buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It is warmer than the Euro though. Actually I'd be a little concerned with what that would show if we rolled it forward. well i can't see it now...sites down again. but yea this could be one of those katy-bar-the-door cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It is warmer than the Euro though. Actually I'd be a little concerned with what that would show if we rolled it forward. This keeps it from going to much further nw then what the euro showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 This keeps it from going to much further nw then what the euro showed. interesting that the euro never really moves the vortex south, just rolls it and elongates it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 If integrated in time, you can see the NAM would open the gates of the arctic and unleash the baroclinic instability on the poor plebeians in the plains as the phased trough traversed the intermountain W and ejected into the plains. :lol: everything about this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 :lol: everything about this i'd love to read a back and forth between him and typhoon tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It's scary how close the NAM and Euro are...wow. As baro said, I dont think I have ever seen that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 NCEP fooked up for everybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 NCEP fooked up for everybody? Yep. Server FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 NCEP fooked up for everybody? It is for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Is it just me, or does the GFS look better already? Kinda looks like the NAM through 66 imo. At least at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 This keeps it from going to much further nw then what the euro showed. The problem is that I can't afford anything farther northwest than the 12z op Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Yep. Server FTL. It is for me. Just started coming out on ewall. Should be fast & furious in the next couple of minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Significant changes are coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Significant changes are coming... stuck @ hr24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Just started coming out on ewall. Should be fast & furious in the next couple of minutes. Or maybe not. Twisterdata stuck at 36. PSU at 24. Even Raleighwx's site is stuck at 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Some very good changes going on this run compared to the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Some very good changes going on this run compared to the 18z. Out of all the times possible for NCEP to f up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Some very good changes going on this run compared to the 18z. Such as? G/F said she heard/saw something regarding big snow on Monday/Tuesday?? I thought this system (admittedly, I have not been paying very close attention to this one) was supposed to gently graze the GL with some light flurries..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Or maybe not. Twisterdata stuck at 36. PSU at 24. Even Raleighwx's site is stuck at 24. No idea either. If you use the 6-panel regional GFS it is out to 60 though. Try the western plot for now. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVNWEST_0z/avnwestloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 A lot of us are in the dark right now. Could you guys put a little more detail into these descriptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 I'm out to 96 on Plymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Power problems in the northeast due to the snow maybe causing issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 1012 mb surface low in the TX panhandle at 102 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 IDK, Chi can explain a lot better, but the great lakes actually gets QPF on this run. At HR 120 it has a 1008 low in E. New Mexico with a large duration of LT precip in the WI/IL/MN/IA areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Im on hour 90 on accuweather rapid update....Precip organizing in the south and north.... at 90hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 A lot of us are in the dark right now. Could you guys put a little more detail into these descriptions. It took a nice step in an ECMWF direction. Still not fully there though. Widespread light precip across the Plains/OV. Trying to get an SLP going across the S. Plains though 126hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 try this http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It took a nice step in an ECMWF direction. Still not fully there though. Widespread light precip across the Plains/OV. Trying to get an SLP going across the S. Plains though 126hrs. 1008mb SLP in S/C. Texas at 132hrs. Mod-heavy 6hr precip across the S. Plains with light precip up into the GL/OV. Congrats OKC/Amarillo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Sounds like the GFS may be starting to come around to what the NAM and EURO have been suggesting wrt pattern at least if not timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 It took a nice step in an ECMWF direction. Still not fully there though. Widespread light precip across the Plains/OV. Trying to get an SLP going across the S. Plains though 126hrs. Sounds like an overrunning event along the arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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