chubbs Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 This may be a dumb question, but if it continues to slow, will it be able to phase in a 3rd piece of energy, thus making more wrapped up? Yes it could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 at hr60 theres a 1024mb HP up near maine. can the banana high that HM hinted on during the week be coming back? boy i hope so our HM or Henry M............huge difference in my opinion?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 vort starting to pinch off now....this looks like a GFS solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 notice the NAM at 66 - HP is holding in position just north of Maine and begining to build southeast in south central Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Man, the NAM looks really nice. That piece of northern energy ahead of the new HP could help this come up the coast and it may just be cold enough but I can't believe it was at this point yesterday at 63 hours. We havent' picked up any time which is obviously helpful for the colder solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Can this storm get any slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 1030 High moving into perfect spot at 72 hours, will she come up or will she go out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Yes, that is a possibility that some mets have discussed. This may be a dumb question, but if it continues to slow, will it be able to phase in a 3rd piece of energy, thus making more wrapped up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 temps at 925 surged for a few frames, but as the low moves east there now coming back down Really on got to 95 anyway so places N/W should be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Can see the surface temps cooling down at 75 hours along I-95. Not sure how far north this gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 1030 High moving into perfect spot at 72 hours, will she come up or will she go out. As long as we can prevent the winds from going SE for a pronged period of time, then we should be much better off. It's not like we need cold air. The cold air is already in place, we just don't want it modified by the wrong wind direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 at 75 hrs precip shield has made it as far north as Cape May as opposed to NC/VA border on previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiqqa Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 our HM or Henry M............huge difference in my opinion?? henry M ans his co-partner, JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 As long as we can prevent the winds from going SE for a pronged period of time, then we should much better off. It's not like we need cold air. The cold air is lready in place, we just don't want it modified by the wrong wind direction. The first HP is long gone and a trough moved through which should keep the wind direction from a torch. This is really going to be close. Could be a 24 hour and within kind of call for the coastal plain,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Classic structure at 72. Nice jet over new england at 300 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poleshiftnow Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 This is a going to be a major snow storm for Phily with that 486 Monster scooting on down Look Out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Nice setup on the NAM....cold is locked in for most places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 at 78 hrs precip shield to Asbury Park as opposed to southern tip of the DelMarva on the previous run. 850's actually cold this run as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiqqa Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 not enough negative tilt, but given the strong pacific ridge you should see this iron out better w more runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Got warm at 78 hours along the coast. Def. won't start at snow if it was 78 hours. So slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'm still worried about that kicker spoiling the party for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Precip shield at 81 hrs up to NYC and Long Island. 994 mb low just north of Hatteras right along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/WRF_12z/wrfloop.html Look at that at 78. Inside Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That kicker low over the lakes is gonna push this out to sea at 84 and miss philly/PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 classic battle of warm vs cold setting up around I-95. Cold air really trying to push into the bombing low. Way too far out to say anything more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Philly already has .25 by 81 hrs. That kicker low over the lakes is gonna push this out to sea at 84 and miss philly/PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Although few will give the man credit...he has not changed his forecast for the last 3 days....he predicted the model trends out to sea as is usually the case. The fact is if he is correct with his rain on the coast; snow to rain for the big cities of PHL and NYC and all snow inland he will still get hammered. I see he mentioned this morning his stand on the Christmas storm and that he received abuse for standing his ground based on what he viewed as the meteorology not modelology of the storm...in that case he was correct unlike a MET who indicated he "screwed the pooch" based on a model runs and forecasted storm cancel. This is not a criticism of that MET just that this is not an exact science but all views...even those outside of model support should be respected if there is some science behind the forecast. I see nothing in JB's current forecast that is as Sundog says below "sensational and/or ignorant" Where is the respect for the fine professional meteorologists who post here and for those who choose not to?? Can we try and show some respect even if you don't like a professionals personality or the fact he chooses not to post here? Paul Agree. Your words are well stated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 .25 up to Staten Island and north of Trenton at 84 hrs., .50 up to Philly. and Atlantic City. .10 north of NYC. and back to Morristown. 993mb low off the DelMarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 84 hours KNYC. Looks like 850 south of the area, 540 south of the area, and 32 line over the area. It cooled from 78 to 84 so not sure if that is a one frame thing or the coastal low drawing in cold air in response to it deepening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Threaded the needle at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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