Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Cold and dry. How fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Even worse than the GFS through 120. It holds the wave across the intermountain W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Seeing as I haven't seen out past day 4 yet, let me guess, it holds back the energy in the SW? I knew the Euro was due for one of those types of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That doesn't look weird....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 so we have a coastal, a ky crusher, a razor back bomb, and suppressed. seems about right in the modelling world this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I give the Euro credit for sniffing out the most weenie solutions a lot of the time. The other models just blow chunks in every direction until it gets a clue.. At least the Euro corrects itself pretty fast to save face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 HR 120 1014 SLP over FL Panhandle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Even worse than the GFS through 120. It holds the wave across the intermountain W. note my post after yours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 HR 120 1014 SLP over FL Panhandle OMG NO NO COASTAL!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 so we have a coastal, a ky crusher, a razor back bomb, and suppressed.seems about right in the modelling world this season Pretty much sums it up. Why can't these models be any better in this timeframe? Can they be any farther apart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 note my post after yours Definitely cuts that wave off out W. Not sure I buy that either--but a huge change. The message is don't mess with the Pacific, haha. I was expecting changes--but not this big of a Euro cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 NE getting a good shot at more snow at hr 138. Lowest pressure I can find at 138 is 1016 down in Arizona. 1012 down in C. Mexico as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It's one run. It's all up in the air as we are 5-6 days away. Still dont know why I and others get all excited for something 5-6 days away when the weather is hard enough to forecast for the next day. One minor change in any speed of any energy can help or dimish a potential storm. It's any models, mets, and weather enthusiasts guess. Sure it's exciting, informative, fun to track and addicting but the chances of anything closely verifying this far out is 0%. Time for me to stop tracking week away storms. Y'all have a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Energy is still out west. Nothing is going to cut with a 1036 high pressure over Iowa in that timeframe. This run will have it suppressed down south easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 4 inch per hour snowfall rates around nyc and places around, seriously? I feel like Ive been watching the same movie for 3 month snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Through 144, it looks about like the GFS only slightly farther south and slower. Pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Well what can you say? I am stumped that the doctor did this tonight. Oh well Good Night! Last time I stay up for this crap! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 KLGA 270551Z 35017G22KT 1/4SM R04/1400V1600FT +SN BLSN FG VV001 00/M02 A2955 RMK AO2 SLP006 SNINCR 3/14 4/014 P0022 60061 T00001017 10011 20000 50012 $ Makes a Midwesterner want to drive into a brick wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It's one run. It's all up in the air as we are 5-6 days away. Still dont know why I and others get all excited for something 5-6 days away when the weather is hard enough to forecast for the next day. One minor change in any speed of any energy can help or dimish a potential storm. It's any models, mets, and weather enthusiasts guess. Sure it's exciting, informative, fun to track and addicting but the chances of anything closely verifying this far out is 0%. Time for me to stop tracking week away storms. Y'all have a good one. See ya tomorrow lol. Doesn't help we were spoiled in MKE 2 of the last 3 winters and in SE MI case 3 for 3.. Climo will always catch up and it looks to be for big storms this yr again so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 well it all boils down to phasing, when, where, and how much... go with the seasonal trend and the answers are late, east, and not much til the ne coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 4 inches a hour in their heads. I never believe their snow totals. 17 inches reports thus far.. NWS.SNOWFALL RATES WITHIN THIS BAND ARE BETWEEN 2 TO 3 INCHES PERHOUR...BUT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIESTPORTIONS OF THE BAND IN NASSAU...WESTERN SUFFOLK...NEW HAVEN ANDMIDDLESEX COUNTIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 4 inches a hour in their heads. I never believe their snow totals. Laguardia would disagree with you. And KNYC reporting station which I believe is Central park has a 6 hour precip total of 1.16 liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 Definitely cuts that wave off out W. Not sure I buy that either--but a huge change. The message is don't mess with the Pacific, haha. I was expecting changes--but not this big of a Euro cave. Yeah, and it shows how delicate this is. Not to foul up the thread but it gave me flashbacks to what we were tracking 2 years ago almost on this very date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 And out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 read thru MA thread....looks like a general 4-10" in like 4 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Yeah, and it shows how delicate this is. Not to foul up the thread but it gave me flashbacks to what we were tracking 2 years ago almost on this very date. Ugh way to bring up a double event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Yeah, and it shows how delicate this is. Not to foul up the thread but it gave me flashbacks to what we were tracking 2 years ago almost on this very date. What event was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Some LA. love snow. Nina is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Every time we Somehow try to get a system going, something goes wrong.. I just dont understand this b.s.. Getting old really, ill just enjoy my clipper, hopefully they surprise me lol GN everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Pretty crazy how a change in the air pattern can make one model change that much. I mean, in one run it went from a strong low cutting through Indy, to a storm way out to sea in the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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