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End of January "clipper" threat


snowstormcanuck

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No, B_I stated it well, most places including Toronto stay less than 0.12 QPF.

what i meant was its even worse than what BI stated

he was too kind

lol

We knew this had big bust potential since the phasing of waves that had to occur out in the Pacific then again with the Canadian vortex--but this is awful.

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lets hope the NAM is onto something keeping that energy more vigorous.

but its probably about 36 hours behind the curve, considering its horrible handling of the coastal low.

lol, the NAM is pretty intense with it. Meanwhile, the 0z Euro continued its weaker theme with this clipper.

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I'm thinking my area looks good for another "just good enough to cover the dog piss" snow sometime in the late thurs / early friday timeframe.

Yep. I wasn't sure if this was the thread to post it, considering it's the clipper before the clipper which this thread pertains to :wacko: , but the 12z GFS looks pretty similar to the 0z Euro with QPF. Might be a 1-2" type deal for parts of IN and OH. Nothing exciting I suppose, but enough to cover the ground/old snow.

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If only we could get this thing to get further southwest...would be a great storm.

It wouldn’t be the first system in the NW flow to eventually track SW of guidance at this range. Going to have to watch what the first piece does to the baroclinic zone before getting to invested in the second and likely larger piece.

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Sadly give it 6 or 12 hours, it will be gone :(

Nah, Euro has been advertising a 1-2", maybe 3" at tops in localized places, type snow for the past couple of runs for OH. 12z GFS is more aggressive though. But to be clear so I don't confuse anyone, this is for the first impulse (Thu night/Fri morning).

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Nah, Euro has been advertising a 1-2", maybe 3" at tops in localized places, type snow for the past couple of runs for OH. 12z GFS is more aggressive though. But to be clear so I don't confuse anyone, this is for the first impulse (Thu night/Fri morning).

Yeah but 1-2 doesn't equal what the GFS is saying this run. This would easily be 3-6 for most of N. WI, Most of MI and Most of OH

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Yeah but 1-2 doesn't equal what the GFS is saying this run. This would easily be 3-6 for most of N. WI, Most of MI and Most of OH

I think I'm confusing you a little here. There's two impulses that are coming down via the models. One on Thursday night/Friday and then the second bigger piece follows...which I think this thread was intended for. The first piece, Thursday night/Friday, was what I was alluding to with the 1-2" for parts of IN and OH...despite the 12z GFS being "wetter" than the Euro. The Euro has it too, it's just weaker with it. The second will no doubt be for areas farther north.

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I think I'm confusing you a little here. There's two impulses that are coming down via the models. One on Thursday night/Friday and then the second bigger piece follows...which I think this thread was intended for. The first piece, Thursday night/Friday was what I was alluding to with the 1-2" for parts of IN and OH. The second will no doubt be for areas farther north.

Yep it was a brain lapse :P

I agree the first impulse will be weak with 1-2" max.

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