eyewall Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 We may push 80 degrees on Friday if things work out right. That is just ridiculous but yeah it could happen unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 The weather here in Savannah is conducive for another good walk today albeit actually a bit chilly. Skies are bright with some pretty cirrus/cirrostratus. Td is down in the low 30's. Temp.'s are only in the mid 50's, which is a good 7 or so below normal. Combine that with a steady 15 mph breeze and we have a bit of a nip in the air. Regardless, it is another beautiful day here for an enjoyable walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 That is just ridiculous but yeah it could happen unfortunately. One of my most memorable weather week ever happened in Feb 1989. It went from warm to cold quickly and for those that dont think you can get a good snow on warm ground well ya can. I remember on Tues 21st it was very warm and we had a tornadic squall line blast through and even had a death associated with it. Then on Feb 24th this happened February 24th 1989 – A total of thirty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date, and an Atlantic coast storm spread heavy snow from Georgia to southern New England. Snowfall totals in New Jersey ranged up to 24 inches in May County, with 19 inches reported at Atlantic City. Totals in North Carolina ranged up to 18 inches in Gates County, and winds along the coast of North Carolina gusted to 70 mph at Duck Pier. Strong winds gusting to 52 mph created blizzard conditions at Chatham MA. (The National Weather Summary) Now I dont remember the exact total we had here, but it was no less than 10-12" and I bet it was closer to 15-16". It was knee deep in places to me and I was 17 yrs old. Whats even more odd is there is very little info on this storm I dont know if it was east of I95 or if the rest of the state got in on it. Oddly RAH doesnt have it on their past event page which has details on much smaller events than this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 One of my most memorable weather week ever happened in Feb 1989. It went from warm to cold quickly and for those that dont think you can get a good snow on warm ground well ya can. I remember on Tues 21st it was very warm and we had a tornadic squall line blast through and even had a death associated with it. Then on Feb 24th this happened February 24th 1989 – A total of thirty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date, and an Atlantic coast storm spread heavy snow from Georgia to southern New England. Snowfall totals in New Jersey ranged up to 24 inches in May County, with 19 inches reported at Atlantic City. Totals in North Carolina ranged up to 18 inches in Gates County, and winds along the coast of North Carolina gusted to 70 mph at Duck Pier. Strong winds gusting to 52 mph created blizzard conditions at Chatham MA. (The National Weather Summary) Now I dont remember the exact total we had here, but it was no less than 10-12" and I bet it was closer to 15-16". It was knee deep in places to me and I was 17 yrs old. Whats even more odd is there is very little info on this storm I dont know if it was east of I95 or if the rest of the state got in on it. Oddly RAH doesnt have it on their past event page which has details on much smaller events than this one. It would be nice to see some good chase weather but I don't think that will be the case this week. We will have to see if another major shift occurs toward March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 One of my most memorable weather week ever happened in Feb 1989. It went from warm to cold quickly and for those that dont think you can get a good snow on warm ground well ya can. I remember on Tues 21st it was very warm and we had a tornadic squall line blast through and even had a death associated with it. Then on Feb 24th this happened February 24th 1989 – A total of thirty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date, and an Atlantic coast storm spread heavy snow from Georgia to southern New England. Snowfall totals in New Jersey ranged up to 24 inches in May County, with 19 inches reported at Atlantic City. Totals in North Carolina ranged up to 18 inches in Gates County, and winds along the coast of North Carolina gusted to 70 mph at Duck Pier. Strong winds gusting to 52 mph created blizzard conditions at Chatham MA. (The National Weather Summary) Now I dont remember the exact total we had here, but it was no less than 10-12" and I bet it was closer to 15-16". It was knee deep in places to me and I was 17 yrs old. Whats even more odd is there is very little info on this storm I dont know if it was east of I95 or if the rest of the state got in on it. Oddly RAH doesnt have it on their past event page which has details on much smaller events than this one. Savannah had a rare 1" snowfall on 2/23-4/89 (from only 0.02" liquid per the record) and highs of only 46/43. This was the first measurable Feb. snowfall there since 1973. Interestingly, that was not to be the last Savannah measurable snowfall that year as a big one hit in December! Two days earlier the high was a warm 79. Seven days earlier on 2/16, the high was a toasty 86, which remains that day's warmest on record and is tied for the warmest of the entire meteorological winter with 2/26/1962's 86. What a wild, weird, wacky month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Take this with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Installed an irrigation system today and several trees. Seemed like a normal spring day. All of the trees have small buds on them but sad thing is I am sure a frost will wipe them clean in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 One of my most memorable weather week ever happened in Feb 1989. It went from warm to cold quickly and for those that dont think you can get a good snow on warm ground well ya can. I remember on Tues 21st it was very warm and we had a tornadic squall line blast through and even had a death associated with it. Then on Feb 24th this happened February 24th 1989 – A total of thirty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date, and an Atlantic coast storm spread heavy snow from Georgia to southern New England. Snowfall totals in New Jersey ranged up to 24 inches in May County, with 19 inches reported at Atlantic City. Totals in North Carolina ranged up to 18 inches in Gates County, and winds along the coast of North Carolina gusted to 70 mph at Duck Pier. Strong winds gusting to 52 mph created blizzard conditions at Chatham MA. (The National Weather Summary) Now I dont remember the exact total we had here, but it was no less than 10-12" and I bet it was closer to 15-16". It was knee deep in places to me and I was 17 yrs old. Whats even more odd is there is very little info on this storm I dont know if it was east of I95 or if the rest of the state got in on it. Oddly RAH doesnt have it on their past event page which has details on much smaller events than this one. I remember this storm also and like you I remember the warm temps before the storm. I was driving home from Louisburg College in the middle of the storm. By the time I made it back to Cary I had a headache from having to concentrate so hard on the road. It was like driving in a tunnel all the way home. That was a good storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
november rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Installed an irrigation system today and several trees. Seemed like a normal spring day. All of the trees have small buds on them but sad thing is I am sure a frost will wipe them clean in the future. My dogwoods have small buds I noticed today also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Now I dont remember the exact total we had here, but it was no less than 10-12" and I bet it was closer to 15-16". It was knee deep in places to me and I was 17 yrs old. Whats even more odd is there is very little info on this storm I dont know if it was east of I95 or if the rest of the state got in on it. Oddly RAH doesnt have it on their past event page which has details on much smaller events than this one. Yeah, this was a strong upper low that cutoff over E TN and settled down into SC and into eastern NC. I remember StormFury saying there was thundersleet outside of Charleston. We had around 5 inches here. The storm brought snow to nearly all of North and South Carolina, and the northern 2/3 of Georgia. 7 inches in Aiken, SC, 4 in Columbia. Heaviest snow in NC was in the NE portion of the state - 18 inches in Gatesville, NC. You can view the maps for this storm here: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1989/us0223.php http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1989/us0224.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Take this with a grain of salt. I know I know nothing serious and it's too far out to tell but verbatim the sfc. temps are too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I know I know nothing serious and it's too far out to tell but verbatim the sfc. temps are too warm. no concern with it. No signs of cold then maybe later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Yeah, this was a strong upper low that cutoff over E TN and settled down into SC and into eastern NC. I remember StormFury saying there was thundersleet outside of Charleston. We had around 5 inches here. The storm brought snow to nearly all of North and South Carolina, and the northern 2/3 of Georgia. 7 inches in Aiken, SC, 4 in Columbia. Heaviest snow in NC was in the NE portion of the state - 18 inches in Gatesville, NC. You can view the maps for this storm here: http://www.meteo.psu...1989/us0223.php http://www.meteo.psu...1989/us0224.php Yeah this was the last time I can remember it thundering during a snowstorm, for about 3-4 hrs it was insane and I bet we got 6-8" of snow in that period. I would love to do that week over........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Does not really affect our region, but check out the differences between the models on the storm in the Midwest/GL/NE in about 120-144 hours. Comedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 this looks somewhat interesting for NC...a potential ice signal here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 this looks somewhat interesting for NC...a potential ice signal here? The GFS is much different looking than this but both models have a block in Greenland area around this time, as they hinted a while back, only the Euro is signaling that it has a displaced effect on the next storm. It doesn't look like a major block yet so the net effect might not be much in our area but its worth watching for a sneaky surprise in northern NC and VA I guess. Beyond that, the Euro has a change in the pattern it looks like to a colder and atleast wetter system toward the end of the run. We'll see. Also the extreme warmth has been shaved for NC for this warm up. I suspected the backdoor fronts will have an effect and that looks like it will prevent us from getting out of control warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Even RAH this afternoon states the potential for colder weather early next week: From Long Range THE TREND...ASIDE FROM THE GFS...HAS BEEN FOR A MORE AGGRESSIVE PUSH OF THE ATTENDING SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE INTO OR THROUGH CENTRAL NC BY MON-TUE. GIVEN THE FARTHER SOUTHWARD SOLUTION...WHICH IS FAVORED GIVEN AN EXPECTED SLOWER EJECTION OF WEST COAST TROUGHING AND RESULTANT MORE PRONOUNCED DOWNSTREAM CONFLUENCE OVER THE EASTERN US...THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF LIGHT ISENTROPICALLY-DRIVEN PRECIPITATION (RAIN) IN THE SUN NIGHT-TUE TIME FRAME. WILL ACCORDINGLY EXPAND THE SLIGHT CHANCE POP IN TIME (SUN NIGHT-TUE) AND AREAL EXTENT (TO AREAWIDE) TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS (STILL LOW CONFIDENCE) SCENARIO. WILL TREND TEMPERATURES DOWNWARD...CLOSER TO CLIMO...BUT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MUCH COOLER...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF VERY COLD HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED NORTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL ZONE INVOF CENTRAL NC. IN FACT...THE 12Z/16TH OPERATIONAL ECMWF SOLUTION...WHICH IS ON THE EXTREME END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...WOULD PRESENT A THREAT OF FREEZING PRECIPITATION TUE MORNING. DRY AND COOL...UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE...INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I85Greenville Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 One of the best forecasts ever (from my NWS GSP zone): Thursday: A chance of drizzle before 2pm. The drizzle could be heavy at times. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Calm wind becoming west between 4 and 7 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Even RAH this afternoon states the potential for colder weather early next week: KHUN also mention possible return of Winter as we head towards the end of February. SO...WHEN WILL WINTER REVISIT AGAIN? THE LATEST MED RANGE GUIDANCESUGGESTS PERHAPS NOT UNTIL THE END OF FEB WHEN A POTENTIALLY STEEP TROUGH MAY YET AGAIN DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 wow 11 total users on here that is about the lowest I ever seen. This is a sign nothing going on in the next few days anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 My dogwoods have small buds I noticed today also. Dogwoods always have buds in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
november rain Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Dogwoods always have buds in the winter. I learn something everyday here. Never paid much attention to them but had to retrieve the paper from it and just noticed the buds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 The GFS has a snow event in the Ohio Valley around 120 hours now like the previous ECMWF, but that model has now mostly lost lt. It stretches into VA with a 50/50 low keeping the low supressed through eastern Tn to NC, with snow to the north. Right now it could be just very weak to non existent but in case in comes back again on the ECMWF it may be worth watching in nrn NC or ne TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gtg947h Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 The warm weather needs to hold till next Friday... the wife and I are going to St. Augustine, and I don't want our vacation being cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 The warm weather needs to hold till next Friday... the wife and I are going to St. Augustine, and I don't want our vacation being cold... I wouldn't think you would have a problem. I was down there just last weekend when it was still "cold" and it was in the upper 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Robert, I'm glad to see the slim chance of snow and cold. I just watched Matts blog and he seems to think the same way you do with it being that far out. Again I want to thank you guys for doing a great job forcasting along with the PBP stuff when were tracking a storm. This forum is the best at keeping me up to date. Thanks Again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 currently sitting at 44 degrees with light rain and drizzle. Looks like clouds won't thin out today, so the chances of upper 60's are dim. This time last week models had 70's to near 80 for part of Ga and the Carolinas. Clouds this time of year will put a damper on temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 The warm weather needs to hold till next Friday... the wife and I are going to St. Augustine, and I don't want our vacation being cold... I'm headed there in mid March for the weekend. It's our 7th annual "Ladies weekend getaway" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Robert is there a chance this storm could over time be supressed a little further south like the Christmas storm was finally shoved south enough to give us snow. The GFS has a snow event in the Ohio Valley around 120 hours now like the previous ECMWF, but that model has now mostly lost lt. It stretches into VA with a 50/50 low keeping the low supressed through eastern Tn to NC, with snow to the north. Right now it could be just very weak to non existent but in case in comes back again on the ECMWF it may be worth watching in nrn NC or ne TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Robert is there a chance this storm could over time be supressed a little further south like the Christmas storm was finally shoved south enough to give us snow. it looked weak, the latest run of Euro lost it completely. We might could get some light rain from it at best I think, for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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