Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Come on now, Hoosier, when you say the GGEM you know that either was said aloud or went through your head. Honestly I can say it didn't at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I wouldn't take the track too verbatim right now the key is the system is on the maps. Oh i know. Just saying i'll pass up on that track. Keep it east of here and all will be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You mean like this: Yeah, like that. That's pretty much perfect, savor it before it vanishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Might as well get it out the way early. So now you know, the jinx falls on me folks. Works for me. 17.3 inches. It was the reason I purchased a snow blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Oh i know. Just saying i'll pass up on that track. Keep it east of here and all will be good. I agree. Would be rain over in my neck of the woods. But you probably wouldn't want the track Id want either lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Which is a little more believable based on what we’ve seen so far this year. Hopefully the 12z Euro holds serve and doesn’t squash this thing like a bug into the gulf. As for the GGEM it doesn't cut that 1004 NE into Michigan does it? this/\ i am now as confident with a southeast trend this year as i was with a northwest trend 3+ winters ago. The fact that the ggem is so far west is expected. Recall the ggem with this system a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 this/\ i am now as confident with a southeast trend this year as i was with a northwest trend 3+ winters ago. The fact that the ggem is so far west is expected. Recall the ggem with this system a few days ago. good point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 this/\ i am now as confident with a southeast trend this year as i was with a northwest trend 3+ winters ago. The fact that the ggem is so far west is expected. Recall the ggem with this system a few days ago. No I don’t, but it has been terrible this year and if it wasn’t for it being much closer to the ECM than the GFS, I’d completely toss it out as having zero value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 this/\ i am now as confident with a southeast trend this year as i was with a northwest trend 3+ winters ago. The fact that the ggem is so far west is expected. Recall the ggem with this system a few days ago. It could happen but I'd be a little cautious. This isn't the same pattern we've been in for most of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It could happen but I'd be a little cautious. This isn't the same pattern we've been in for most of the winter. Agree, as long as the Euro refrains from showing a hyper supressed solution and a somewhat open gulf, there's something to see here. needless to say 12z GFS ensembles are all over the map, and not worth analyzing but to say just about all show some form of action over our part of the country at some point in this timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM looks great lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It could happen but I'd be a little cautious. This isn't the same pattern we've been in for most of the winter. This.. Chances are growing that the CRAP pattern could return though. See Don S. thread. Better believe i have everything crossed ( including my balls ) that it fails to produce/happen. But for now it is not the same. The clippers later in the week though will probably have a say and thus keep a watch out. If they explode in the Atlantic then the chances are good things go towards suppression mode as that would favor a block of sorts setting up. Basically all options are still on the table a the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 This.. Chances are growing that the CRAP pattern could return though. See Don S. thread. Better believe i have everything crossed ( including my balls ) that it fails to produce/happen. But for now it is not the same. The clippers later in the week though will probably have a say and thus keep a watch out. If they explode in the Atlantic then the chances are good things go towards suppression mode as that would favor a block of sorts setting up. Basically all options are still on the table a the moment. Yeah I know Don has been favoring strong/severe blocking returning in February. I agree...it's too early to write anything/anyone off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You mean like this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 12z GEM is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone for Euro guesses? More or less amplified? I'll say it holds serve with a middle of the road solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 No I don’t, but it has been terrible this year and if it wasn’t for it being much closer to the ECM than the GFS, I’d completely toss it out as having zero value. let's put it this way, if the ggem was correct on sunday, I would be under winter storm watches right now. Today's Forecast: cloudy The ggem was also blowing the DEC 12th storm way north and west. I remember seeing a run where it came due north out of KS into WI. The only way i would be concerned about a nw miss would be if the euro started showing it. The gfs is crushing it with cold air....expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone for Euro guesses? More or less amplified? I'll say it holds serve with a middle of the road solution. takes the storm over MSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone for Euro guesses? More or less amplified? I'll say it holds serve with a middle of the road solution. i'm going suppreseed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I thought this baby would have about 20 pages by now.. Ohio Plumpers must still be tuckered out yet from the last disaster track.. Nothing much to see up here but since you weenies keep throwing this fantasy threads up I'm suckered in.. Personally I like the week after the Super Bowl for a low end warning event up in these parts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I thought this baby would have about 20 pages by now.. Ohio Plumpers must still be tuckered out yet from the last disaster track.. Nothing much to see up here but since you weenies keep throwing this fantasy threads up I'm suckered in.. Personally I like the week after the Super Bowl for a low end warning event up in these parts.. OT, not that i give a sh/\t about the packers....i just hope they crush the steelers and keep their 6 pack...a 6 pack. Can't stand them back to the wx...at least us plumpers had something to track...meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone for Euro guesses? More or less amplified? I'll say it holds serve with a middle of the road solution. GGEM-like. Of course I'm guessing off the 108 hour map right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM would be one of my dream scenarios BTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM-like. Of course I'm guessing off the 108 hour map right now. at 120 its digging the energy really far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM-like. Of course I'm guessing off the 108 hour map right now. Are you paying for the Euro now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM-like. Of course I'm guessing off the 108 hour map right now. Safe bet is that it won't be like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 at 120 its digging the energy really far west It might turn out to be west of the 12z GGEM. But don't worry, the NW trend is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LT precip entering WI/MN/IA etc at 132 and 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It might turn out to be west of the 12z GGEM. But don't worry, the NW trend is dead. read my post above... the exception was if the euro showed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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