RIC Airport Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Bummer. If it looks like a good snow fall, I'll have my webcam up and you can check in on us out here in the West End. What do you do at the airfield, by the way? Cool....send me the link if it becomes necessary. I'll check it out. My avatar says my job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 A hair to far south with most of the precip minus far south east va. Agreed, that will keep the best in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 looking much better here. lets keep this se trend going. what we need is a track from se ga to 200 miles east of hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 12z Euro is south east of its 0z run. :x A decent hit for NC/SE va ;x still some snows up to dc. Not sure about amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 looking much better here. lets keep this se trend going. what we need is a track from se ga to 200 miles east of hatteras. Like what I'm seeing so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Euro FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 12z Euro is south east of its 0z run. :x A decent hit for NC/SE va ;x still some snows up to dc. Not sure about amounts. starting to sound like march 1980. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 starting to sound like march 1980. Slow down rainstorm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks at 12z Euro. Faints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Just to squelch the idea of "huge" storm for those in central/south east Va. The Euro only gives the area between 0.25 and 0.5 percip. 0.25 in Richmond.. and 0.5 for Norfolk. :X Modest event. Seems the system is evolving into something more complicated than the original sure bet bowling ball scenario to more of an event depending on how it phases with the northern stream along the east coast. (like the last threat that fizzled. ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Just to squelch the idea of "huge" storm for those in central/south east Va. The Euro only gives the area between 0.25 and 0.5 percip. 0.25 in Richmond.. and 0.5 for Norfolk. :X Modest event. Seems the system is evolving into something more complicated than the original sure bet bowling ball scenario to more of an event depending on how it phases with the northern stream along the east coast. (like the last threat that fizzled. ) even an inch or 2 of snow is an inch or 2 more than we ever get on christmas. but i agree, the trend seems to be for no storm at all. still better for us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Just to squelch the idea of "huge" storm for those in central/south east Va. The Euro only gives the area between 0.25 and 0.5 percip. 0.25 in Richmond.. and 0.5 for Norfolk. :X Modest event. Seems the system is evolving into something more complicated than the original sure bet bowling ball scenario to more of an event depending on how it phases with the northern stream along the east coast. (like the last threat that fizzled. ) Is the timing also slower with the Euro? If so, would it be late X-mas/ 26th for snow in VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Most of what would fall would be on the 26th on the Euro for those who are asking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Just to squelch the idea of "huge" storm for those in central/south east Va. The Euro only gives the area between 0.25 and 0.5 percip. 0.25 in Richmond.. and 0.5 for Norfolk. :X Modest event. Seems the system is evolving into something more complicated than the original sure bet bowling ball scenario to more of an event depending on how it phases with the northern stream along the east coast. (like the last threat that fizzled. ) I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Most of what would fall would be on the 26th on the Euro for those who are asking. euro starts at ric ~7pm 25th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 even an inch or 2 of snow is an inch or 2 more than we ever get on christmas. but i agree, the trend seems to be for no storm at all. still better for us though. In 14 minutes you went from March 1980 to the trend seems to be for no storm at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Ever since the storm modeled on Thurday's Euro failed to come to fruition, I am very wary when the Euro shows SE Va getting hit. Don't get me wrong here, I want snow just as much as the next guy. The models seem to be having issues with storms 48hrs let alone 120hrs out. I think that we will have a much clearer picture by Christmas Eve. P.S. I would love a storm to come through so that I can put my new Vantage Vue to the test Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 In 14 minutes you went from March 1980 to the trend seems to be for no storm at all. just being mindful of what happened this past saturday. we went from a dt 1st guess of 40% chance of 8+ to nothing. we will be fine if there is no further out to sea trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twodogs Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Before it is said and done it will OTS. That has been the overall trend this winter. 7 - 10 threats tracked and only to fizzle. I will check the forecast on thursday to see if I need to make a run for milk and bread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This thing creeps (even slower on the euro...) Too.. Short wave is in the plains by 84 hours.. yet can't get to the east coast till just after 132 hours according to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 12z euro ensembles are faster and further north with the lowhr.120 op low over la. fla. border ensembles hr. 120 low over central ga. by hr. 138 op has the low off teh nc./sc. coast hr. 138 ensembles have the low east of hat. this looks better for va. i'd say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 one for the archives on christmas i just hope it lasts VAZ070-210430-CHESTERFIELD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLONIAL HEIGHTS 319 PM EST MON DEC 20 2010 .TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLD WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLD WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT. .CHRISTMAS DAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLD WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 one for the archives on christmas i just hope it lasts Yeah, it feels awfully early and I am still nervous...but just to see it in black and white is something I have not experienced. I remember the ice we had back earlier this decade on Christmas Eve, not really snow as much as a black ice Christmas. I think, I think, I recall the .1 in 1993. I definitely remember rain turning to snow flurries in 1981 on Christmas Day Night. That was a wild stretch because in 1982 it was a very warm Christmas, 60's or 70's and then 83 was bitter cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 was the 12z euro a better run for our area or was 0z run better? Looking at the 18zgfs and all i can say 18z gfs never works out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 323 PM EST MON DEC 20 2010 NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ095>098-212030- HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-BERTIE-CHOWAN- PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK- CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH- 323 PM EST MON DEC 20 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND LOWER MID ATLANTIC REGIONS CHRISTMAS DAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN...POSSIBLY ENDING AS SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX ACROSS SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. PERSONS IN...OR EXPECTING TO TRAVEL THROUGH...THE AREA DURING THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND ARE ADVISED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Wx porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Better hope the UKMET is not right. SWING and a miss and then seeming falls down and breaks something. XD GGEM is the other way... a Home RUN.. maybe not a grand slam.. but a home run. GFS .. single? :X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Euro comes in with a HOOKING down the line Home run.. .just stays fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 HM in other thread... "Looks like 6-10" for DCA but 10-20" event E VA, DE, E MD, SE NJ." Tell Rainstorm to say March 1980 again LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 FOOKING EURO!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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