NorEaster27 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 LOL what an odd pattern coming up. The core of the cold just backs southwest into the Rockies, although it moves into se Canada too. DT FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Sounds like the bridge jumpers are going to have a fine time with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Looks like the front moves through on Wednesday. So thankfully T-day should be on the chilly side. So you extrapolating FTL thankfully..Phew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Looks like the front moves through on Wednesday. So thankfully T-day should be on the chilly side. What the heck is brewing in the Plains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 DT FTW Not necessarily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 LOL what an odd pattern coming up. The core of the cold just backs southwest into the Rockies, although it moves into se Canada too. Don't think there will be much sun bathing in Cal next weds............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 DT FTW If you want to call an expected 2 day torch maybe.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 So you extrapolating FTL thankfully..Phew No, we definitely torch...I was just worried it would take forever to get the cold east....but the NAO helps out shoving some of the cold stuff into SE Canada and New England....its actually still torching in the M.A. southward at that time....big gradient setting up. The post T-day storm could still be a lakes cutter, but hopefully it isn't. I've never been confident on that system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 nice turkey morning gradient...-8C 850s for Ray...0C for zucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 No, we definitely torch...I was just worried it would take forever to get the cold east....but the NAO helps out shoving some of the cold stuff into SE Canada and New England....its actually still torching in the M.A. southward at that time....big gradient setting up. The post T-day storm could still be a lakes cutter, but hopefully it isn't. I've never been confident on that system. Looks like it will be close, Rather see an overunning event but whatever...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 No, we definitely torch...I was just worried it would take forever to get the cold east....but the NAO helps out shoving some of the cold stuff into SE Canada and New England....its actually still torching in the M.A. southward at that time....big gradient setting up. The post T-day storm could still be a lakes cutter, but hopefully it isn't. I've never been confident on that system. Yeah I admitted i busted on early next week. Maybe Monday is the cool transition day with clouds..Tuesday we torch into the 80's and then Wed we cool down..setting us up for snow on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 LOL...nice colorado low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 LOL...nice colorado low. A sock cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Sounds like the bridge jumpers are going to have a fine time with this run. No real change in timing of air mass change from what I can see, looking good for complete pattern change, staying the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 A sock cutter? who knows...i'd think it will have a hard time pressing into the GL/NE without getting strung to pieces or shunted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 who knows...i'd think it will have a hard time pressing into the GL/NE without getting strung to pieces or shunted I'd guess we'd get a Miller B type redeveloper..nothing will cut NW of us with that block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 No real change in timing of air mass change from what I can see, looking good for complete pattern change, staying the course. Yeah, I reacted too quickly to some of the preliminary info. Status quo, as we thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 A sock cutter? Ugly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 I'd guess we'd get a Miller B type redeveloper..nothing will cut NW of us with that block We could still see a lakes cutter with that storm. I think this run of the Euro is going to try and cut it west....but there is definitely a ton of uncertainty given the blocky nature of the pattern in the Atlantic. I could also see it getting squeezed south of us. Its the pattern behind it that I am more intrigued by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Yeah, I reacted too quickly to some of the preliminary info. Status quo, as we thought. Pretty much is. We warm early next week, then cool down. Black Friday who knows, then finally cool down for a while. I suspect the storm after thanksgiving has a better chance of rain for down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Congrats Minnasota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Congrats Minnasota They got hit with the last one I think. Nice early winter in the North Star State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 I'd guess we'd get a Miller B type redeveloper..nothing will cut NW of us with that block We can still get a Lakes cutter scenario out of this. The block makes it less likely for a low to cut across New England. Either something cuts well to our west, or we could get a decent Miller B set up, or it gets squeezed south. That's my specific forecast for ya lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Lakes Cutter with a big -NAO and a nice block in place? Looks like the Euro is still disagreeing with its ensemble mean. GFS and the ensembles agree on the cold after Thanksgiving with a possible storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 We can still get a Lakes cutter scenario out of this. The block makes it less likely for a low to cut across New England. Either something cuts well to our west, or we could get a decent Miller B set up, or it gets squeezed south. That's my specific forecast for ya lol Pretty good 1,000 mile spread....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 We can still get a Lakes cutter scenario out of this. The block makes it less likely for a low to cut across New England. Either something cuts well to our west, or we could get a decent Miller B set up, or it gets squeezed south. That's my specific forecast for ya lol If it cuts far enough west we might stay chilly with light mixed precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 If it cuts far enough west we might stay chilly with light mixed precip I actually wouldn't rule out an ice setup with that system. Definitely within the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 I actually wouldn't rule out an ice setup with that system. Definitely within the realm of possibility. The good thing is its hr 236, We roller coaster for a few more days it seems........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Damn, I missed this. E-Wall has the Euro out to 240h now. FTW! http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMWF0.5_12z/ecmwfloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 I actually wouldn't rule out an ice setup with that system. Definitely within the realm of possibility. Yeah I can't see how we'd get a full blown soueaster out of the depicted pattern. Cpickles doesn't like the 0c line in Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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