Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 Probably about ready for part II for this thread. We all gotta let Hoosier start it though so we don't jinx the damn thing lol. I was gonna wait until after the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Man the some of the models are showing some good stuff. Going to be a fun weekend tracking this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 hoosier before this gets a new thread can you post that link for the long range ukie that comes out really quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 hoosier before this gets a new thread can you post that link for the long range ukie that comes out really quick http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I'd be curious to know when was the last time we had a sfc low that strong in that area. Perhaps the Christmas storm of 2009? I know that had the main low pressure in AR and a strong on as well. It tracked mostly north as it continued to deepen then NW over Iowa. IF the UKMET is right and the High pressure to the NW is much less impressive then on the GFS or GGEM then it'd be possible to have a bit of a NW component imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/ merci bien Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Being relatively new to this forum, is it something like an unwritten rule that around 1000 posts we make a part 2 thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 Being relatively new to this forum, is it something like an unwritten rule that around 1000 posts we make a part 2 thread? Yeah. Apparently the longer a thread gets, the more strain it puts on the server or so I've been told. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Being relatively new to this forum, is it something like an unwritten rule that around 1000 posts we make a part 2 thread? sort of an unwritten rule that around the 50'ish page we make a new thread to avoid clutter for readers that have fallen behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That would my world probably. I'm thinking the same thing haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 What has been seen can not be unseen the GGEM :wub: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 oh never mind i thought i was to keep a topic from becoming unreadable ie. way to many pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 oh never mind i thought i was to keep a topic from becoming unreadable ie. way to many pages. that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 EURO is out to 36. No big changes for the clipper so far. Should be about 10-15 mins before we know what this is going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 What has been seen can not be unseen the GGEM :wub: lol you are setting yourself up don't do it..... i personally think this is going to go pretty far west. Now that the models have locked in and begin to handle the pacific jet I think without a huge block in place the only thing that stops this from going way west is the orientation of the polar vortex so i think that is the thing to key in on (storm wont go west of the vortex) or at least it'll cut and die. If its going to strengthen as it heads east watch for the phase on the models and make sure its east of the PV. Gotta make sure the PV isn't slowly migrating west with each model run and also how the pacific S/W is coming in. The gfs wants to take the southern pacific S/W and dig it deep into the longwave trough out west it ends up leaving a ton of energy behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 that too ah ok i was unsure of the official ruling on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 lol you are setting yourself up don't do it..... i personally think this is going to go pretty far west. Now that the models have locked in and begin to handle the pacific jet I think without a huge block in place the only thing that stops this from going way west is the orientation of the polar vortex so i think that is the thing to key in on (storm wont go west of the vortex) or at least it'll cut and die. If its going to strengthen as it heads east watch for the phase on the models and make sure its east of the PV. Gotta make sure the PV isn't slowly migrating west with each model run and also how the pacific S/W is coming in. The gfs wants to take the southern pacific S/W and dig it deep into the longwave trough out west it ends up leaving a ton of energy behind. I'll say it right now, the worst Detroit gets is ice, this wont be rain not with the blocking highs in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I'll say it right now, the worst Detroit gets is ice, this wont be rain not with the blocking highs in Canada. IF DET gets ice at worst I like that...I can be ok with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 What has been seen can not be unseen the GGEM :wub: Not exactly, verbatim past 144 keeps heaviest stuff in OH. http://www.stanford.edu/~tenhoeve/weather/00zPrecipGLB.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Not exactly, verbatim past 144 keeps heaviest stuff in OH. http://www.stanford....0zPrecipGLB.htm Yeah and I question how it phases the upper support/transitions to the coast. Until 144 it looks rock solid, after things get a little funny, especially a system potentially in the 990-995 range, It wont jump to the coast that quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macintosh Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 So the Ukie and GEM basically destroy me...southern IL 1-2 feet? OMG look at that low track. PERFECT for STL and Cape, and Carbondale IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 12z EURO HR 84; Sub 1008 MB LOW NW Texas 0z EURO: HR 72: Sub 1004 MB LOW NW Texas 12z EURO HR 90: Sub 1012 MB LOW NW Texas 0z EURO HR 78: Sub 1008 MB LOW NW Texas Anyone else see any major changes so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Less phasing in the Pac NW through 78hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 12z EURO HR 84; Sub 1008 MB LOW NW Texas 0z EURO: HR 72: Sub 1004 MB LOW NW Texas 12z EURO HR 90: Sub 1012 MB LOW NW Texas 0z EURO HR 78: Sub 1008 MB LOW NW Texas Anyone else see any major changes so far? Yeah your SE MI cut call will fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Looking GFS-ish through 90hrs at 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Yup, this thing is heading east. How far east? Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 What a green turd run.. Comes out in a punch of rabbit turds. Back to having to live a real storm through the MA and SNE. Still kinna exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 lol, the euro says what cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 LOL WOW--I did not expect the Euro to look exactly like the GFS. This is a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 who would of thunk it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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