Stebo Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 My god, after 2 early season storms that in an La Nina are climatologically favored to track over MN/WI everyone's calling for a 98/99 winter and adjusting their forecasts. For the 100th time, it's only November. Our region (that is, Great Lakes/Ohio Valley) normally doesn't flip over in an La Nina until mid December. Even last season, the first two storms of the seasons tracked through the Northern Plains/Upper Midwest (and we know how that winter played out in the end). Now when Detroit doesn't see its first winter storm headline by January and snowstormcanuck/Chicago WX don't see their first measurable snowfall by Janaury then it's time to worry. Yeah my mention of 98-99 was a ruse as I don't think things will be that slow to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Brown Christmas....lock it in... This storm looks to drop nothing here now... Doesn't even look that cold anymore. No hot sector here.. .I've got mid 30s with freezing rain to the west. Bus load of coeds in bikinis in your driveway on Xmas eve. Time to open the pool back up (or put one up). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Up to 60F now. Ended up getting up to 61F last night, before only falling to 57F for a low this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 98-99 You do realize that if that panned out, you'd have to deal with a few weeks of crushing snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 My god, after 2 early season storms that in an La Nina are climatologically favored to track over MN/WI everyone's calling for a 98/99 winter and adjusting their forecasts. For the 100th time, it's only November. Our region (that is, Great Lakes/Ohio Valley) normally doesn't flip over in an La Nina until mid December. Even last season, the first two storms of the seasons tracked through the Northern Plains/Upper Midwest (and we know how that winter played out in the end). Now when Detroit doesn't see its first winter storm headline by January and snowstormcanuck/Chicago WX don't see their first measurable snowfall by Janaury then it's time to worry. Agree 100000%!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 The beach bunnies won't have to go to Florida this winter... All local beaches go topless after Jan 1... new state law Lightning and thunder here now...heavy rain and mid 30s... Sounds about right . Someone make Cromartie a moderator...obviously he has the skills needed...also give him a met tag as an added bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 My god, after 2 early season storms that in an La Nina are climatologically favored to track over MN/WI everyone's calling for a 98/99 winter and adjusting their forecasts. For the 100th time, it's only November. Our region (that is, Great Lakes/Ohio Valley) normally doesn't flip over in an La Nina until mid December. Even last season, the first two storms of the seasons tracked through the Northern Plains/Upper Midwest (and we know how that winter played out in the end). Now when Detroit doesn't see its first winter storm headline by January and snowstormcanuck/Chicago WX don't see their first measurable snowfall by Janaury then it's time to worry. Eh, I think everyone was kidding around about a 98-99 repeat. Well everyone but cromartie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Eh, I think everyone was kidding around about a 98-99 repeat. Well everyone but cromartie. If it was up to him winter would be like last year minus February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Amazing temp contrast across Iowa ATM. 18 just off the northwest tip at Sioux Falls, while 64 in Keokuk. Up to 55 here now. Warm front is definitely passing back through. Made it as low as 43 right at daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 If it was up to him winter would be like last year minus February. His wet dream winter combo: Dec 1998...Jan 2006...Feb 1998 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Eh, I think everyone was kidding around about a 98-99 repeat. Well everyone but cromartie. I suppose, it's hard to tell sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 I suppose, it's hard to tell sometimes. No trust me, everyone was joking. But I understand internet sarcasm is tough to detect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Amazing warm frontal passage. We're now at 59 and climbing a degree every few mins. At this rate upper 60s don't seem out of the question anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Amazing warm frontal passage. We're now at 59 and climbing a degree every few mins. At this rate upper 60s don't seem out of the question anymore. It's 64/61 down to your south in Lacon and Galesburg. Looks like at least mid 60's are probable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 My god, after 2 early season storms that in an La Nina are climatologically favored to track over MN/WI everyone's calling for a 98/99 winter and adjusting their forecasts. For the 100th time, it's only November. Our region (that is, Great Lakes/Ohio Valley) normally doesn't flip over in an La Nina until mid December. Even last season, the first two storms of the seasons tracked through the Northern Plains/Upper Midwest (and we know how that winter played out in the end). Now when Detroit doesn't see its first winter storm headline by January and snowstormcanuck/Chicago WX don't see their first measurable snowfall by Janaury then it's time to worry. Actually, it's probably time to worry if Chicago doesn't get its first trace of snow by Dec. 5th or measurable by the 15th, as these are the latest dates on record for each. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 66/57 at LAF at 11AM. Just one more degree for the airport record high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Sitting at 63/60 now with the sun poking back out. Triple point will pass to our north shortly after noon. RUC/NAM/HRRR bring the cold front through here at 2pm. Gonna be a race between the storm development and the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 74/60 here. wow. if we stay sunny for another few hours..upper 70s to near 80 is possible. nam/ruc have us near freezing at 6 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 65/61 now. With full sun just to the southwest it's possible the QC could tie or break the record of 69 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Would love if the GFS is right, albeit boring looking, ice fishing on Monona Bay would be in full force by the end of the today's 12z run... Setting myself up to be disappointed yet again by looking that far out but I'll never learn and its fun to dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 good storms this morning and more on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 [said with a hint of sarcasm]Excitement galore on the 12z GFS post Turkey Day...complete with the fantasy cold shot past day 7...and a Nor'easter at the end of the run.[/said with a hint of sarcasm] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 98-99 If it's going to be a bad Nina I't take a 98-99 over a 99-00. At least with the latter scenario there was 3 weeks of pure bliss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 If it's going to be a bad Nina I't take a 98-99 over a 99-00. At least with the latter scenario there was 3 weeks of pure bliss. +100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 Actually, it's probably time to worry if Chicago doesn't get its first trace of snow by Dec. 5th or measurable by the 15th, as these are the latest dates on record for each. Well there's even less of a correlation there (see the Midwest winter talk thread). It would go against climo if my aforementioned areas didn't see what I stated before January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 +100 How'd you guys do in 99-00? IIRC, everything that season resembled suppression city. In fact, in terms of synoptic pattern it kind of reminds me of 09-10, except with the ENSO reversed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 How'd you guys do in 99-00? IIRC, everything that season resembled suppression city. In fact, in terms of synoptic pattern it kind of reminds me of 09-10, except with the ENSO reversed. Slightly below normal snowfall at LAF. January was the best month with 13.9". Other than that...meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 How'd you guys do in 99-00? IIRC, everything that season resembled suppression city. In fact, in terms of synoptic pattern it kind of reminds me of 09-10, except with the ENSO reversed. 1999 did have that nice Christmas blizzard (IIRC). Then again that might have been 2000 -2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 1999 did have that nice Christmas blizzard (IIRC). Then again that might have been 2000 -2001. Dec 1999 was a wasteland for snow here. No Christmas blizzard. I gotta imagine it was similar in SE MI. Dec 2000 was very good. There was a mid month blizzard (11th-12th) and a coupler of smaller storms leading up to Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2010 Share Posted November 22, 2010 68/61 here at the house. Winds are pretty gusty out of the south to almost 30mph at times. Feels like April out there. Hard to believe we're gonna be back into the 40s by sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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