z NAM - both near 12". There are 3-4 hours of freezing rain at beginning and middle of storm when qpf is light. Surface never goes above freezing. chubbs Chester County is gonna get slammed. RGEM, GFS, NAM all beautiful out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It's good to see the normally warmer MET numbers coming in colder. http://www.nws.noaa....met.pl?sta=KJFK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 OK..This is not an IN MY BACKYARD Question It's an In my Frontyard question (Just kidding) Seriously...twoi things: 1) Good for western Long Island (mostly frozen?) 2) Start time in seeing things getting whittenned up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 chubbs Chester County is gonna get slammed. RGEM, GFS, NAM all beautiful out here. Looking better and better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM looks like a big hit. Colder than 12z run and very dynamic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 gfs rolling... lets hope for a nice nam match Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I still think this has some more westward jogs before reality....this will still be a bigger hit N and W of the Cities....I bet it gets back to the Tamaqua,ABE and SWB folks. Tomorrow should be an interesting day to see if the trend west continues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I still think this has some more westward jogs before reality....this will still be a bigger hit N and W of the Cities....I bet it gets back to the Tamaqua,ABE and SWB folks. Tomorrow should be an interesting day to see if the trend west continues? I think its a bigger hit N and W too, but not in lieu of the big cities...I think big cities westward do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I still think this has some more westward jogs before reality....this will still be a bigger hit N and W of the Cities....I bet it gets back to the Tamaqua,ABE and SWB folks. Tomorrow should be an interesting day to see if the trend west continues? Trend west? Yeah lets completely ignore the fact that the models are conveying a classic CCB/DEFORM signal and instead count that as a trend west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Trend west? Yeah lets completely ignore the fact that the models are conveying a classic CCB/DEFORM signal and instead count that as a trend west. climatology favors Chescowxman. This winter favors you. Let's see what actually happens without using scorn in your posts. To me, this is a 50/50 chance. We'll know VERY soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I still think this has some more westward jogs before reality....this will still be a bigger hit N and W of the Cities....I bet it gets back to the Tamaqua,ABE and SWB folks. Tomorrow should be an interesting day to see if the trend west continues? everyone in this thread insisting on a west trend lives in PA, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I have searched many meteorogical acronym sites and cant find CCB. Can someone define this acronym please, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 everyone in this thread insisting on a west trend lives in PA, lol. yeah imo, its time to split the threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I have searched many meteorogical acronym sites and cant find CCB. Can someone define this acronym please, thanks. Cold Conveyor Belt, basically means you are going to get nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 <br />everyone in this thread insisting on a west trend lives in PA, lol.<br /><br /><br /><br />And everyone scoffing at it lives in NY. What's your point? Let's just appreciate the event for what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I have searched many meteorogical acronym sites and cant find CCB. Can someone define this acronym please, thanks. It means cold conveyor belt. Which translates to "super mega heavy snow band". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 climatology favors Chescowxman. This winter favors you. Let's see what actually happens without using scorn in your posts. To me, this is a 50/50 chance. We'll know VERY soon. Climo truly means little this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Thanks to all of the many replies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 <br /><br /><br /> And everyone scoffing at it lives in NY. What's your point? Let's just appreciate the event for what it is. No scoffing here, it is just comical to see the thinking-aloud self-therapy that goes on in these threads. Maybe if I say it enough it will be true type of thing. I for one have no idea what is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I have searched many meteorogical acronym sites and cant find CCB. Can someone define this acronym please, thanks. http://www.wxonline.info/topics/conveyor.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 <br />Climo truly means little this winter.<br /> Same as last year. Don't worry...these years will be baked into climo in 10 years and everyone along the coast will cry foul over 33 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Climo truly means little this winter. That's why I said what I said. I would normally give climo a lot of respect, but not this year. Still, you have to respect climo, or suffer the slings and arrows of a bad forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 39 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS out to 30 hrs..no big changes from 12z Out to 48 colder and slightly less precip.versus 18z (for NJ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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