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Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread

Midlo Snow Maker

By Midlo Snow Maker,
in Mid Atlantic

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JB Fins

JB Fins

Posted
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Boys we need some good Convo going on in here. I'm in L&d w/ my wife. Need some distractions from the boredom while we wait to decide if she's going to blow or not. Give me some good videos boys!

OK, was I the only person who read this and had their jaw drop...you mean if the storm is going to blow, right?:thumbsup:

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Kevin Druff

Kevin Druff

Posted
Posted
<br /><br />

OK, was I the only person who read this and had their jaw drop...you mean if the storm is going to blow, right?<img src='http://www.americanwx.com/bb/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/thumbsupsmileyanim.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':thumbsup:' /><br />

<br /><br /><br />

Well... We're still a little bit from our due date so we actually want her to stay preggers for a little while longer. I'm dedicated to the weather :thumbsup:

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csnavywx

csnavywx

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I really hope we don't get any rain here in HR, snow plus rain plus more snow equals crap ton shoveling. Would rather just shovel the fluffy stuff, but it's still to early to really nail down p-type down here

If the low bombs and occludes as fast as the Euro would suggest, this would signal more of a sleet or sleet/fzra if it mixes near/on the coast as opposed to a straight rain scenario.

I can pop in here and give some more (hopefully) objective analysis since I don't have a horse in this race, but used to forecast for that area.

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Anyweather

Anyweather

Posted
Posted

If the low bombs and occludes as fast as the Euro would suggest, this would signal more of a sleet or sleet/fzra if it mixes near/on the coast as opposed to a straight rain scenario.

I can pop in here and give some more (hopefully) objective analysis since I don't have a horse in this race, but used to forecast for that area.

I remember you bumping around these weatherboards. Even back at wright weather.

There was a storm I remember that actually got so wrapped up that it brought in a warm nose aloft that turned a forecasted heavy snow to 28F and rain in Richmond.

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rainstorm

rainstorm

Posted
Posted

this is from morehead city nws:

BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE GFS/ECMWF

MODELS OUR PRELIMINARY THINKING IS THAT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF 6+ INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NC ESPECIALLY

AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 17 AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 264 BEGINNING

SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. AREAS TO THE EAST

WILL LIKELY SEE RAIN OR MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW CHANGING TO ALL SNOW

LATE SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF

ACCUMULATION AS FAR SOUTHEAST AS THE CRYSTAL COAST.

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JB Fins

JB Fins

Posted
Posted

I remember you bumping around these weatherboards. Even back at wright weather.

There was a storm I remember that actually got so wrapped up that it brought in a warm nose aloft that turned a forecasted heavy snow to 28F and rain in Richmond.

You might be thinking of PDII in 2003 where we were supposed to get 16" and got 2-3" of snow and then about 3" of sleet on top of it.
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rainstorm

rainstorm

Posted
Posted

wakefield backing off snow for se va. now sleet sunday, blah. or r/s mix.

BASED ON THE GFS/ECMWF LLVL THICKNESSES (WHICH ARE IN GOOD

AGREEMENT) AND LIKELIHOOD OF EXTENSIVE CLOUDS/PRECIP...HIGHS MAY NOT

GET OUT OF THE LWR-MID 30S SUN OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE FCST REGION.

MEANWHILE... LIKELY COLDER THAN MOS ON SUN WITH THE STRONG CAA AND

PSBL CONTINUED CLOUDINESS/WRAP AROUND PCPN BEHIND DEEPENING OFFSHORE

LOW (AND TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY FALL DURING THE DAY SUNDAY ALONG THE

COAST AS LOW LVL FLOW BACKS FROM NE TO N THEN NNW LATER IN THE DAY).

CONCERNED WITH SLEET POTENTIAL OVER EASTERN SHORE/TIDEWATER FOR

SUNDAY AS SFC LOW MOVES BY...BUT FOR NOW HV CALLED IT RNSN UNTIL

FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING GETS RESOLVED A BIT BETTER.

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DMADKAT

DMADKAT

Posted
Posted

wakefield backing off snow for se va. now sleet sunday, blah. or r/s mix.

BASED ON THE GFS/ECMWF LLVL THICKNESSES (WHICH ARE IN GOOD

AGREEMENT) AND LIKELIHOOD OF EXTENSIVE CLOUDS/PRECIP...HIGHS MAY NOT

GET OUT OF THE LWR-MID 30S SUN OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE FCST REGION.

MEANWHILE... LIKELY COLDER THAN MOS ON SUN WITH THE STRONG CAA AND

PSBL CONTINUED CLOUDINESS/WRAP AROUND PCPN BEHIND DEEPENING OFFSHORE

LOW (AND TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY FALL DURING THE DAY SUNDAY ALONG THE

COAST AS LOW LVL FLOW BACKS FROM NE TO N THEN NNW LATER IN THE DAY).

CONCERNED WITH SLEET POTENTIAL OVER EASTERN SHORE/TIDEWATER FOR

SUNDAY AS SFC LOW MOVES BY...BUT FOR NOW HV CALLED IT RNSN UNTIL

FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING GETS RESOLVED A BIT BETTER.

Read rainstorm......We have been saying this all day. :axe:

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