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January 26-27 Storm Threat - II


Baroclinic Zone

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It's colder, it came towards the gfs 0z. I like that we are seeing the bm track stand tall. Think that's good for all of us, one more run....

If this track holds, we'd probably changeover to snow during the 2nd half of the storm. I could see .75qpf liquid, .75 qpf snow occurring. Interior gets crushed, again.

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If this track holds, we'd probably changeover to snow during the 2nd half of the storm. I could see .75qpf liquid, .75 qpf snow occurring. Interior gets crushed, again.

Yeah. This was the big run, I doubted my friend for a moment but apparently some euro data is available at 1230 now. Anyway, snowmageddon even to the coast in the end

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1" QPF line runs from about BGR-LCI-VSF-MSV. All of SNE over 1".

Eh. Unless, there's a trend westward or a deformation zone, this is not what KLEB region needed (that's a shift southward with my map in front of me). I wonder what the ensembles will have. Thanks Brian for laying it out clearly. Not a bad storm, just not anything memorable.

Of course last year, I'd be begging for this, haha.

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If this track holds, we'd probably changeover to snow during the 2nd half of the storm. I could see .75qpf liquid, .75 qpf snow occurring. Interior gets crushed, again.

Historically we don't do all that well waiting for the rain to change to snow in extreme SE New England. One big exception was a Cape Blizzard in 1987 that dumped up to 2 feet sparing just about everyone else.

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Eh. Unless, there's a trend westward or a deformation zone, this is not what KLEB region needed (that's a shift southward with my map in front of me). I wonder what the ensembles will have. Thanks Brian for laying it out clearly. Not a bad storm, just not anything memorable.

Of course last year, I'd be begging for this, haha.

Dude, this circulation is huge and moisture laden....how many times have seen these crank a deformation band out west.

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Eh. Unless, there's a trend westward or a deformation zone, this is not what KLEB region needed (that's a shift southward with my map in front of me). I wonder what the ensembles will have. Thanks Brian for laying it out clearly. Not a bad storm, just not anything memorable.

LEB is 0.75-1.00"...somewhere in the middle.
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Dude, this circulation is huge and moister lade....how many times have seen this crank a deformation band out west.

Oh sure... Thus, my deformation band comment. I don't want to downplay the significance here... I just would prefer inside the benchmark... Still 72 hours+ on this thing, so I'm not giving up (hence a trend westward).

We'll see... don't mean to sound overly negative.

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Oh sure... Thus, my deformation band comment. I don't want to downplay the significance here... I just would prefer inside the benchmark... Still 72 hours+ on this thing, so I'm not giving up (hence a trend westward).

We'll see... don't mean to sound overly negative.

I wouldn't be suprised to see a 2' total in w ne.....maybe a bit east of the others if this really goes over the bM.

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Oh sure... Thus, my deformation band comment. I don't want to downplay the significance here... I just would prefer inside the benchmark... Still 72 hours+ on this thing, so I'm not giving up (hence a trend westward).

We'll see... don't mean to sound overly negative.

You are right, the past two days has seen just about every model trend south and east (aside the already eastern outliers)....Now euro trending that way, not good.

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Wow, nice trend on the Euro...continues to slightly cool.

Absolutely extraordinary.....in addition to another 15-18" (likely just enough to beat Jan 2005) of snow, the EURO manages to keep me below 32* for the entire run, save for the hr 66 frame, when it makes it to Lowell. :lol:

I'm just about ready to declare this winter my favorite.

BTW, nice overruning event @ day 10. lol

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