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MW/Lakes/OV November 2010 general disco


Hoosier

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Not sounding any alarms or anything, but ORD has yet to record a T of snowfall. The record latest occurrence for Chicago is December 5, 1999. And just for the heck of it, the latest measurable (0.1"+) record is December 16, 1965. Hopefully both of those records remain intact.

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So with the AO going that negative.. Canada blazes away/SE goes cold...sounds like last winter:

2010112100_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png

Maybe those of usi n the norther tier will do better in January and February, when many mets are forecasting it to turn warmer overall in the east? Perhaps the storm track will lift north? If not, there will be a lot of "northern tears" this winter

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Yeah, definitely. It would give us a decent snowstorm. But it is a weird map nonetheless. The Greenland block has moved to Hudson Bay, and the lowest heights can be found, right over St. Louis on the 240h.

I'm not doubting that the wave will exist. In fact, it's already present over far Eastern Siberia and will be getting at least some sampling pretty early on, making it less erratic than this system. But it's almost guaranteed that it will look nothing like it does now by the time it gets here. It'd be nice to wait until <5 days before we do another storm thread.

Part of the reason the Euro looks so wierd is because it has some of the energy from the T-day storm getting recirculated under the block and then phased with the storm in question.

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59/51 here at last check. Spring has sprung. arrowheadsmiley.png

This would suggest that although there are some warm days coming up, it's going to be tough to get a warm pattern overall in our neck of the woods

post-14-0-01161100-1290380595.png

I think what might happen is that we get a brief cold shot late week, then moderate a bit before it may turn colder again. I'm guessing that the Nov 25-Dec 10 period will come out at least somewhat below average in temps, but I could be wrong. Let's hope we get some snow with it.

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Tomorrow morning's low temp at ORD will probably be around 55F, about 28 degrees above normal.

Also, Fairbanks, AK has a winter storm watch for freezing rain tomorrow, with nighttime low temps around 32F. That is about 42 degrees above normal.

My point: it's a strange pattern, as it's rather unusual to have such + departures at both ORD and Fairbanks at the same time.

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Temp is up to 58F, which is the high for the day.

Gonna be a warm and windy night over there in Chi-town. Looks like we'll cool down later tonight as the cold front passes, but will lift back northwestward tomorrow morning.

Should see the radars start lighting up with elevated showers and maybe some isolated thunder over the next 3-4hrs.

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Amazingly, Detroit is sitting at a warm air advected 60*F at 10 PM, which is also the high for today. Even in DTX's latest update they didn't expect areas to be sitting in the 60s this time of night in November.

This is all despite temperatures ealrier today starting in the upper 30s/lower 40s and a solid stratocumulus deck for most of the day.

I wonder will record high lows be set tonight...

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