pojrzsho Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Someguy said people would act like this today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EVEN THE TIDEWATER/HAMPTON ROADS AREAS INTO NE NC...WL HAVE A CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION AS THE SFC LOW EXITS AND BOMBS OFF THE MID-ATL COAST DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. I'll believe it when I see it. I think down in your area you are looking golden for at the least a 2-4 or a 3-6 event for the worst case scenario. DC up to New York could very well see nothing at all in the worst case. Would love to see the Euro verify as is but at this point I am thinking more of an easterly shift on the storm track over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retusnmete8 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 EVEN THE TIDEWATER/HAMPTON ROADS AREAS INTO NE NC...WL HAVE A CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION AS THE SFC LOW EXITS AND BOMBS OFF THE MID-ATL COAST DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. I'll believe it when I see it. This would shut down Tidewater for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 lol at the gfs last 4 runs posted in the 6z thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 CLIMATE...IT HAS BEEN A COLD MONTH OF DECEMBER THUS FAR... AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE THROUGH MON DEC 20TH... RIC...32.5F - CURRENTLY RANKS #4 (#1 IS 30.9F IN 1958) ORF...35.6F - CURRENTLY RANKS #3 (#1 IS 33.8F IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 This would shut down Tidewater for a week. And it would require the city of Richmond to activate its snow emergency plan. There are signs along many of the city's main arteries which identify them as snow emergency routes which warns residents of closures during big snowstorms for snow clearing. After the fiasco with the snow removal, I remember when they started putting them up after the January 1996 heavy snowfall, but I'm not sure if the city has ever used this plan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbfan Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 how have the models changed over night for central va? any better or worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Midlo, I'm just in aww with that map. It's like March 1993, but just off the coast....it may be a bona fide blizzard for many areas north of NC. If only something like that would verifty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 how have the models changed over night for central va? any better or worse? GFS has been consistent with earlier runs on an off the shore solution....not giving out too much QPF for C VA. However, the ECMWF has been showing a snowstorm of historic proportions for Richmond.....just insane QPF numbers and all snow. Certainly a top 3 event and rivialing RIC's all time record set in January 1940if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 That looks like some rain in HR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 That looks like some rain in HR... Yea, but the back side of that storm would crush HR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 the good news is the ensemvles are further se, great for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 What's up with the time stamp on the bottom of that image wxjunkie? Is this thing turning into a sunday night into monday event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 What's up with the time stamp on the bottom of that image wxjunkie? Is this thing turning into a sunday night into monday event? Most would be late Saturday into early Monday. But, it's still extremly early to get excited. A lot can and will change and we should get a better idea in the next 24hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Ya, there hasn't been any mention of this in the local news at all yet. Seems like this is going to be another wait and see deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Ya, there hasn't been any mention of this in the local news at all yet. Seems like this is going to be another wait and see deal. Cant blame them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 GFS has been consistent with earlier runs on an off the shore solution....not giving out too much QPF for C VA. However, the ECMWF has been showing a snowstorm of historic proportions for Richmond.....just insane QPF numbers and all snow. Certainly a top 3 event and rivialing RIC's all time record set in January 1940if it verified. dt mentioned that on wrva this am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 GFS has been consistent with earlier runs on an off the shore solution....not giving out too much QPF for C VA. However, the ECMWF has been showing a snowstorm of historic proportions for Richmond.....just insane QPF numbers and all snow. Certainly a top 3 event and rivialing RIC's all time record set in January 1940if it verified. Keep in mind that the ECMWF ensemble mean is not nearly as bullish on the heavy/insane QPF for central Virginia as the operational ECMWF indicates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 :wub: Love your storm graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Ya, there hasn't been any mention of this in the local news at all yet. Seems like this is going to be another wait and see deal. Whatever local station that was on at my gym last night did say there was a chance of snow on Xmas day, and accumulations were "likely". But of course, that's all he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 12z GFS is certainly encouraging. Hopefully the Euro stays its course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 12z GFS is certainly encouraging. Hopefully the Euro stays its course. Definitely a nice trend. The low placement is about 200 miles W of where it had it at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Seeing the 12z GFS trend that much towards the EURO is really a good sign that this storm mmay actually come up the coast. Now, if the 12z EURO holds like last night, I believe everyone is going to go crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Seeing the 12z GFS trend that much towards the EURO is really a good sign that this storm mmay actually come up the coast. Now, if the 12z EURO holds like last night, I believe everyone is going to go crazy. Taken this GFS run literally, southside Hampton Roads is already looking at a pretty decent event. 0.50-0.75" QPF.....all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Taken this GFS run literally, southside Hampton Roads is already looking at a pretty decent event. 0.50-0.75" QPF.....all snow. Hampton Roads could be the place where snow has the highest chance as of right now. A GFS track like you said puts down 4-8 inches while a Euro track....well you know how it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 And it's supposed to get better?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Hampton Roads could be the place where snow has the highest chance as of right now. A GFS track like you said puts down 4-8 inches while a Euro track....well you know how it ends. 00z Euro would still be a significant event for far SE VA. Only thing is....you run the risk of a small window when you would go over to RA, but as the storm moves farther N that would quickly turn back to SN on the back side with quite a bit of it at that. Same thing happened in January 2000....trying to determine exactly when the changeover took place and how long it lasted was a forecasting headache coz it was hard to pinpoint total accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 00z Euro would still be a significant event for far SE VA. Only thing is....you run the risk of a small window when you would go over to RA, but as the storm moves farther N that would quickly turn back to SN on the back side with quite a bit of it at that. Same thing happened in January 2000....trying to determine exactly when the changeover took place and how long it lasted was a forecasting headache coz it was hard to pinpoint total accumulations. I am not concerned about rain, verbatim the EURO would be a very short period of rain. Most huge storms in Hampton roads change over as the low passes and then changes back over to heavy snow. Euro would be heaviest snow closer to the coast you go once it reaches VA Beach latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 And it's supposed to get better?! LOL These maps are so pointless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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