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Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread


Midlo Snow Maker

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WOW. Listen, the sleet potential is there as the low passes by but after that the snow comes in.

That's an old discussion. It all depends on where the low is and we obviously do not know that right now. It could just as easily be all snow. We will have a much better idea tomorrow night. If it does mix, I don't think it would for very long, maybe a few hours at the most. That is unless the low takes an inland route which is not likely.

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I just got home and missed all the local mets. I thought Bernier would be the first to go all in. NBC 12 always seems to be the last.

Duncan downplayed it pretty hard, saying that most of the models favor the out to sea track and only light snow in Richmond. Didnt see WTVR's newscast.

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That's an old discussion. It all depends on where the low is and we obviously do not know that right now. It could just as easily be all snow. We will have a much better idea tomorrow night. If it does mix, I don't think it would for very long, maybe a few hours at the most. That is unless the low takes an inland route which is not likely.

thats the 4 pm discussion

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Rainstorm AKQ has all snow on Sunday in the forecast for Norfolk

Christmas Day: A slight chance of light snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday Night: A chance of rain and snow before 1am, then a chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Sunday: A chance of snow. Cloudy and breezy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Sunday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

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then they need to co-ordinate better. 1046pm discussion mentions only sleet here sunday. nothing about all snow:

BASED ON THE GFS/ECMWF LLVL THICKNESSES (WHICH ARE IN GOOD

AGREEMENT) AND LIKELIHOOD OF EXTENSIVE CLOUDS/PRECIP...HIGHS MAY NOT

GET OUT OF THE LWR-MID 30S SUN OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE FCST REGION.

MEANWHILE... LIKELY COLDER THAN MOS ON SUN WITH THE STRONG CAA AND

PSBL CONTINUED CLOUDINESS/WRAP AROUND PCPN BEHIND DEEPENING OFFSHORE

LOW (AND TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY FALL DURING THE DAY SUNDAY ALONG THE

COAST AS LOW LVL FLOW BACKS FROM NE TO N THEN NNW LATER IN THE DAY).

CONCERNED WITH SLEET POTENTIAL OVER EASTERN SHORE/TIDEWATER FOR

SUNDAY AS SFC LOW MOVES BY...BUT FOR NOW HV CALLED IT RNSN UNTIL

FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING GETS RESOLVED A BIT BETTER.

looks like its just a repeat of 4pm

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McGuirk, I'm still waiting to hear if you are a betting man and what you want if your forecast for no VA location > 3" verifies ...

The last bet I made was for a bottle of vodka. I don't think the loser has actually made due on that bet.

Anyway, if I'm doing another bet I need a specific location to bet on.... not just some random place in VA.

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