cyclone77 Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Up to 0.72" and still raining. Good to see you guys finally getting some decent rainfall. Hopefully you get a lot more over the next three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Good to see you guys finally getting some decent rainfall. Hopefully you get a lot more over the next three days. Long overdue no doubt. And yes, the T-Day storm looks promising right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Looks like 0.91" is going to be the final 2 day total at LAF. Nice. Winds are a bit gusty right now as temps crash and we await the next torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Monday, November 22nd: Hi: 66F Lo: 38F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 22MPH Rainfall: 0.71" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 That will come after and we're left high and dry while the east coast get a HECS. 0z GFS is exactly as you prophesied oh great one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 funny... I'm glad someone started a storm thread that is never going to happen... Dropped into the mid teens last night...today won't make freezing... Pretty cold with no snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 0z Euro trying to stir something up for day 10 with what looks like an app runner. So, congrats Bismarck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Found a place for you snow monkeys to move to: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Traverse+City&state=MI&site=APX&textField1=44.7544&textField2=-85.6029&e=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 It hit 19F in Madison this morning, really felt like winter on the drive to the airport. I'm sure not gonna mind the 80F temps in Fort Lauderdale when I land in about an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 0z Euro trying to stir something up for day 10 with what looks like an app runner. So, congrats Bismarck? This looks like Minnesota's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Turtle- For what i've been reading...the TSA is going to make you want to stay in Madison next time. Hope the pornoscanner/probing/molesting go well for you It was cold...i had 12.1F on my yard gauge... Ground has frost in it for the first time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 34.5º at my house at noon (36º at LAF). Quite the contrast to yesterday's torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Ah, several weeks ago the GFS was first showing our wintry (read: snowy) pattern to commence around the 15th-16th of November. Just a fool to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Ah, several weeks ago the GFS was first showing our wintry (read: snowy) pattern to commence around the 15th-16th of November. Just a fool to believe. Moral of the story: don't believe the hype. Although I do welcome this current rainy pattern. At least it's something happening here. I remain hopeful for future wintry prospects...whenever that may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Moral of the story: don't believe the hype. Although I do welcome this current rainy pattern. At least it's something happening here. I remain hopeful for future wintry prospects...whenever that may be. Hanging your hopes on the post 180 hour GFS will always get you in trouble. But because some of the indicies (NAO/AO) were looking fairly promising, I thought I could give those fantasy blizzards a little more credence. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 *While AO/NAO begin to rise after Dec 1 they both stay firmly negative according to the ensemble forecast on the CPC site. PNA also starts to go positive during this period which will hopefully quash that GOA low from flooding the continent with Pacific air. All this accompanied with increasingly more favorable snow climotology makes me think the period around Dec 5 might be a good time to watch for a true storm threat. Until then, regardless of what a rogue model run shows here or there, I think we'll have to be content with rain. * Doesn't include MN. You'll have several snow chances preceding Dec 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Looks like i'll get my first frost tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 23, 2010 Author Share Posted November 23, 2010 *While AO/NAO begin to rise after Dec 1 they both stay firmly negative according to the ensemble forecast on the CPC site. PNA also starts to go positive during this period which will hopefully quash that GOA low from flooding the continent with Pacific air. All this accompanied with increasingly more favorable snow climotology makes me think the period around Dec 5 might be a good time to watch for a true storm threat. Until then, regardless of what a rogue model run shows here or there, I think we'll have to be content with rain. * Doesn't include MN. You'll have several snow chances preceding Dec 5. Yeah, I don't think this will be a warm pattern on average, but we could still get screwed on storm tracks. November snow around here is a bonus and contributes very little to the seasonal average, but I understand it's different for folks farther north. If nothing else, as long as we get tracks heading toward the Lakes, it opens the door to more potential severe weather events at least into the OV which I'll take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 12z EURO looks mildly interesting. Main D7 storm still cuts way west but a second piece of energy rounds the base of the trough and forms a wave over WV at D8. Looks like an Apps runner track although would have to see 204 to be sure. Am a little suspicious of the D8 sfc features it's depicting. I'd think that wave over WV would be further west considering were the H5 energy is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 So that's what we wanted this Wednesday rain maker to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 12z EURO looks mildly interesting. Main D7 storm still cuts way west but a second piece of energy rounds the base of the trough and forms a wave over WV at D8. Looks like an Apps runner track although would have to see 204 to be sure. Am a little suspicious of the D8 sfc features it's depicting. I'd think that wave over WV would be further west considering were the H5 energy is. Do you have 192-204 frames yet? I'm waiting for the ECMWF to update on Accuwx Pro... although this whole storm is kind of weird looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Do you have 192-204 frames yet? I'm waiting for the ECMWF to update on Accuwx Pro... although this whole storm is kind of weird looking. No, I don't have access to any of that. I'm just looking at the freebies at PSU. BowMe might be able to fill us in with the SV data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 A lot cooler than yesterday with temps hanging in the 50's all day. Much more seasonable than 70 degree temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Hard to tell but it looks a little to warm for eastern Ohio and Toronto through 204 but after that it looks to start changing over. Hard to tell how much precip would be snow but I could see maybe a 3-6" strip. Wet run though.. lot of the Ohio Valley between 4-5-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Hard to tell but it looks a little to warm for eastern Ohio and Toronto through 204 but after that it looks to start changing over. Hard to tell how much precip would be snow but I could see maybe a 3-6" strip. Wet run though.. lot of the Ohio Valley between 4-5-6" Much thanks. At least there's some continuity between the 0z and 12z EURO runs, both showing that secondary storm in the OV/TV. Interestingly, GGEM at 180 also has a lot of energy hanging around in the southern Plains, which might, if we were able to see the GGEM beyond 180, produce a similar kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 No, I don't have access to any of that. I'm just looking at the freebies at PSU. BowMe might be able to fill us in with the SV data. Just updated on AccuwxPro. Low tracks from WV to Pittsburgh, to WNY to Northern NY. Sfc. Temps are below 35 from North-Central OH west. 850s crash by 192-198. Haven't checked much else but going off that it looks like .5-.75" of Frozen QPF for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Looks way to warm in Eastern Ohio on the SV maps until 198-204 when they start to crash Toronto 204 and out.. Maybe I'm reading it wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Looks way to warm in Eastern Ohio on the SV maps until 198-204 when they start to crash Toronto 204 and out.. Yeah. From Sandusky west it looks better though... 850's and 2m's look fairly cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 COLD here today...first "wintery" day this year... Got to get used to this...3 more months of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 Yeah. From Sandusky west it looks better though... 850's and 2m's look fairly cold... Yeah... And I for some reason thought you would be more on the eastern side of the state with your name so I was focused that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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