tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 84 sub 988 about 75 miles east of cc...big time ccb over phl to nyc back toward hazleton...850s off coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clindner00 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Holy crap...epic CCB over New Jersey and NYC at 84 hours What does CCB mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 euro is rain to a heavy wet snow bomb for phl-nyc.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 What does CCB mean? cold conveyor belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 What does CCB mean? Cold Conveyor Belt. Meaning good snows haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 What does CCB mean? Cold Conveyor Belt, basically it means you are getting heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 QPF amounts?? Epic leads me to believe 0.75+ It's probably light rain..and then two straight frames of .50" CCB pounding with 850's east of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 What does CCB mean? Convective snow banding if I am not mistaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 It's probably light rain..and then two straight frames of .50" CCB pounding with 850's east of the city. you buy it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 84 sub 988 about 75 miles east of cc...big time ccb over phl to nyc back toward hazleton...850s off coast Not to interfere here, but is it good CCB for Baltimore too? 850'S East of Balt too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 qpf totals abe 1.5 hazleton 1.25 fwn 1.5-1.75 phl 1.5-1.75 nyc 1.5-1.75 acy 1.5-1.75 dov 1.5-1.75 avp .75 ttn 1.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Convective snow banding if I am not mistaken Cold conveyor belt. It's basically the "comma head" you see when a coastal storm matures, where substantial heavy snow banding develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Wet and sleety again. not surprised. Im waiting on this storm to get into the 36-48 hour range and see if any cold air can sneak back in as this low bombs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
listarz Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 qpf totals abe 1.5 hazleton 1.25 fwn 1.5-1.75 phl 1.5-1.75 nyc 1.5-1.75 acy 1.5-1.75 dov 1.5-1.75 avp .75 ttn 1.75 Not to be a bother but could you please add KOKX if its not too much trouble. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 qpf totals hazleton 1.25 avp .75 Must be a pretty big cutoff to get a 0.50 spread between Hazy and Avoca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 The GFS and ECM are pretty much aligned, except the Euro is stronger and therefore expands its precip shield further west. This could easily be a nuisance rain event with heavy snows as the changeover occurs. Still a risky solution for many...but wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 qpf totals abe 1.5 hazleton 1.25 fwn 1.5-1.75 phl 1.5-1.75 nyc 1.5-1.75 acy 1.5-1.75 dov 1.5-1.75 avp .75 ttn 1.75 Tom, how much of that QPF is snow? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not to interfere here, but is it good CCB for Baltimore too? 850'S East of Balt too? just going off 850s...your atleast .5 frozen, if using 850s as frozen do to dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clindner00 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 qpf totals abe 1.5 hazleton 1.25 fwn 1.5-1.75 phl 1.5-1.75 nyc 1.5-1.75 acy 1.5-1.75 dov 1.5-1.75 avp .75 ttn 1.75 So would this be heavy snowfall for south central PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 84 hour frame is literally ridiculous. 980 something surface low is directly over the 40/70. 850 line is well offshore. 32 F line runs through the city and just N of Philly. 0.50" in 6 hrs deform band is sitting over PHL..through NJ..SE NY..NYC..CT into SNE. The 700mb depiction shows a well developed comma head and cold conveyor belt. That's insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 qpf totals abe 1.5 hazleton 1.25 fwn 1.5-1.75 phl 1.5-1.75 nyc 1.5-1.75 acy 1.5-1.75 dov 1.5-1.75 avp .75 ttn 1.75 just looking at 2m temps and 850 at hr 78...would think around .50-.6 of that is rain in phl-ttn-nyc....ur thoughts tom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 you buy it? A low that strong off the coast in that position, not climatalogically absurd by any means. Will it play out exactly like this, doubtful, maybe a EURO-GFS blend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 It's probably light rain..and then two straight frames of .50" CCB pounding with 850's east of the city. i hate to do the IMBY garbage- but when if ever does it switch over to snow on western LI and how much QPF is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not to be a bother but could you please add KOKX if its not too much trouble. Thanks. basically all of li is 1.25-1.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This run verbatim says major potential for a significant/major snowstorm for areas of NYC, CNJ, NNJ, and NEPA . GFS is similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 i hate to do the IMBY garbage- but when if ever does it switch over to snow on western LI and how much QPF is snow I'll have the text data shortly..but I would say probably 0.6-0.8 falls as snow..it's a tight cutoff and then the CCB develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
listarz Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 basically all of li is 1.25-1.75 Thank you kindly...appreciate all you do. Good work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 84 hour frame is literally ridiculous. 980 something surface low is directly over the 40/70. 850 line is well offshore. 32 F line runs through the city and just N of Philly. 0.50" in 6 hrs deform band is sitting over PHL..through NJ..SE NY..NYC..CT into SNE. The 700mb depiction shows a well developed comma head and cold conveyor belt. That's insane. Very 12/25/02-like if correct. A bombing low and closing off 700/850mb just SE of us can accomplish it. Storms certainly want to amplify/strengthen a lot this winter. We went from not wanting a strong low to wanting as strong a low as possible!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'll have the text data shortly..but I would say probably 0.6-0.8 falls as snow..it's a tight cutoff and then the CCB develops. thanks! some good news following the freaken Jets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 just looking at 2m temps and 850 at hr 78...would think around .50-.6 of that is rain in phl-ttn-nyc....ur thoughts tom? im not sure tim, its all dynamics with this storm. We deff waste prob .5-.75 as liquid. Then once the 850s pass its anyones guess...the frz line never gets within 30 miles of the cities lol...so its all dynamically driven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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