CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I have been siding with the idea that too amped is more of a concern than OTS. Absolutely. I'm still nervous about that. This pattern has many earmarks of something coming closer. I know we have the northern stream and the possibility of it kicking it further ots, but you can tell that this thing will come up the coast if it senses even the slightest weakness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That's very good advice. See ya later! Pregnancy sex is the best, crap, storm thread. Your windshield wiper theory is one of the best analogies I have seen. Euro is as steadfast as I have seen it this year. Intensity is ramping up on all models, going to be a bomb, circa size even if at BM Heading NNe would be enough to satiate all. With a 5 h capture would expect slower movement for a time too. Go ahead weenie me. I am pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Mike Wankum (consider that name....and what comes up in your mind's eye if you've never seen him...) likened this event to 1/18. WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 The ensembles have been quite consistent from all major models. 18z GEFS went a bit east as did 06z this morning, but all in all, quite consistent. Euro and its ensembles have been the most consistent of the bunch. Like you said, the off hour runs seem to be biased east right now for some reason. Ensembles are usually biased SE of the op model runs, and the GEFS has been (to some extent) holding strong aligned with the op. Meanwhile the op Euro only had a minor blink once -- yesterday's 12z run. Otherwise it's been very consistent. What's your opinion of the Euro's superiority right now? I know it's lost the confidence of some people after a few storms this winter. I also know in previous winters, with a consistent solution from the Euro at 72-96hr, it would be hands down, who cares about what NCEP has come up with on the chalkboard. Right now a lot of the characteristics of the disagreement sound like they're originating from initialization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Mike Wankum (consider that name....and what comes up in your mind's eye if you've never seen him...) likened this event to 1/18. WTF? I heard that too. I think he was referring to the retreating high or something, but this is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Mike Wankum (consider that name....and what comes up in your mind's eye if you've never seen him...) likened this event to 1/18. WTF? I heard the same thing.....slightest hint of Boston turning to rain and he thought "WTH". He prob figured he could get away with it because it was the only one that had p-type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 wait, it really gets that bad? Once a week is horrible for me Once weekly? I'd have to go back awhile.....partially because of my weenieism. Summer times it's actually plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Mike Wankum (consider that name....and what comes up in your mind's eye if you've never seen him...) likened this event to 1/18. WTF? ya i saw that...the only connection i could make is from a tangible wx perspective Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Will, what did you end up with in the last event btw.....8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Will, what did you end up with in the last event btw.....8 7.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 53 and married forever, odds are not good Same on the 1st 2 parts, But took care of the 3rd one this am........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I can see a Gardner 24 incher in the PNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Grabbed it for y'all to rip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Grabbed it for y'all to rip. I'd extend that 10-15" area up into southern Maine more. Otherwise, nice map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Haven't seen one model since the 18z GFS on Friday. WHDH's map says good things have happened since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Haven't seen one model since the 18z GFS on Friday. WHDH's map says good things have happened since then. So I guess we're ripping the Euro lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Grabbed it for y'all to rip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 So I guess we're ripping the Euro lol? Thats the only one you need to see....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 So I guess we're ripping the Euro lol? If you're gonna rip, might as well rip one with the king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I can see a Gardner 24 incher in the PNS Please, make it Gardner, MA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Where were the Euro ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Best week in years of best overall winter in years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Where were the Euro ens? BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 BM Nice, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Please, make it Gardner, MA... Duh, you are primetime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Duh, you are primetime When my wife and I first lived together, we had a cruddy lil apartment in Gardner and had some unbelievable storms (incl. April Fools 36"er). Her dad was kinda pissed about snow and would spend all day snowblowing his entire yard. Now, they hire someone for the driveway and I do their roof sometimes. For a while it seemed that old city was ground zero for winter weather. Was in Burrillville for some of today and they have 20-24" OTG Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I heard the same thing.....slightest hint of Boston turning to rain and he thought "WTH". He prob figured he could get away with it because it was the only one that had p-type issues. Yeah. 2 sentences before referring to the 1/18 storm he said something like "lots of snow inland" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 If we get a big waterlogged dump, I may hire some kid.....although I enjoy shoveling so probably not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 If we get a big waterlogged dump, I may hire some kid.....although I enjoy shoveling so probably not... There you go, talking dumps again... Another storm I wish I could fast forward to. The waiting is the hardest part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 What are you looking at? That is a graze at best. Convert . to MM that is .3 to .7" liquid for SE areas, bit more cape; and absolutely no good for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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