Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You'd make out pretty good with a LAF track... I put the nail in this winters coffin anyways by picking up 2 sleds on craigslist.. Congrats, Indy. Not here and thus i'll pass. Keep that thing out of this state ( and or about 140 miles south and 90 miles se/e of here ) and thus the track to Toledo is what i am hoping for. However i'll take that over another i95 special. Just no further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GGEM isn't buying into the GFS but it wouldn't be good for anyone here except probably Ohio. I'm ok with that In all honesty, I agree with Buckeye and a good storm tracking from SW to NE that gives winter love to much of this region is what I ultimately would like to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GGEM isn't buying into the GFS but it wouldn't be good for anyone here except probably Ohio. then it must be wrong... yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not here and thus i'll pass. Keep that thing out of this state ( and or about 140 miles south and 90 miles se/e of here ) and thus the track to Toledo is what i am hoping for. However i'll take that over another i95 special. Just no further west. LAF to Lake Erie would be good We need to catch up some to the LAF boys. I would be totally content with 6-8" (of snow you pervs) between the clipper and storm.. Y'all can have a foot long.. Snowmobile trails are open but they could really use a good amount for the old ass suspensions our sleds have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 then it must be wrong... yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north. Yeah, I am not a big fan of having the ggem on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not here and thus i'll pass. Keep that thing out of this state ( and or about 140 miles south and 90 miles se/e of here ) and thus the track to Toledo is what i am hoping for. However i'll take that over another i95 special. Just no further west. Jackson,KY to PItt works for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 OKC to just west of MSP for me plz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah, I am not a big fan of having the ggem on our side. some how...some way...it'll end up way too far east. No matter what the state of the nao is, what region the mjo is in, and where the western ridge is. It's just amazingly frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z UKMET has a surface low on the TX/LA border at 144 hours. Looks like it would track up into the Ohio Valley if I had to guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 some how...some way...it'll end up way too far east. No matter what the state of the nao is, what region the mjo is in, and where the western ridge is. It's just amazingly frustrating. Seems that way this year doesn't it? I get the feeling though this one will be different. I am not sure who the winner will be in the end, but it will be different. January 26, 2011 and still no WSWatches here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Jackson,KY to PItt works for me That is actually the nightmare track for here. Get screwed via the synoptic snows and then screwed with the lake stuff as the flow tends to generally be n/nne with such a track. Seriously there is no worse track then that. Yes even directly over and or JUST NW of here works better ( if said system is moving ne/nne. I rate your track up there with a i95 special granted it does beat them getting another snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 some how...some way...it'll end up way too far east. No matter what the state of the nao is, what region the mjo is in, and where the western ridge is. It's just amazingly frustrating. Dude.. Look back at how ALL the models handled this current system. Thus see a few posts back and the one i made. I need not say which model blew it with temps and having a surface low on the spine in sw VA. Thus east is least of my worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 then it must be wrong... yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north. Have you fired up the bus on this one yet? I hope the EURO doesn't come in warm again it was near 10C at 00z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 some images from the 0z Euro, looking forward to seeing what the 12z shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Have you fired up the bus on this one yet? I hope the EURO doesn't come in warm again it was near 10C at 00z! I'll be impressed if the 12z Euro is as far northwest as the 00z run. I'd guess it probably won't look like the GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 then it must be wrong... yea, it has a weak app runner...normally i'd discount it and assume it would be wrapped up more, however this season anything that comes up from the sw tends to be pretty anemic, even the ones that can make the climb north. Just about all of the 12z GFS ensembles crush what remains of the storm in the plains around 120 deep into the gulf states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z UKMET has a surface low on the TX/LA border at 144 hours. Looks like it would track up into the Ohio Valley if I had to guess. Now that I think about it, wasn't yesterday's 12z JMA (lolz) in a similar spot at 168 hours? I don't get the JMA that far out so I can't compare the setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'll say the 12z EURO will have a sub 1000 MB low in the W. part of Ohio. Gonna be SE of it's 0z run imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'll say the 12z EURO will have a sub 1000 MB low in the W. part of Ohio. Gonna be SE of it's 0z run imo. probably a decent guess considering the rest of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 probably a decent guess considering the rest of the guidance. Looking that way atleast. Could be further se then that even on this run because the artic high looks like it is further south into the Plains then the past few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any thoughts on the EURO so far? Out to HR 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any thoughts on the EURO so far? Out to HR 102. Harry seems to think south, bullied by an artic high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well it was at least fun for 12 hrs to see a fantasy storm modeled for once.. Can't remember one coming in like that going back to last winter. Bummer but no surprise this run isn't coming in hotter than my trips to the toilet this past monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It puts a bit more emphasis on a lead piece ejecting out, but that weakens which looks like it will allow the main trough to develop the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HR 126: 1008 MB LOW in E. New Mexico. HR 138 on the 0z had it in N. Texas at the same timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Harry seems to think south, bullied by an artic high. It is slower. Looks like it is waiting for another piece of energy to drop in. Finally ramping up at 132hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 starting to get its act together at 132.. Hopefully something like yesterdays 12z share the wealth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HR 138: Sub 1008 LOW in ARK/TX/LA border area. MOD-HVY precip in IA, LT-MOD precip surrounding those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 HR 144: Sub 1004 MB LOW in NE ARK. LT-MOD precip in IA, MO, S. WI, N. IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1000mb SLP near Evansville, IN at 150hrs. Nice hit for IA/MO/IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.