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End of January/early February storm potential?


Hoosier

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:00 PM, BowMeHunter said:

You'd make out pretty good with a LAF track... I put the nail in this winters coffin anyways by picking up 2 sleds on craigslist.. Congrats, Indy.

165379_1768055531769_1550612871_1835775_5481782_n.jpg

Not here and thus i'll pass. Keep that thing out of this state ( and or about 140 miles south and 90 miles se/e of here ) and thus the track to Toledo is what i am hoping for.

However i'll take that over another i95 special. Just no further west. :devilsmiley:

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:10 PM, JoMo said:

GGEM isn't buying into the GFS but it wouldn't be good for anyone here except probably Ohio.

then it must be wrong...

yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:11 PM, Harry said:

Not here and thus i'll pass. Keep that thing out of this state ( and or about 140 miles south and 90 miles se/e of here ) and thus the track to Toledo is what i am hoping for.

However i'll take that over another i95 special. Just no further west. :devilsmiley:

LAF to Lake Erie would be good :devilsmiley: We need to catch up some to the LAF boys.

I would be totally content with 6-8" (of snow you pervs) between the clipper and storm.. Y'all can have a foot long..

Snowmobile trails are open but they could really use a good amount for the old ass suspensions our sleds have.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:15 PM, buckeye said:

then it must be wrong...

yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north.

Yeah, I am not a big fan of having the ggem on our side.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:11 PM, Harry said:

Not here and thus i'll pass. Keep that thing out of this state ( and or about 140 miles south and 90 miles se/e of here ) and thus the track to Toledo is what i am hoping for.

However i'll take that over another i95 special. Just no further west. :devilsmiley:

Jackson,KY to PItt works for me

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:19 PM, buckeye said:

some how...some way...it'll end up way too far east. No matter what the state of the nao is, what region the mjo is in, and where the western ridge is. It's just amazingly frustrating.

Seems that way this year doesn't it? I get the feeling though this one will be different. I am not sure who the winner will be in the end, but it will be different.

January 26, 2011 and still no WSWatches here!

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:17 PM, buckeye said:

Jackson,KY to PItt works for me

That is actually the nightmare track for here. Get screwed via the synoptic snows and then screwed with the lake stuff as the flow tends to generally be n/nne with such a track. Seriously there is no worse track then that. Yes even directly over and or JUST NW of here works better ( if said system is moving ne/nne. I rate your track up there with a i95 special granted it does beat them getting another snowstorm.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:19 PM, buckeye said:

some how...some way...it'll end up way too far east. No matter what the state of the nao is, what region the mjo is in, and where the western ridge is. It's just amazingly frustrating.

Dude.. Look back at how ALL the models handled this current system. Thus see a few posts back and the one i made. I need not say which model blew it with temps and having a surface low on the spine in sw VA.

Thus east is least of my worries.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:15 PM, buckeye said:

then it must be wrong...

yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north.

Have you fired up the bus on this one yet? I hope the EURO doesn't come in warm again it was near 10C at 00z!

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:38 PM, Madmaxweather said:

Have you fired up the bus on this one yet? I hope the EURO doesn't come in warm again it was near 10C at 00z!

I'll be impressed if the 12z Euro is as far northwest as the 00z run. I'd guess it probably won't look like the GFS though.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:15 PM, buckeye said:

then it must be wrong...

yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north.

Just about all of the 12z GFS ensembles crush what remains of the storm in the plains around 120 deep into the gulf states.

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  On 1/26/2011 at 5:25 PM, Hoosier said:

12z UKMET has a surface low on the TX/LA border at 144 hours. Looks like it would track up into the Ohio Valley if I had to guess.

Now that I think about it, wasn't yesterday's 12z JMA (lolz) in a similar spot at 168 hours? I don't get the JMA that far out so I can't compare the setups.

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