Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread


Midlo Snow Maker

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Intensity rates decreasing a bit so yes, it will be extremely close if it doesn't make it. Still, a hefty snowstorm and an extremely snowy December.

BTW, any preliminary report for KRIC?

4" at RIC...we're awaiting the official report from the COOP in Sandston.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4" at RIC...we're awaiting the official report from the COOP in Sandston.

That's right. I don't think its going to go above that. I have maybe 4.5" Just south east of the Airport. Not sure how much compacting happened during the lull before the snow came back in. But there not much over 4.5" here south east of the Airport.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That should prevent rioting and other weenie mob violence this time. My parents live fairly close by in Mechanicsville, and they are telling me 5" there.

That measurement is dead on though. There really is only about 4.5" on the ground, and I'm a bit south-east of the airport. Not sure we can squeeze out another .5" or not.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That's right. I don't think its going to go above that. I have maybe 4.5" Just south east of the Airport. Not sure how much compacting happened during the lull before the snow came back in. But there not much over 4.5" here south east of the Airport.

Inudaw...

That's exactly what was concerning us this time yesterday. That sharp gradient w-e in terms of going from 4-6" to amounts WAAAY over 6". I live in SE Chesterfield (Chester) and I'm hearing reports of 5.5-6.5". Meanwhile west of Powhatan and Goochland...a lot less (poor Weatherswife....but that's why we weren't so "quick" in throwing Louisa/Fluvanna in a watch yesterday...we all worried about that dry air N-NW).

Meanwhile, after all of this, it appears 4-6" for the RIC corridor (give or take an inch) will work out fine. 18Z NAM and 15Z SREF yesterday were pretty good for central VA. What's so frustrating for all of us here in central/eastern VA from a snow forecast perspective is the often "disconnect" we see with the warm advection bands, the "lull", and the eventual mid lvl deformation. When you get to NJ and northward, the system is so wound up that there is very little disconnect in the precip shield. We often don't have that luxury. At least where I live, over the past several snow events, there has been a much longer "lull" in forcing/precip between the WAA stuff and eventual dynamical bands. The models just don't do a very good job with that...they're often to "smooth" with the QPF output, especially being very "liberal" with the 0.25-0.50" contours. NAM12 is somewhat better, but only in the near term.

Thanks for all the reports fellas; keep 'em coming.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...