BowMeHunter Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Wonder if MKE sails all the way to Dec 31st with 5 inches or less of snow? It's in the realm of possibility. How much did MKE get in your #1 analog for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Wonder if MKE sails all the way to Dec 31st with 5 inches or less of snow? It's in the realm of possibility. It's possible, but so is 25"+. I remember last season how hopeless it was looking as we entered early Dec. We hadn't had a measurable snow yet, and the models weren't looking too great beyond the 5 day period. Then, suddenly all the models starting latching onto a big storm at the beginning of the next week. Ended up being a very powerful storm that dumped a large swath of ice and snow. After that it remained very active through early Jan. Things can turn around pretty quickly sometimes. Just when you think you're in for an extension of the boring pattern, sometimes it does a complete 180. It does get frustrating sometimes looking out beyond the 5 day period, only to see the same ol' situation. I guess we just have to remember that things can change very quickly sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Maybe winter 2011-12 will be better. Nice win by the Bears! Always fun watching the Queens lose even if it is Da Bears doing it.. Looks like my 9-7 call for them will probably end of being correct. Pretty tough schedule ahead and I could see me falling short a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 Wonder if MKE sails all the way to Dec 31st with 5 inches or less of snow? It's in the realm of possibility. Sure anything is, but in the last 2 Ninas, MKE had 30.8" and 38.3" for Nov/Dec snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Wonder if MKE sails all the way to Dec 31st with 5 inches or less of snow? It's in the realm of possibility. Let's go for a complete shutout for MKE. Nice win by the Bears! Always fun watching the Queens lose even if it is Da Bears doing it.. Looks like my 9-7 call for them will probably end of being correct. Pretty tough schedule ahead and I could see me falling short a win. Yeah it was a nice and easy win for a change. Always fun beating Brett, although he definitely looks his age out there. I'm heartbroken about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Yeah it was a nice and easy win for a change. Always fun beating Brett, although he definitely looks his age out there. I'm heartbroken about it. They should just put in Jackson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 They should just put in Jackson. They should, but they won't. But I enjoy watching him go down in flames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 They should, but they won't. But I enjoy watching that whole franchise go down in flames. Yeah Man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cromartie Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 How much did MKE get in your #1 analog for this winter. Gen Mitchell Int'l Airport, Milwaukee, WI Date Max T Min T Precip Snow Snow Depth 1998-11-01 53.0 48.0 0.02 0 0 1998-11-02 48.0 40.0 0 0 0 1998-11-03 44.0 33.0 0.03 0.1 0 1998-11-04 44.0 32.0 0.005 0.005 0 1998-11-05 42.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-06 44.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-07 45.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-08 39.0 33.0 0.02 0.2 0 1998-11-09 47.0 35.0 0.47 0 0 1998-11-10 61.0 38.0 2.22 0 0 1998-11-11 45.0 34.0 0 0 0 1998-11-12 44.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-13 50.0 24.0 0 0 0 1998-11-14 55.0 40.0 0 0 0 1998-11-15 43.0 35.0 0 0 0 1998-11-16 52.0 38.0 0.02 0 0 1998-11-17 47.0 32.0 0 0 0 1998-11-18 54.0 33.0 0.01 0 0 1998-11-19 54.0 33.0 0 0 0 1998-11-20 33.0 30.0 0.005 0.005 0 1998-11-21 41.0 27.0 0 0 0 1998-11-22 55.0 38.0 0 0 0 1998-11-23 58.0 43.0 0 0 0 1998-11-24 52.0 37.0 0 0 0 1998-11-25 53.0 41.0 0.005 0 0 1998-11-26 59.0 36.0 0 0 0 1998-11-27 64.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-28 65.0 44.0 0.005 0 0 1998-11-29 66.0 55.0 0 0 0 1998-11-30 63.0 38.0 0.12 0 0 1998-12-01 57.0 36.0 0 0 0 1998-12-02 60.0 47.0 0 0 0 1998-12-03 64.0 48.0 0 0 0 1998-12-04 53.0 46.0 0.05 0 0 1998-12-05 61.0 45.0 0.01 0 0 1998-12-06 56.0 33.0 0.69 1.8 0.005 1998-12-07 39.0 32.0 0 0 0 1998-12-08 44.0 27.0 0 0 0 1998-12-09 48.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-12-10 36.0 30.0 0 0 0 1998-12-11 48.0 30.0 0 0 0 1998-12-12 47.0 30.0 0 0 0 1998-12-13 44.0 26.0 0 0 0 1998-12-14 47.0 20.0 0 0 0 1998-12-15 50.0 36.0 0 0 0 1998-12-16 39.0 31.0 0 0 0 1998-12-17 35.0 24.0 0 0 0 1998-12-18 48.0 27.0 0.03 0.5 1 1998-12-19 37.0 27.0 0 0 0 1998-12-20 34.0 28.0 0.04 0.3 0.005 1998-12-21 32.0 6.0 0.005 0.005 0.005 1998-12-22 10.0 2.0 0.005 0.005 0.005 1998-12-23 23.0 7.0 0 0 0 1998-12-24 23.0 10.0 0 0 0 1998-12-25 31.0 15.0 0 0 0 1998-12-26 29.0 16.0 0.005 0.005 0 1998-12-27 39.0 25.0 0 0 0 1998-12-28 40.0 14.0 0 0 0 1998-12-29 36.0 3.0 0.06 0.8 0.005 1998-12-30 9.0 -3.0 0 0 0.005 1998-12-31 12.0 5.0 0 0 0.005 Lookin' good! Plus we have yet to get Nov Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 It's possible, but so is 25"+. I remember last season how hopeless it was looking as we entered early Dec. We hadn't had a measurable snow yet, and the models weren't looking too great beyond the 5 day period. Then, suddenly all the models starting latching onto a big storm at the beginning of the next week. Ended up being a very powerful storm that dumped a large swath of ice and snow. After that it remained very active through early Jan. Things can turn around pretty quickly sometimes. Just when you think you're in for an extension of the boring pattern, sometimes it does a complete 180. It does get frustrating sometimes looking out beyond the 5 day period, only to see the same ol' situation. I guess we just have to remember that things can change very quickly sometimes. Exactly. Anything is POSSIBLE. It is POSSIBLE that MKE gets NO snow thru Dec 31st. Likely? Absolutely not. It is POSSIBLE that MKE gets 60" of snow thru Dec 31st. Likely? Absolutely not. However if you wanna play the averages and the fact that Nina winters frequently feature snowy Decembers, Id say 5" or less for MKE thru 12/31 has at the most about a 10% chance of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Gen Mitchell Int'l Airport, Milwaukee, WI Date Max T Min T Precip Snow Snow Depth 1998-11-01 53.0 48.0 0.02 0 0 1998-11-02 48.0 40.0 0 0 0 1998-11-03 44.0 33.0 0.03 0.1 0 1998-11-04 44.0 32.0 0.005 0.005 0 1998-11-05 42.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-06 44.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-07 45.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-08 39.0 33.0 0.02 0.2 0 1998-11-09 47.0 35.0 0.47 0 0 1998-11-10 61.0 38.0 2.22 0 0 1998-11-11 45.0 34.0 0 0 0 1998-11-12 44.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-13 50.0 24.0 0 0 0 1998-11-14 55.0 40.0 0 0 0 1998-11-15 43.0 35.0 0 0 0 1998-11-16 52.0 38.0 0.02 0 0 1998-11-17 47.0 32.0 0 0 0 1998-11-18 54.0 33.0 0.01 0 0 1998-11-19 54.0 33.0 0 0 0 1998-11-20 33.0 30.0 0.005 0.005 0 1998-11-21 41.0 27.0 0 0 0 1998-11-22 55.0 38.0 0 0 0 1998-11-23 58.0 43.0 0 0 0 1998-11-24 52.0 37.0 0 0 0 1998-11-25 53.0 41.0 0.005 0 0 1998-11-26 59.0 36.0 0 0 0 1998-11-27 64.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-11-28 65.0 44.0 0.005 0 0 1998-11-29 66.0 55.0 0 0 0 1998-11-30 63.0 38.0 0.12 0 0 1998-12-01 57.0 36.0 0 0 0 1998-12-02 60.0 47.0 0 0 0 1998-12-03 64.0 48.0 0 0 0 1998-12-04 53.0 46.0 0.05 0 0 1998-12-05 61.0 45.0 0.01 0 0 1998-12-06 56.0 33.0 0.69 1.8 0.005 1998-12-07 39.0 32.0 0 0 0 1998-12-08 44.0 27.0 0 0 0 1998-12-09 48.0 28.0 0 0 0 1998-12-10 36.0 30.0 0 0 0 1998-12-11 48.0 30.0 0 0 0 1998-12-12 47.0 30.0 0 0 0 1998-12-13 44.0 26.0 0 0 0 1998-12-14 47.0 20.0 0 0 0 1998-12-15 50.0 36.0 0 0 0 1998-12-16 39.0 31.0 0 0 0 1998-12-17 35.0 24.0 0 0 0 1998-12-18 48.0 27.0 0.03 0.5 1 1998-12-19 37.0 27.0 0 0 0 1998-12-20 34.0 28.0 0.04 0.3 0.005 1998-12-21 32.0 6.0 0.005 0.005 0.005 1998-12-22 10.0 2.0 0.005 0.005 0.005 1998-12-23 23.0 7.0 0 0 0 1998-12-24 23.0 10.0 0 0 0 1998-12-25 31.0 15.0 0 0 0 1998-12-26 29.0 16.0 0.005 0.005 0 1998-12-27 39.0 25.0 0 0 0 1998-12-28 40.0 14.0 0 0 0 1998-12-29 36.0 3.0 0.06 0.8 0.005 1998-12-30 9.0 -3.0 0 0 0.005 1998-12-31 12.0 5.0 0 0 0.005 Lookin' good! Plus we have yet to get Nov Snow. Never snows in Nov anymore it seems. I'll take that start If I end up with close to 60.7" like 98/9.. I'm already conceding a ****ty snow pack winter. Maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 I had a decent winter last year and didn't really see shyt until January, so I'm not concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Lookin' good! Plus we have yet to get Nov Snow. Classic. What was your #1 analog last winter, 1997-98? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 Classic. What was your #1 analog last winter, 1997-98? lol, you can probably find it at Eastern if you look hard enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Wonder if MKE sails all the way to Dec 31st with 5 inches or less of snow? It's in the realm of possibility. Ill eat my shirt if MKE ended up 5 or lower for all of Nov/Dec. Especially since typical La Nina's normally bank hard early, only your top 'analog' is a dud early in the season, and 98/99 was an atypical La Nina. Keep on trolling, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Never snows in Nov anymore it seems. I'll take that start If I end up with close to 60.7" like 98/9.. I'm already conceding a ****ty snow pack winter. Maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised otherwise. SHUUUUUU :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cromartie Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Ill eat my shirt if MKE ended up 5 or lower for all of Nov/Dec. Especially since typical La Nina's normally bank hard early, only your top 'analog' is a dud early in the season, and 98/99 was an atypical La Nina. Keep on trolling, It's just my educated guess. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. No one is 100% right in forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 It's just my educated guess. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. No one is 100% right in forecasting. No, but there is a lot of data that would disagree with 5 or less inches of snow in MKE between now and end of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 I like your screen name Apparently the ECMWF does as well: Precip. Field is awful on the NW side but a "nice" deform band from northern OH west then WSW to SW OH. Temps below 35... 925mb below -4, 850mb Temps below -5. It's a start at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Hunch: At least one more sig winter wx threat this November, most likely N of a DSM-MBS line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Hunch: At least one more sig winter wx threat this November, most likely N of a DSM-MBS line. How about a Kansas City to Toledo to Toronto line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Nice win by the Bears! Always fun watching the Queens lose even if it is Da Bears doing it.. Looks like my 9-7 call for them will probably end of being correct. Pretty tough schedule ahead and I could see me falling short a win. I'll switch teams with ya....YOU CAN HAVE THE LIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Nice win by the Bears! Always fun watching the Queens lose even if it is Da Bears doing it.. Looks like my 9-7 call for them will probably end of being correct. Pretty tough schedule ahead and I could see me falling short a win. 10-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 How about a Kansas City to Toledo to Toronto line? SGF-EVV-CMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 How about a Kansas City to Toledo to Toronto line? Depends on the strength of the storm too. A sub 980mb low (o even sub 990mb) won't do no good tracking over Toledo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 I like the SE of I-44 track myself, Tulsa, Joplin, Springfield MO.. St. Louis. It will never happen :-p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 How about a Kansas City to Toledo to Toronto line? That'd be nice. But I'm thinking December will be our time to shine (and by shine, I mean snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Picked up 0.07" of rain so far this evening. Kind of an unexpected light rain event. Still raining a bit out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Hunch: At least one more sig winter wx threat this November, most likely N of a DSM-MBS line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Monday, November 15th: Hi: 51F Lo: 30F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 15MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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