earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Is that purple line the 540? The darker blue/purple line is the 32 F line. It's pretty much snow anywhere west of the 850 0c line though..the precip is heavy and the 40 F contour is well removed from the area. It's not far off from the 00z GFS at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Is that purple line the 540? I wouldn't worry....with that depiction there is no way anyone but maybe E LI is not snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Amen brother! We have been royally shafted for many consecutive yrs now.Its a shame most ppl on the coast arent aware of that.Not that it matters really. I just think that ppl over there think that we do so well most yrs with big snows so its ok if we get screwed this yr.Honestly, in the last 6 winters plus this one being 7, I rem one 9 inch storm. Every other one has basically been 6 or less, and most about 80% were 4 or less. I am not one to want to see other regions get screwed with no snow. I hope everyone gets all they can. I would just be happy for a 10inch snow, just one.Its been so long. Anyway man, you hit the nail right on the head and thank you for that. I feel the same way but I must ask how did the folks out that way do from 1980-1999 exponentially better than I did I imagine with the exception of what 1995-96, a once in a century winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 The darker blue/purple line is the 32 F line. It's pretty much snow anywhere west of the 850 0c line though..the precip is heavy and the 40 F contour is well removed from the area. It's not far off from the 00z GFS at all. I didnt even realize the 12z was that good for west central nj. Seeing an actual map instead of just pbp makes a big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 JMA is pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Crap you're in NJ and for some reason there is only 1 location for the state and thats ACY, I have no idea why when there are so many for PA and NY No, that's ok...the link is still great. Thanks very much!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 JMA is pretty warm. there prob is a warm layer around 900-950...heres the 850s, its pretty close to the rest of the model guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 JMA is pretty warm. actually compared to 12z (obviously a 12 hr difference in comparison it looks much better to me extrapolating 12z 850 00z yes 12 hours later ( i just don't think this would evolve the way it looked 12 hours earlier on previous run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GGEM ensembles are slightly west of the previous ensembles. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=72&Day=0&RunTime=00&Type=pnm http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=84&Day=0&RunTime=00&Type=pnm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 alright the euro has started, out to hr 6, i will start updating when necessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 0z FIM 980 low. Surface temps are in the 30s along the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 0z FIM 980 low. Surface temps are in the 30s along the coastal plain. Snow/water equiv...significant snowstorm inland http://fim.noaa.gov/FIMscp/from_jet/fim/236/2011012400/weasd_sfc_f084.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 0z FIM 980 low. Surface temps are in the 30s along the coastal plain. Also SW of the GFS and uses GFS data...another implication that the GFS is too far NE...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 so far through 36 biggest difference at hr 36 is its slower, thus it has more of a positive tilt...hgts on the ec are a tad higher....looks a little less amplified, but that could be because its slower in comparison to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 alright the euro has started, out to hr 6, i will start updating when necessary. Thanks tombo we all appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Snow/water equiv...significant snowstorm inland http://fim.noaa.gov/...sd_sfc_f084.png That parameter counts snow already on the ground, so the 2-3" in new england is total snowcover in W.E. following the storm. Look at the rest of the map: i doubt all of canada gets a foot of snow on this run Looking down the appalachians, its hard to tell north of 40N what effect the storm has on the snow cover, although its safe to say everything south of 40N and east of the midwest on this image is new snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 so far through 36 biggest difference at hr 36 is its slower, thus it has more of a positive tilt...hgts on the ec are a tad higher....looks a little less amplified, but that could be because its slower in comparison to 12z getting close to closing off h5 at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 EC DAY 2: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 48 at h5 still a little slower...the hgts on the ec are a little hgr..the trof is pos tilted a little more, but thats prob do to its slowness..looks like it may close off at h5 in the next frame or 2...has a sub 1008 low over mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Euro is not far from the GFS surface low position at 54 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 54 has a weaker low compared to 12z, sub 1008 over sw ga... the trof looks neutral tilt over miss river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 60 has a sub 1000 low juse east of atl...h5 is closed off at the 546 hgt...lgt precip about up to the m/d line frz/850 line on top of phl...frz line on nyc 850 line off central jerz coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 66 has a sub 1000 low over eastern nc....h5 is closed off at 546 and 540 hgt... 850s just north of phl going through nyc .1-.25 about to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Surface low is over OC Md at 72 hrs...850 line just north of philly and over NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 EC DAY 3: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 72 has a sub 992 low over the tip of delmarva....850s run from hgr to just south of abe to hpn.... mod precip over the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Another huge CCB hit at 78 for basically NYC on west...PHL included heavy precip gets to about Allentown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 hr 78 988 captured low about 50 miles east of cape may...850s run from dov to nyc...hvy precip over the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Holy crap...epic CCB over New Jersey and NYC at 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Holy crap...epic CCB over New Jersey and NYC at 84 hours QPF amounts?? Epic leads me to believe 0.75+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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