msuwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Wed evening looks pretty good for much of western and central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sweet the Triad gets 3-5" of snow in 3 hours, nice! This would be @63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Those 850's are really getting pulled down if I had to guess about where the ULL goes I would think GSO has a good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 the northern Upstate, most of western NC are hit really hard for about 6 to 9 hours with intense snow rates. I see what this run is doing. Takes the 5H across I-20 BHM ATL then just north of CAE to about FAY, and on its west side is the 7H swirl and comma head, thats the heavy snow part. Very similar really to the March 2009 storm overall, but further north at first, but in the end it dips becuase of the effect the western low has and how it interacts with teh ULL in the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 There is a three hour period where parts of the Mtns from Asheville SW towards Franklin where .5 plus falls as all snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 SV snow maps have most of the upstate of and most of central and western NC in 4-8...grain of salt of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Peoples jaws are going to hit the floor when they see what the NAM is projecting for the mountains of NC... pretty much 1" liquid equivalent in 6 hours. This is a January 27th 1998 redux If i ever saw one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 best news of all is this would occur overnight for the Triangle.The bad news is, this is far from settled. But encouraging nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 A lot of us do really good this run. What is this? The 4 run in a row that it's done this? I am now going to put a little faith into it, but nevertheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman566 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I do not access to the latest models, but how far south is this deformation zone across Alabama and Georgia? Along I-20 or further north? Any help would be appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yep, I see some similarities with both March 09 and Jan 98. Here is the Jan 98 reanalysis... Click here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like my area gets around .75" in 6 hours. And around AVL to Brevard gets over 1.25" in 6 hours. That hopefully is wrong, as trees would be snapping and the power would go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I can't post it, because I use AccuPro. But I can tell you that ATL would be getting light snow. ok thanks for the info, much appreciated. a trip 50-75 miles north of atl maybe in the works wed aftrn to hopefully see something heavier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 CLT might just be a little to far east to get the good stuff but just being close is good enough as who knows how this thing will track....very sharp cut off for RDU it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Just an FYI for you folks. A 1009 surface low has developed offshore from Aransas Pass (just N of Corpus Christi) at this hour and deepening quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 CLT might just be a little to far east to get the good stuff but just being close is good enough as who knows how this thing will track....very sharp cut off for RDU it looks like It's kinda funny because CLT is just a bit to far east, and south for the heaviest of stuff, but CLT does still get into the snowy fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 CLT might just be a little to far east to get the good stuff but just being close is good enough as who knows how this thing will track....very sharp cut off for RDU it looks like Always a very sharp cut-off for RDU. Need the ULL to be farther south. I have no reason to believe it will trend that way, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like we could get some light snow here in athens. We need the ULL to head a little south and bring some heavier precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Just an FYI for you folks. A 1009 surface low has developed offshore from Aransas Pass (just N of Corpus Christi) at this hour and deepening quickly. Thanks for coming in here and giving us great updates! Very much appreciated, and feel free to stop by any time and give us your opinion! How has Houston been this year for snow? I imagine not too good, or at least not as good as last year but could any year be that good again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This deformation band gets better with each run of the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like my area gets around .75" in 6 hours. And around AVL to Brevard gets over 1.25" in 6 hours. That hopefully is wrong, as trees would be snapping and the power would go down. Talk about uplifting and scary at the same time! What a run, this guarantees a lot of computer time tonight and tomorrow...wife will hate me! Back to work, see ya'll this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Peoples jaws are going to hit the floor when they see what the NAM is projecting for the mountains of NC... pretty much 1" liquid equivalent in 6 hours. This is a January 27th 1998 redux If i ever saw one! the southern escarpment looks to get pounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bnmdjm Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I know I said I was done posting, but I have to say this. I don't know what everyone is seeing, because the 12z NAM shows not even one flake from CLT to RDU per the 3 hour soundings! If anyone cares to prove me wrong, please proceed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Per the NAM...it looks like the heaviest axis of precip will be just to the north of RDU. Notice the .87 6 hour max along the state line with .10 or so in SW Wake county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Always a very sharp cut-off for RDU. Need the ULL to be farther south. I have no reason to believe it will trend that way, though. I imagine we are not going to know the exact path until Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 It's kinda funny because CLT is just a bit to far east, and south for the heaviest of stuff, but CLT does still get into the snowy fun Yep I've just been burned too many times when on the edge...usually these things leave us looking in at the good stuff, but I'll take my 2-4 and be happy if I can get it. Looks like Robert is in too good of a spot...by the way just north of Ocoenee looks to be the money spot right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 I know I said I was done posting, but I have to say this. I don't know what everyone is seeing, because the 12z NAM shows not even one flake from CLT to RDU per the 3 hour soundings! If anyone cares to prove me wrong, please proceed. Soundings are correct 100% of the time two days out right? Why is the mets who ARE EXPERTS ON OUR REGION are exited but you aren't? Sorry I'll trust them over you any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flurry Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Just an FYI for you folks. A 1009 surface low has developed offshore from Aransas Pass (just N of Corpus Christi) at this hour and deepening quickly. Thanks for that "heads up"...Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Robert.. Liking these number for our area.....really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yep I've just been burned too many times when on the edge...usually these things leave us looking in at the good stuff, but I'll take my 2-4 and be happy if I can get it. Looks like Robert is in too good of a spot...by the way just north of Ocoenee looks to be the money spot right now. It's also kinda funny because I moved from Shelby this past year, and this could be the second time that Shelby get's more snow than up here. Congrats to Robert and all my friends in Shelby, because another hit looks a' comin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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