SnoSki14 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 There is some good news though, the pattern aloft looks decent for a snow event next week. While things may not be as cold as previously forecast, the blocking is going to be very strong, probably west based, and we will have a 50/50 type low in place. So we may have a shot at some snow for the next 10 days even though the Pacific isn't great by any means, the Atlantic will be ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Did someone say it's going to be 85 in Newark this upcoming week.. I'm confused. I keep seeing posts of warming conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nynjpaweather Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 There is some good news though, the pattern aloft looks decent for a snow event next week. While things may not be as cold as previously forecast, the blocking is going to be very strong, probably west based, and we will have a 50/50 type low in place. So we may have a shot at some snow for the next 10 days even though the Pacific isn't great by any means, the Atlantic will be ideal. Here's an idea, let's wait for some verification. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 10, 2010 Author Share Posted December 10, 2010 Did someone say it's going to be 85 in Newark this upcoming week.. I'm confused. I keep seeing posts of warming conditions. Quite possible given H85 temps of only -10 especially since jetski says the pattern isn't as cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Did someone say it's going to be 85 in Newark this upcoming week.. I'm confused. I keep seeing posts of warming conditions. Highs everywhere on the east coast could be in the 20s and Newark will still read 40F, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Here's an idea, let's wait for some verification. lol Here's an idea-- lets drop a nuke on the weather channel. Some weaklings in the deep south might think this is cold-- but it isnt that cold. I've had enough of their bitching about the cold. I'm used to the weather already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Quite possible given H85 temps of only -10 especially since jetski says the pattern isn't as cold. Then what do they get to to on Sunday? 100 or so? Chance of severe thunderstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Floridians are so funny when they think any temperature below 60 is cold and they have jackets on, and scarves, gloves. But I guess if I lived in Florida, I would think the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Quite possible given H85 temps of only -10 especially since jetski says the pattern isn't as cold. lol ... oh... I get it now... we are mixing that H85 -10 temp down through the crust of the earth, through some geyser, and then it shoots back up again through a volcano and warms additionally through downsloping down the volcano and into the valleys.. Took me a bit to figure out how that one works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Radars are looking more and more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 just fyi 12z euro has 2m temps in the mid to upper 20s for highs in the cities tues and wed, thats what 15-20 degrees below normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 just fyi 12z euro has 2m temps in the mid to upper 20s for highs in the cities tues and wed, thats what 15-20 degrees below normal? Yeah, normal high is in the low 40s. I dont know how "rare" this is-- especially considering we've seen highs below freezing in early April before (like once every few years), so early December cant really be considered a huge departure. And technically it's mid December now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Radars are looking more and more interesting. how so? looks like the southern edge is breaking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Yeah, normal high is in the low 40s. I dont know how "rare" this is-- especially considering we've seen highs below freezing in early April before (like once every few years), so early December cant really be considered a huge departure. And technically it's mid December now. It's not rare. NYC, LGA, and JFK all average close to four days in December with highs at or below 32. I can't call something that happens four times every December rare. It is remarkable though. For cold, it seems that anything more than 12 degrees departure is remarkable to me since real cold around here is hard to come by anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monroe Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Got a dusting. Roads white. Looks like maybe another shower later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Looks like a decent snowshower over NYC and heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 its hard to tell from my office window in midtown as its pretty dark yet the streetlights aren't on yet Looks like a decent snowshower over NYC and heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 radar echos over me all day and I managed 5 flakes.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I thought I saw something whisp through the air before. Was it a snowflake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Saw some very small flakes on a walk about 10 minutes ago. Something is better than nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 radar echos over me all day and I managed 5 flakes.. lol Here is why. This pic is of the OKX RAOB from this AM. Note all the dry air up to 700mb, then the moisture above that. Because there is not heavy precip rates ongoing here, it won't promote a lot of moistening of the low levels to erode the dry air. Essentially, you're getting flurries falling from a mid level cloud deck. IR satellite and obs are showing lower clouds moving in from the west now so that is likely why some places are actually getting snow showers instead of flurries starting this evening as another short wave trof moves thru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 got some very light snow here now 29° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Yep, flurries here in Manhattan. Totally surprised me when I got out of the train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 25* and Lgt Snow falling... Coating on all surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 28 degrees with some very light snow here too...nice sized flakes, just not enough of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Nice little dusting of snow here...holding at 27 or 28 since middle of the day.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 NAM is on board now with -20 H85 temps moving in later in the run. Winds are stiff out of the northwest so we won't really radiate until a day or two after that (especially with the ULL overhead)..but it's going to be really, really cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 this upcoming cold shot will be about 5 degrees colder than the previous one and both had the potential to be a couple degrees colder (2-4?) had there been a fresh snow pack. I think a sub 20 high would've been possible next wk if this upcoming storm would've been a snow producer. oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 NAM is on board now with -20 H85 temps moving in later in the run. Winds are stiff out of the northwest so we won't really radiate until a day or two after that (especially with the ULL overhead)..but it's going to be really, really cold. Maybe EWR will get down to 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 Maybe EWR will get down to 50. Come on now...let's not wishcast the cold..I know the 850's are -20 but come on... 50? keep ridiculous posts like these in OT...this isnt the Northeast US in December..we are talking about Newark here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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