Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Count on it....then while I am enjoying a balmy 55 during the summer the eastern Iowa to western Ohio corridor plus or minus 200 miles will get rocked with EF-4's or better. dont forget that they will be slow moving, and very photogenic, and il add hopefully between 80 and 88 in northern IL over open country not hitting anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 dont forget that they will be slow moving, and very photogenic, and il add hopefully between 80 and 88 in northern IL over open country not hitting anything. Yup, they'll basically all be Bowdle replicas being a huge monster tornado that barely moves and misses everything. I expect at least a hundred or more of those this year for every state east of the rockies and west of the app's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yup, they'll basically all be Bowdle replicas being a huge monster tornado that barely moves and misses everything. I expect at least a hundred or more of those this year for every state east of the rockies and west of the app's. Lets not talk about Bowdle lol I'm still upset about missing THE BIG ONE that day due to down powerlines from the RFD of the first large tornado. I saw that one, then got screwed out of seeing the monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Lets not talk about Bowdle lol I'm still upset about missing THE BIG ONE that day due to down powerlines from the RFD of the first large tornado. I saw that one, then got screwed out of seeing the monster. where you coming back west on 12? We were coming east from Aberdeen and basically drove up to the city of Bowdle and the tornado dropped like 5 minutes later we got to sit and watch the first tornado before it crossed 12 then when it formed into the beast we sat and got slammed by the RFD. Probably moved about a total of 10 miles from when the tornado first dropped and watched it for about an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 dont forget that they will be slow moving, and very photogenic, and il add hopefully between 80 and 88 in northern IL over open country not hitting anything. I approve this message. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 new gfs looks like it doesn't want to play ball through 156 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 new gfs looks like it doesn't want to play ball through 156 hrs. yeah, talk about massive changes from the 12z run.... sheesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 new gfs looks like it doesn't want to play ball through 156 hrs. It fades the Pacific system and suddenly pops a clipper almost over my head which brings down the artic chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Northern branch looked better on this run of the GFS, Southern energy hangs back longer thus missing at least an early chance at a phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS is clueless in these types of patterns. Overblown cold and poor ridge positions. I don't question what it shows BUT i DO question how it gets there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It fades the Pacific system and suddenly pops a clipper almost over my head which brings down the artic chill. Man no good storms winter or severe (down south for severe) before I go to Alaska....IS THAT BUS STILL IN SERVICE (going off the cliff)? If so I might need to ride it while en route to Alaska. GFS 00Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You know what will happen....after I move in a couple of weeks or so this area will get nailed non-stop. I am already prepared for the worst severe weather season in many years when you move, why not double up with the worst March and/or April snowstorm for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 I don't question what it shows BUT i DO question how it gets there. I had a response typed out but I'm not even gonna bother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am already prepared for the worst severe weather season in many years when you move, why not double up with the worst March and/or April snowstorm for the region. No snow after March 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Man no good storms winter or severe (down south for severe) before I go to Alaska....IS THAT BUS STILL IN SERVICE (going off the cliff)? If so I might need to ride it while en route to Alaska..........:gun_bandana:GFS 00Z run I saw it on fire in another thread. Hopefully you catch a few of them N.Pac bombs up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No snow after March 15th. If it is a crippling blizzard where we get 20+ inches, with the week previous in the 70s and within a week temps back in the 70s, I'll take an April snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No snow after March 15th. I'm all for spring too once we hit March, but I'll take a snow system into April over a boring pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I had a response typed out but I'm not even gonna bother. Come on.. You know you want to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I saw it on fire in another thread. Hopefully you catch a few of them N.Pac bombs up there. Yeah that and volcanic eruptions will be my best hope....but seeing 30 foot seas will be cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If it is a crippling blizzard where we get 20+ inches, with the week previous in the 70s and within a week temps back in the 70s, I'll take an April snowstorm. Thinking about all of this more lately i suspect our spring fever people on this board are not gonna care much for this spring and perhaps a few more after it. Just a hunch i have based on history of what we have seen recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah that and volcanic eruptions will be my best hope....but seeing 30 foot seas will be cool. 30 foot seas is always a win! Thus one of the biggest things i do miss about living on the coast. The wave action! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 If it is a crippling blizzard where we get 20+ inches, with the week previous in the 70s and within a week temps back in the 70s, I'll take an April snowstorm. Tempting. Throw in a severe wx event with that 70F temp within a week after and we have a deal. I'm all for spring too once we hit March, but I'll take a snow system into April over a boring pattern. Pretty much how I am. I guess the good thing about April snow is that it's here today and gone tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No snow after March 15th. When I get the call for my arrival date (should be this week or next that I get the notice) maybe I should let you know so you can get a month's worth of supplies because stebbo and baro are prob right....once I go it will be "The National Weather Service in (fill in the blank for your area) " has issued a Winter Storm Watch" for the following areas....Snow with accumulations of 8 to 14 inches are likely....only to be followed by PDS tors in the spring/summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS is clueless in these types of patterns. Overblown cold and poor ridge positions. Yeah GFS is clueless when it doesn't give you what you want? Too bad it may very well be right through the medium range at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah GFS is clueless when it doesn't give you what you want? Too bad it may very well be right through the medium range at least. Eh, I'm not a fan of Angry's style but I don't think you can accuse him of being a weenie. He's one of the most pessimistic members of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Tempting. Throw in a severe wx event with that 70F temp within a week after and we have a deal. Pretty much how I am. I guess the good thing about April snow is that it's here today and gone tomorrow. Possible, I mean you have to cool down from the 70s some how, why not make it a severe weather outbreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah GFS is clueless when it doesn't give you what you want? Too bad it may very well be right through the medium range at least. We're still so far out so it's hard to say. That was an awful run though...not just for our region but almost everywhere. If it's still the GFS against the world 3 or 4 days from now, that's gonna be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GGEM giving the GFS love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GGEM giving the GFS love. Yup. I've only seen it through 144 but it's going to either lose the storm or end up way suppressed with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Yeah GFS is clueless when it doesn't give you what you want? Too bad it may very well be right through the medium range at least. if the gfs was a subscription model like the euro, i'd swear you were a gfs salesman i guess we'll know if the gfs had a clue by early next week if we are under a crushing arctic high that was ushered in with no fanfare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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