40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Yo Freak! its a thing between Ryan and I we do not really care, just bustin. Hows the skinning? Lots of snowmaking ops now, with huge potential down the road. Que Ray for shoveling potential. I am going to be serious for once. I do not think all is lost yet with that monster LC, you should have the best shot if a secondary pops and cuts through the canal. I just went off about the fact that December looks great, last night; I'm confounded as to how you are dubbing me "negative" because I don't like our chances for snow on tday. I'm not being negative, but nor am I delusional....it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Nice to be home posting on the laptop. This thing is going south ..way south Turkey day..no way it doesn't with that mega block. Atlantic trumps Pacific Gald you showed up. i need to speak to a man of faith, my faith at that. Ray and Ryan have been ripping me to shreds all day, need some redemtion and an our father. Hallelujah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 And we're off..heavy heavy winter storm en route THERE IS A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SOMETIME LATE WEDNESDAY AND/OR THANKSGIVING. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS ALSO QUITE CHALLENGING AT THIS TIME. RIGHT NOW THE MODELS WOULD FAVOR MAINLY A RAIN EVENT ON THE COASTAL PLAIN...BUT SOME SNOW/ICE WOULD BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR Exactly how I have been characterizing it.....all rain here on the cp and maybe some front end ice in the interior, with perhaps a touch of snow across the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Gald you showed up. i need to speak to a man of faith, my faith at that. Ray and Ryan have been ripping me to shreds all day, need some redemtion and an our father. Hallelujah LOL I know..I've been reading all day..just a a PITA to post from my BB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I just went off about the fact that December looks great, last night; I'm confounded as to how you are dubbing me "negative" because I don't like our chances for snow on tday. I'm not being negative, but nor am I delusional....it is what it is. LOL just bustin dude. praise the Rev Kev, you are not delusional at all just a realist while I am a hypothetical eternal optimist. Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Pretty good signal of next week's storm even some days ago, on the models. I even noted how it looked like a loaded gun with arctic high pressure, deep midwest trough and strong jet across the south. That's why it's so important to see if the key ingredients are there..and not the actual specifics on something 10+ days out. Case in point, 2 weeks from now. Strong west based -nao, possible ridging out west for a time. Now, we wait for a s/w to amplify under the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 LOL just bustin dude. praise the Rev Kev, you are not delusional at all just a realist while I am a hypothetical eternal optimist. Amen I know you are, but just like to reaffirm that form time to time because some may have the wrong idea.....I'm not neg at all about this winter as a whole. I dnt think Dec will realize a ton of the potential relative to snowfall, but that is just a hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I know you are, but just like to reaffirm that form time to time because some may have the wrong idea.....I'm not neg at all about this winter as a whole. I dnt think Dec will realize a ton of the potential relative to snowfall, but that is just a hunch. if you moved 30 miles west you would be in a better mood for winter. if you lived in w. fitchburg (1000') you would be on the redeveloping secondary locking in cold air......(primary is not in a bad spot 7 days out with a big nao train of optomism) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Yo Freak! its a thing between Ryan and I we do not really care, just bustin. Hows the skinning? Lots of snowmaking ops now, with huge potential down the road. Que Ray for shoveling potential. I am going to be serious for once. I do not think all is lost yet with that monster LC, you should have the best shot if a secondary pops and cuts through the canal. Haha yeah I was just bustin your chops as well... I never take anything anyone says to one another in here seriously. The New England crowd is a good bunch. Snowmaking was blasting away all day today; what a beautiful sight from town today with a man-made blizzard going on up there and even had some off and on flurries today. The mountain picked up 1-4" of snow above 1,600ft last night and hopefully we can nickle and dime our way to a few more inches over the next 72 hours. I'm still weary of the notion that this T-day storm brings anything but a cold rain... I think it'll be just a shade too far north for much of anything with the real cold coming in behind it. Seasonal tendency this fall has been for systems to stay west of our area, so until I see that change I'm going to be leaning that way. Obviously, should this thing trend south/east, I think I'll be sitting in a pretty favorable spot up here. I would doubt it trends far enough south and east to miss N.VT completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 if you moved 30 miles west you would be in a better mood for winter. if you lived in w. fitchburg (1000') you would be on the redeveloping secondary locking in cold air......(primary is not in a bad spot 7 days out with a big nao train of optomism) No, I wouldn't....I don't give a damn about a touch of front end ice.....NBD there, either.....period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I really would not get all bent out of shape about Thanksgiving. If anything falls as frozen, treat it as a bonus. Lets look forward to the following week and all the fun that could be had. We hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 LOL I know..I've been reading all day..just a a PITA to post from my BB It looks like you'll just have to make up your 50 posts per day here this evening. It'll be tough but I bet you can do it. Anyway, I'm hoping you can make a deal with the big man upstairs to bring this a little further south. Maybe if we wish hard enough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 No, I wouldn't....I don't give a damn about a touch of front end ice.....NBD there, either.....period. You'll be wrong on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Seasonal tendency this fall has been for systems to stay west of our area, Violently disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I really would not get all bent out of shape about Thanksgiving. If anything falls as frozen, treat it as a bonus. Lets look forward to the following week and all the fun that could be had. We hope. Bingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 You'll be wrong on this one $50 no one outside of the Berks sees more than advy level ice....$20 an adv isn't needed outside of the Berks; you choose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 You'll be wrong on this one There would probably be a period of pretty good zr/ip even in nrn orh county if the euro verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 There would probably be a period of pretty good zr/ip even in nrn orh county of the euro verified. I'll take my chances, but he won't take the bet....he'll spin around it. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 There would probably be a period of pretty good zr/ip even in nrn orh county if the euro verified. I think some snow as well..esp in sw nh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I'll take my chances, but he won't take the bet....he'll spin around it. lol What was the bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 No, I wouldn't....I don't give a damn about a touch of front end ice.....NBD there, either.....period. your right why be optomistic 7 days out....because seven days out ptype is locked in HOWEVER...THERE ARE LARGE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND TRACK WHICH CAN CERTAINLY BE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME RANGE. NONETHELESS...THERE IS A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SOMETIME LATE WEDNESDAY AND/OR THANKSGIVING. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS ALSO QUITE CHALLENGING AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Violently disagree FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKGIVING...PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY AS THE 12Z GFS IS INDICATES LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AT 00Z THURSDAY EASTWARD TO JUST OFF CAPE COD BY 18Z THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...THE 12Z ECMWF IS FURTHER WEST AND MUCH SLOWER...BRINGING THE LOW FROM IL/IN AREA NORTH TO JUST OFF THE TIP OF LOWER MICHIGAN BY 00Z FRIDAY WHILE A SECONDARY LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN PA. GIVEN THE PATTERN OF LATE FOR STORM SYSTEMS TO REMAIN CENTERED WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA...THE ECMWF IS PREFERRED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 your right why be optomistic 7 days out....because seven days out ptype is locked in HOWEVER...THERE ARE LARGE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND TRACK WHICH CAN CERTAINLY BE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME RANGE. NONETHELESS...THERE IS A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SOMETIME LATE WEDNESDAY AND/OR THANKSGIVING. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS ALSO QUITE CHALLENGING AT THIS TIME. Ok, revisit in 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 $50 no one outside of the Berks sees more than advy level ice....$20 an adv isn't needed outside of the Berks; you choose. What was the bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I'm out to the Bs gm.....I'll enjoy coming back to see that no one had the ballz to bet me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I'm out to the Bs gm.....I'll enjoy coming back to see that no one had the ballz to bet me. That's a close bet for nrn orh county if the euro verified. It doesn't take much for advisory sn/ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 That's a close bet for nrn orh county if the euro verified. It doesn't take much for advisory sn/ice. That is the foundation of a good bet...both sides have a shot; take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 $50 no one outside of the Berks sees more than advy level ice....$20 an adv isn't needed outside of the Berks; you choose. This one is risky because doesn't even a trace of ZR mean the NWS has to issue an Advisory? I mean 10 minutes of 32F --RN usually means BOX issues an Advisory. Higher than Advisory Level ice will be very hard to get... what's that, a half inch of ZR or more for a warning? No one should take the first bet... how many warning criteria ice storms have there been in SNE in November to begin with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 18 gfs is a world of pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 18 gfs is a world of pain. looks pretty good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.