tmagan Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Some robust storms east of KACY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 today reminds me of 12/17/2000...we were on the warm side of a storm for the second time in a week...After the second storm we went into a prolonged cold spell with the models showing a bomb for a week or so before it became realty on the 30th...I wish every December 12th was 1960 but not today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 From the afternoon package on the blog... http://nymetrowx.blogspot.com/p/forecast-discussion.html Long Term Several winter concerns in this range, the first of them being the potential for light snow at the end of the week. Most models are rather mundane with the shortwave development across the Central United States, with the Polar Vortex lifting into Southeast Canada or Northern New England. Surface low pressure development is favored across the Mid-Atlantic with the potential for Light QPF from DC to PHL and possibly into our area as well. We didn't include pops at the current time--but we may have to introduce them eventually, especially with the GEFS and SREF means showing measurable QPF into our area by Thursday or Friday. Beyond this, the Polar Vortex lifts north and elongates west to east with tremendous blocking developing towards Greenland and Western Canada. With the active pacific jet and plenty of shortwaves heading east through the CONUS, the potential is higher than usual for a Polar Vortex phase on the East Coast, and cyclogenesis off the coastal plain, whether it be earlier in the time period (Day 5-7, as the ECMWF hints) or later in the time period (Days 9-10). Plenty of spread at this range, but we see enough reason to note it here in the discussion. Not included in hazards or text forecast at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Just drove home on LI's North Shore from Stony Brook to Miller Place and flooding is easily worst since March last year, and persistence and relentlessness of downpours is notable. Roads like North Country in Port Jeff are ponds. I'll take cold and dry like last week over this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 The low level jet is ramping up along and ahead of the front this evening--don't be surprised to see some very heavy rains especially in our local area extending towards Long Island and Southern New England as this feature strengthens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Just drove home on LI's North Shore from Stony Brook to Miller Place and flooding is easily worst since March last year, and persistence and relentlessness of downpours is notable. Roads like North Country in Port Jeff are ponds. I'll take cold and dry like last week over this. I suspect the water will still be there when everything freezes up later tomorrow and it will be like a skating rink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I suspect the water will still be there when everything freezes up later tomorrow and it will be like a skating rink. I'm curious about how quick it'll freeze up but there's lotsa lakes around. I'm on a sod farm and in 1994 after the ice storm folks were skating on it. We're not getting that cold BUT there is an amazing amount of rain put down today.I'm curious about totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Yeah the clouds got in the way. Helping pave the way for the first below normal month since Feb At least we'll have some showers and squals to track the next 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Light snowflakes falling here....welcome back winter...it was close to 60 this time yesetrday here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I have some light snow falling here as well. 37/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6zNam Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 39 and sleet here in Flushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 18z NAM is pretty bullish on the cold...-18 to -19 850's at its coldest. So we may actually squeeze out 2 possibly 3 subfreezing days. Definitely going to be colder than last wk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Light snow here in Jersey City,NJ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 39 and sleet here in Flushing I think its more snow graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6zNam Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I think its more Snow graupel. yeah true its not a loud PING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 yeah true its not a loud PING Ball shaped and white. Pretty sure its graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6zNam Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Ball shaped and white. Pretty sure its graupel. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Flizzard going on right now in Clifton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'm making the call for a new thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'm making the call for a new thread. pull the trigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 pull the trigger Too busy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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