dryslot Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Man, Thats is some cold air in central canada on the euro........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 euro looks like it will be quite cold the middle to end of next week here in the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:43 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: <br />euro looks like it will be quite cold the middle to end of next week here in the NE<br /> As SOME of us thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:43 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: euro looks like it will be quite cold the middle to end of next week here in the NE Could be an interesting swfe around turkey day.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:43 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: euro looks like it will be quite cold the middle to end of next week here in the NE Wow, that is a bit different looking...it doesn't really phase all the energy from the western trough into the incoming PV...we have the energy hanging back west while we get a big gradient developing by next Wednesday. Looks like we still torch (relatively speaking) though the first couple days next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, that is a bit different looking...it doesn't really phase all the energy from the western trough into the incoming PV...we have the energy hanging back west while we get a big gradient developing by next Wednesday. Looks like we still torch (relatively speaking) though the first couple days next week. yeah and an overrunning snow/ice threat later wed/thur? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 I know I'm the only one hooked on this still ... but the Euro does look a little more interesting for Thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 With a -NAO on roids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:49 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: yeah and an overrunning snow/ice threat later wed/thur? Yeah that has snow and ice written all over it if that setup verifies. Talk about a sick gradient at 850....BOS is like -4C while RIC is +10C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 We're going to need more than fleeting east-based -NAO periods to have a productive winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that has snow and ice written all over it if that setup verifies. Talk about a sick gradient at 850....BOS is like -4C while RIC is +10C. Next week, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that has snow and ice written all over it if that setup verifies. Talk about a sick gradient at 850....BOS is like -4C while RIC is +10C. Could be the 1st legit snow threat for the folks up this way in NNE if it verifys.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:52 PM, BIrving said: We're going to need more than fleeting east-based -NAO periods to have a productive winter.. I think your current location now saw about 105" of snow 3 winters ago with a monster +NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:52 PM, HubbDave said: Next week, right? Next Wednesday/Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:52 PM, BIrving said: <br />We're going to need more than fleeting east-based -NAO periods to have a productive winter.. <br /> OK , seeing as this is basin wide and juiced not applicable here. La Nina moderate not strong?, big monkey wrench incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 nice turkey day winter event on the ec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think your current location now saw about 105" of snow 3 winters ago with a monster +NAO. How'd BOS or PVD do? I think they were near AVG, PVD below. I was talking more for the heart of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 Classic SW flow event for Turkey Day on Euro. Sfc low is gonna get squeezed out south of SNE while mid-levels are coming in from the SW. Looks like a snow to ice scenario. Long range Euro though is nearly useless so this should all be taken with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:57 PM, BIrving said: How'd BOS or PVD do? I think they were near AVG, PVD below. I was talking more for the heart of SNE. BOS had 52"...they were above avg. PVD suffered with only 24.5" IIRC. I had 79.5" for an above avg season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:56 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: <br />nice turkey day winter event on the ec<br /><br /><br /><br />Classic setup looking good for Wills first two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think your current location now saw about 105" of snow 3 winters ago with a monster +NAO. Yeah Will, It was a huge winter with that setup, A lot of swfe events, I think i had a total of 19 storms that produced snow or snow/sleet...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:49 PM, CoastalWx said: With a -NAO on roids. yeah that theme persists regardless of the run it seems. we've seen the euro move around the EP configuration and timing and shift heights along the west coast etc. but the NAO remains pretty steadfast. you could even argue that it's the dominant player in the NH in the 7 to 10 day period on the last several ecmwf op runs and would continue to be for quite some time beyond....just at face value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 6:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: <br />Classic SW flow event for Turkey Day on Euro. Sfc low is gonna get squeezed out south of SNE while mid-levels are coming in from the SW. Looks like a snow to ice scenario. <br /><br /> Long range Euro though is nearly useless so this should all be taken with a grain of salt.<br /> Got to like the trend for the pattern change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 7:01 PM, Ginx said: Got to like the trend for the pattern change Yeah I like the trend for the pattern change. I was talking about specific details WRT the potential T-day event. Earlier in the run though had some implications for that setup. The Euro trended in hanging back a bit more energy. I know the ensemble mean looked like it might be doing that a bit. So that will be something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 I purposely waited to read this thread this afternoon till I saw the Euro. One fairly mild day Monday and maybe Tuesday and then the cold press wins out like we thought. Looks to me like it wants to snow on us on the holiday itself. Or maybe a snow to mix look? Looks awesome to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 7:00 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: yeah that theme persists regardless of the run it seems. we've seen the euro move around the EP configuration and timing and shift heights along the west coast etc. but the NAO remains pretty steadfast. you could even argue that it's the dominant player in the NH in the 7 to 10 day period on the last several ecmwf op runs and would continue to be for quite some time beyond....just at face value. on further thought...this might be too simplistic because you could just as easily argue that the NAO configuration has shifted from run to run. *but* the strength of it has remained very consistent...unlike a lot of the other players on the table right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 That's a pretty insane temp. gradient on the ECM for Thanksgiving. There's like 16C 850's all the way to Delaware and -2C 850's in Boston. Or maybe those are 8C 850's not sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 The end of the run on the euro looks like we would be seeing a Miller B type storm with the cold air in place looks like another snow potential but its a ways out there, But i like the chances heading into Dec.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 7:19 PM, H2Otown_WX said: That's a pretty insane temp. gradient on the ECM for Thanksgiving. There's like 16C 850's all the way to Delaware and -2C 850's in Boston. Or maybe those are 8C 850's not sure... Yeah that was mentioned a few post back, Quite a contrast to say the least we are at -8c here and they are +12c down south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 5:34 PM, CT Blizz said: He blocked me from even finding him on FB lol..when i type in Cosgrove nothing comes up. he's a tool. Plain and simple. We're better off w/o him. Not a good met. I just want to fast forward to the colder/snowy pattern. This weekends shot will be nice. Probably a day in the upper 30's in the hills on Saturday..then a minor warmup..then the real deal. He's an awful awful met. I'm still waiting for cat 2 hurricane floyd to leave me without power for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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