Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 18z NOGAPS way east, not even threatening the Cape really. 3for3 Is this the big coup we are accustomed to with the Euro? Edit 2/3 BIRVINE FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 We're dealing with the 18z GFS which is currently in the range that it often loses storms for a couple runs, and the 18z NAM in the range that nobody should pay attention to. And then there's the Euro which has been extremely consistent and is currently in the range where it is known for domination. I'm ordering everyone online right now to go get laid and wait for the 00z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'm ordering everyone online right now to go get laid and wait for the 00z Euro 53 and married forever, odds are not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Sounds like a Bouchard call (I Love him), but he's on today. So who was it? It wasnt Bouchard, Jeremy Wiener Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 53 and married forever, odds are not good you can do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JulieRI Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where's the "like" button - especially since I'm a lurker. We're dealing with the 18z GFS which is currently in the range that it often loses storms for a couple runs, and the 18z NAM in the range that nobody should pay attention to. And then there's the Euro which has been extremely consistent and is currently in the range where it is known for domination. I'm ordering everyone online right now to go get laid and wait for the 00z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Just reading catching up and reading all the posts. Trend is definately east and with 18Z NAM and GFS east I am saying this is going to be a whiff. Yeah, I know the Euro blah, blah,blah but the northern energy just isn't going to phase with this southern stream system. I am up here in NH so maybe the Cape up to Boston will get snow but I am really not excited at this point. Would like to see the trends go the other way. Next You're premature in your call. 3rd run in a row now on GEFS anomaly. With significant anomaly departures -2 to -3 across SNE and ENY @ 850, +2 to +4 pwat departures above normal same area and -2 anomalies at 250. Even latest SREF while ending around Wed when the event starts are west. Grant it, this isn't in the SREFS wheelhouse period of excellence but with their bouncing around that's a good sign, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 We're dealing with the 18z GFS which is currently in the range that it often loses storms for a couple runs, and the 18z NAM in the range that nobody should pay attention to. And then there's the Euro which has been extremely consistent and is currently in the range where it is known for domination. I'm ordering everyone online right now to go get laid and wait for the 00z Euro The ensembles have been quite consistent from all major models. 18z GEFS went a bit east as did 06z this morning, but all in all, quite consistent. Euro and its ensembles have been the most consistent of the bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 53 and married forever, odds are not good Maybe if you showed her your piles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think this will be a nice storm. It's easier to just watch and not worry much with 20"+ otg and slim to no chance of a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where's the "like" button - especially since I'm a lurker. hahah I often wish this had a "like" buttom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 53 and married forever, odds are not good I'm 19 and a weather geek. Mine are about the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 It wasnt Bouchard, Jeremy Wiener Yep...just watched it online...WOW - he posted a snow map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 The ensembles have been quite consistent from all major models. 18z GEFS went a bit east as did 06z this morning, but all in all, quite consistent. Euro and its ensembles have been the most consistent of the bunch. Ensembles have certainly proved why they are useful, over the last 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'm 19 and a weather geek. Mine are about the same Fixed! - j/k - I know we haven't met... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where's the "like" button - especially since I'm a lurker. I know which part you are not doing , Davey LOL No gaps gives us over an inch in QPF based on two 6 hour totals. Got to like that and it's all snow. GEFS 850 E is way above normal per Andy, game on still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 You're premature in your call. 3rd run in a row now on GEFS anomaly. With significant anomaly departures -2 to -3 across SNE and ENY @ 850, +2 to +4 pwat departures above normal same area and -2 anomalies at 250. Even latest SREF while ending around Wed when the event starts are west. Grant it, this isn't in the SREFS wheelhouse period of excellence but with their bouncing around that's a good sign, too Understatement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 53 and married forever, odds are not good so, i'm a single woman among hundreds of weenies, what's my excuse? LOL!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 We're dealing with the 18z GFS which is currently in the range that it often loses storms for a couple runs, and the 18z NAM in the range that nobody should pay attention to. And then there's the Euro which has been extremely consistent and is currently in the range where it is known for domination. I'm ordering everyone online right now to go get laid and wait for the 00z Euro That's very good advice. See ya later! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'm 19 and a weather geek. Mine are about the same Stop thinking that about yourself and your chances will improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 so, i'm a single woman among hundreds of weenies, what's my excuse? LOL!!! You feel weenies are overrated is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Ensembles have certainly proved why they are useful, over the last 2-3 days. It certainly has helped with the smoothing out of the run to run inconsistency of the OP models. I almost think this has been a setup where the off hour runs are performing more like they did 5 years ago. They seem to be doing these jumps east and then come back during the primary runs. Regardless, its pretty toigh to go against what the Euro and its ensembles have been showing consistently for several runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 53 and married forever, odds are not good I can scare one up I bet. My anniversary is 2 weeks away.....playing that card? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 It certainly has helped with the smoothing out of the run to run inconsistency of the OP models. I almost think this has been a setup where the off hour runs are performing more like they did 5 years ago. They seem to be doing these jumps east and then come back during the primary runs. Regardless, its pretty toigh to go against what the Euro and its ensembles have been showing consistently for several runs now. Man it's so nice to have a 20" snowpack and cold with snow chances for as far as the eye can see......I don't have all of this pressure to get a 20" snowfall...I'll be fine with 10"....it's like not worrying about allowing a grandslam because you have a 10 run lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 It certainly has helped with the smoothing out of the run to run inconsistency of the OP models. I almost think this has been a setup where the off hour runs are performing more like they did 5 years ago. They seem to be doing these jumps east and then come back during the primary runs. Regardless, its pretty toigh to go against what the Euro and its ensembles have been showing consistently for several runs now. Even the Canadian ensembles haven't been all that bad. I agree though...tough to go against the big dogs, but I still keep the door open to a few adjustments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Even the Canadian ensembles haven't been all that bad. I agree though...tough to go against the big dogs, but I still keep the door open to a few adjustments. I have been siding with the idea that too amped is more of a concern than OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Man it's so nice to have a 20" snowpack and cold with snow chances for as far as the eye can see......I don't have all of this pressure to get a 20" snowfall...I'll be fine with 10"....it's like not worrying about allowing a grandslam because youhave a 10 run lead. haha good analogy you'll start sweating if you miss a couple storms or its getting later in the year and your sitting on the edge of a record 07-08 was like that for me.....once i knew we were in reach of the record (fell 4 inches shy ), things got a lot more serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 What are you looking at? Bongs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JulieRI Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 We had no kiddos around this morning ;-) I know which part you are not doing , Davey LOL No gaps gives us over an inch in QPF based on two 6 hour totals. Got to like that and it's all snow. GEFS 850 E is way above normal per Andy, game on still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Not to interrupt the getting laid talk...but take it to the obs/banter please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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