CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 There's just too much energy diving too far west. The -NAO and the 50/50 low are going to do their best but in all likelihood it won't be enough Yea, but man that is scary for nne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 There's just too much energy diving too far west. The -NAO and the 50/50 low are going to do their best but in all likelihood it won't be enough I'd feel better if the energy were diving int o NE as opposed to ID. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 probably severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Heavy heavy ice. for central and northern ne. Eh, I dunno. sfc winds look way too easterly to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Yea, but man that is scary for nne. What a bomb in the great lakes, It looke like it was 980mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 LOL No... it's stepping toward Dr Cold Torch Rain (for the coast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 well it would be about as interesting as a frontal passage can be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Eh, I dunno. sfc winds look way too easterly to me. I think when you have a high up that way, they always find a way to go ageostrophic. Even 2m temps are cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Eh, I dunno. sfc winds look way too easterly to me. 2M temps stay cold up in C NH/N ME but that secondary has got to be stronger and pull a stronger northerly ageostrophic flow. It'll be fun to see BDR at 65 and North Conway at 32 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Eh, I dunno. sfc winds look way too easterly to me. Eventually the low cuts up that way so it stops, but probably dicey at least for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I think when you have a high up that way, they always find a way to go ageostrophic. Even 2m temps are cold. yeah that seems like a pretty good ice signal there, for at least a good part of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I think when you have a high up that way, they always find a way to go ageostrophic. Even 2m temps are cold. Yeah 2M temps are cold... not really a perfect ice setup though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 yeah that seems like a pretty good ice signal there, for at least a good part of the event. First half will be a travel nightmare up there... but I think even up to the Canadian border they wind up warming after a sloppy first half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Is Wiz awake? Severe storm potential on Thanksgiving!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 What a mixed bag up this way........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Pretty powerful storm regardless. What a disaster for travel. FML next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 There's just too much energy diving too far west. The -NAO and the 50/50 low are going to do their best but in all likelihood it won't be enough I'd be happy with a crippling ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 First half will be a travel nightmare up there... but I think even up to the Canadian border they wind up warming after a sloppy first half. yeah verbatim it would not be ice start to finish...but looks like one of those deals where someone is icing for several hours...stuck at 31/32. the HP position is pretty decent for *NNE* in that regard for a while. not down here, though even SNE would probably start frozen in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 yeah that seems like a pretty good ice signal there, for at least a good part of the event. Looks more like a snow/sleet/rain event............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Is Wiz awake? Severe storm potential on Thanksgiving!!! no kidding. that would the best set-up we've had in quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Looks more like a snow/sleet/rain event............. i think interior NNE that's icing. not that it matters 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 I'd be happy with a crippling ice storm Well if the Euro is right you get a couple pingers, a nasty cold rain, and then maybe some torching as you dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 />First half will be a travel nightmare up there... but I think even up to the Canadian border they wind up warming after a sloppy first half. /> Heavy heavy low level cold ice storm CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Is Wiz awake? Severe storm potential on Thanksgiving!!! Doubt it, I think he drank a 6-pack of 4 loko....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 This is for Thursday, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 yeah verbatim it would not be ice start to finish...but looks like one of those deals where someone is icing for several hours...stuck at 31/32. the HP position is pretty decent for *NNE* in that regard for a while. not down here, though even SNE would probably start frozen in spots. Yeah agreed. Not a severe ice storm but enough to muck up travel. To get a bigger ice storm I think the secondary is going to have to be a lot stronger to start cranking the winds... otherwise you get a moist 31/32 flipping to 34 and rain with not a tremendous cold source to the west. Still a massive storm cutting through the Great Lakes... 975ish mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 it's all priming the pump for the big one later that weekend as the energy rounds the base of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Heavy heavy low level cold ice storm CNE Dear god. Is Westerly under water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 Nice LES event for the lakes after this one goes by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 18, 2010 Share Posted November 18, 2010 i think interior NNE that's icing. not that it matters 7 days out. True, Its going to prob end either one or a combo of all those scenarios, Its something worth while to follow for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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