ezweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Hi Folks, Hit the trigger button to post too soon.. Now, here’s another edition of my webcast show covering the Philadelphia Area Hazardous Weather Two Week Outlook Webcast show. Usually I like to get these videos up loaded earlier in the day.. Anyway, they are uploaded and available to view. To access the webcast videos, just head over to my site at www.ezweather.com. From there, click on the Broadcast tab. From there, you’ll be able to see the recent videos I posted on the site. Below is a brief summary/listing of key notes for the next two weeks. Short Range Outlook – Monday, January 24th through Thursday, January 27th Upper Air Setup Western US: Ridge Central US: Trough Eastern US: Trough Forecasted Telleconnection Indices - (Pacific North America Pattern (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO) PNA: Moderately Positive NAO: Weakly Negative to Positive AO: Weakly Negative Pattern Setup During this time frame a major storm will develop over the Eastern US. This storm will likely bring significant snow inland and rain toward the coast. Storm is forecasted to develop Tuesday over the Gulf of Mexico and track over the Southeastern US early Wednesday and then off the Mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday night. The storm will exit the region Thursday morning. Temperature and Precipitation Outlook Location: Eastern PA, NJ, Eastern Maryland, DE Temperatures: Much Below Average Precipitation: Average to Above Average Primary Weather Hazards Location: Eastern PA, NJ, Eastern Maryland, DE Potential Primary Weather Hazard: Major Winter Storm Time Range: 7pm Tue through 7am Thu Risk Level: Moderate Risk - Snowfall 6”: High Risk, Snowfall of 6 to 12”: Low Risk - Strong Winds: Moderate Risk - Rough Seas: Moderate Risk - Coastal Flooding: Low Risk - Transportation Delays (Highway, Aviation, Marine): High Risk Also, please check out the NWS briefing package should any be issued for the winter weather event Monday night into Wednesday at the following link - http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf. Long Range Outlook – Friday, January 28 through Tuesday, February 1, 2011 Upper Air Setup Western US: Ridge Central US: Trough Eastern US: Trough Forecasted Telleconnection Indices - (Pacific North America Pattern (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO) PNA: Moderately Positive NAO: Weakly Negative AO: Weakly Negative Pattern Setup Generally, a very cold and dry period. Trough will remain in the east. Active weather will be on the quiet side. Temperature and Precipitation Outlook Location: Eastern PA, NJ, Eastern Maryland, DE Temperatures: Much Below Average Precipitation: Average Primary Weather Hazards Location: Eastern PA, NJ, Eastern Maryland, DE Potential Primary Weather Hazard: Arctic Cold Risk Level: Moderate Long Range Outlook – Tuesday, February 1 through Sunday, February 6, 2011 Upper Air Setup Western US: Ridge Central US: Trough Eastern US: Trough Forecasted Telleconnection Indices - (Pacific North America Pattern (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO) PNA: Strongly Positive NAO: Negative AO: Negative Pattern Setup A continued colder than average period will continue. This time frame favors the potential for renewed threat of winter weather. The potential exist for the Greenland block to rebuild. 12z European model hinted at an active period the first week of February. So, this period is a time to watch. Temperature and Precipitation Outlook Location: Eastern PA, NJ, Eastern Maryland, DE Temperatures: Below to Much Below Average Precipitation: Average to Above Average Primary Weather Hazards Location: Eastern PA, NJ, Eastern Maryland, DE Potential Primary Weather Hazard: Arctic Cold and Winter Storms Risk Level: Moderate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Thank you for this outlook. The cold will continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Good news for cold & snow lovers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Standby for a new edit.. In the midst of updating this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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