Harry Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 12:14 AM, kab2791 said: That would be a dream, but I'm under no pretense that that would be the case. ATM, looks like a 2-4" event for someone, with more to the north of the low, as some previous GFS solutions had a bad of .5+ QPF in CA. It would be a great way to get this winter back on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 If we can get it to track further south we could be looking at a very compact but heavy snow threat. Kind of like new years a few years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:11 AM, Stevo6899 said: If we can get it to track further south we could be looking at a very compact but heavy snow threat. Kind of like new years a few years ago I loved that little storm, it was a nightmare trying to get a ride home from the bars that night but i got to see thundersnow and listening to all the people at the bar shocked at how hard it was snowing was awesome. People we actually interested in the weather that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 wow... nothing, nothing at all for NE IL/S WI out either clipper. . We are the screw hole on the latest runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:53 AM, cmichweather said: I loved that little storm, it was a nightmare trying to get a ride home from the bars that night but i got to see thundersnow and listening to all the people at the bar shocked at how hard it was snowing was awesome. People we actually interested in the weather that night. Yea well I would have liked it more if the heavy bands didnt setup 30 miles to my NW. We got 7 inches but 16 just to my north. Was a sweet storm no doubt. BTW where did that storm originate from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This GFS run isn't going to end well. It looks awful through 102 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 4:10 AM, baroclinic_instability said: This GFS run isn't going to end well. It looks awful through 102 hours. Seems like we've been saying that quite often this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 4:14 AM, cyclone77 said: Seems like we've been saying that quite often this season. Pretty much. This is just one run--but yeah it looks like it didn't phase well in the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 IF that was 100 miles south, that would be decent...for example, even though it wasn't too impressive, parts of L.Huron/UP get 0.5 QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 4:22 AM, kab2791 said: IF that was 100 miles south, that would be decent...for example, even though it wasn't too impressive, parts of L.Huron/Up get 0.5 QPF. True--it ends well in some ways--especially the northern region with better snow. I am just not liking how much weaker it came in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I don't know what to make out of the GGEM, it seems there are separate pieces of energies instead of once nice consolidated, strong system. So there are waves of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 5:11 AM, kab2791 said: I don't know what to make out of the GGEM, it seems there are separate pieces of energies instead of once nice consolidated, strong system. So there are waves of light snow. Hopefully they dont break apart and we get one decently strong storm. It's time for a storm to stay together for once! Come a bit south and dig right along I-80 and we have a good start to our backloaded winter! Going to bed on that note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Ottawa would get a decent vent out if this clipper as per the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Seasonal trends, this will go south more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 6:17 AM, Stebo48858 said: Seasonal trends, this will go south more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 EURO HR 120: Sub 1000 MB LOW in N. MN LT precip in N. MN, WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 HR 126: Sub 1000 MB LOW in the U.P. LT-MOD precip in C/N. WI and W. MI LT precip rest of WI and N. IND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 LT-MOD precip in most of MI at hr 132. Overall, cold doesn't look that impressive on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 6:24 AM, Moneyman said: LT-MOD precip in most of MI at hr 132. Overall, cold doesn't look that impressive on this run. Definitely less southward penetration. This might have ramifications later on in the run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 i bet "baro" is glad he didn't start the thread...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 6:28 AM, Hoosier said: Definitely less southward penetration. This might have ramifications later on in the run... With how this winter has gone, I don't want to wait for later on in the run, because another thing will come along and mess that up too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Could be a nice hit for are friends in Ontario! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:32 PM, dmc76 said: Could be a nice hit for are friends in Ontario! 0z gfs looks good for Toronto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm glad the Euro isn't smoking what the GFS is re: the brutal cold spilling right overhead and screwing up any decent storm chances. IMO this thing should feel free to scoot harmlessly well north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:46 PM, Alek said: I'm glad the Euro isn't smoking what the GFS is re: the brutal cold spilling right overhead and screwing up any decent storm chances. IMO this thing should feel free to scoot harmlessly well north. Yep, I'm on that train. My eyes remain focused down the road. Good luck to those up north with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:49 PM, Chicago WX said: Yep, I'm on that train. My eyes remain focused down the road. Good luck to those up north with this one. Yeah.. I don't and wont pass up any shot at something half decent around here and thus would gladly take yesterdays 12z euro. I'll pass on everything the 00z runs showed. The 00z runs equall more of the same as far as the clipper goes and everything beyond. No thanks. The 12z euro atleast offered up a decent LES potential via the close off ( traps needed moisture for west/wnw flow events off MI ) and stronger storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This clipper loooks veryyy much just like a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:56 PM, Ajdos said: This clipper loooks veryyy much just like a clipper. 1" killer clipper, but this time it will in the low 30's HA HA! so its not typical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 1:55 PM, Harry said: Yeah.. I don't and wont pass up any shot at something half decent around here and thus would gladly take yesterdays 12z euro. I'll pass on everything the 00z runs showed. The 00z runs equall more of the same as far as the clipper goes and everything beyond. No thanks. The 12z euro atleast offered up a decent LES potential via the close off ( traps needed moisture for west/wnw flow events off MI ) and stronger storm. Truth be told, I have about zero chance with this one...so it's easier for me to "punt away". You certainly still have a better than fair chance with it. What follows is guess work right now. At least the Euro wasn't stupid suppressed like the GFS with the second piece. Eh, lots of time to sort everything out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On 1/24/2011 at 2:00 PM, Chicago WX said: Truth be told, I have about zero chance with this one...so it's easier for me to "punt away". You certainly still have a better than fair chance with it. What follows is guess work right now. At least the Euro wasn't stupid suppressed like the GFS with the second piece. Eh, lots of time to sort everything out. I hear you. I myself will take anything BUT more blocking crap. Ofcourse that works better for you guys so i can see why you all don't mind it as much. meh.. See what happens as you say. I have already been beat down into a hole with this winter and so whatever happens happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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