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Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread


Midlo Snow Maker

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I don't know why but I have a feeling someone in SE VA gets 2". I'm probably completely wrong.:arrowhead:

Looking at radar you would think pecip should all be gone by 1 am. Whats happening to make pecip stay around till tomorrow morning, like the models are showing?

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Its been a very cold December so far and it's apparent that the cold will persist through the end of the month. RIC is currently sitting at 32.8°F for the month which is a departure of -9.2.

Top 10 Coldest Decembers at Richmond (since 1897)

1, 30.1°F (1917)

2. 31.3°F (1989)

3. 31.6°F (1935)

4. 32.4°F (1963)

5. 33.0°F (2000) 32.8°F (2010) as of 12/17

6. 33.4°F (1958)

7. 34.1°F (1910)

8. 34.6°F (1960)

9. 34.8°F (1955)

10. 35.5°F (1969) and (1930)

If the month ended right now, December 2010 would past December 2000 and rank as the 5th coldest December on record.

Regarding snowfall....RIC currently sits at 3.7" officially. In order to rank within the top 10 snowiest Decembers, this month would need an additional 4.5". With the pattern continuing to be prime for snowfall opportunities, it quite possible the month end on a historical note.

Top 10 Snowiest Decembers at RIC (since 1897)

1. 17.2" (1908)

2. 15.3" (1917)

3. 12.5" (1958)

4. 12.3" (1935)

5. 12.2" (1966)

6. 11.7" (1989)

7. 9.9" (1973)

8. 9.1" (1916)

9. 8.5" (1904)

10. 8.2" (1945)

Through yesterday, the average temperature for the month of December stood at 32.6°F. We've had an amazing streaking of double digit departures.

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WITH 3 MEASURABLE SNOWFALLS HERE IN NORFOLK VA. BEFORE CHRISTMAS AND SNOW RAIN LAST NIGHT. YOU GOTTA BELIEVE IT COULD SNOW AGAIN HERE FOR THE HOLIDAYS. I'M 48 GOING ON 49 AND I HAVE NEVER SEEN MORE THAN ONE SNOWFALL BEFORE DEC. 25 ONLY A HANDFUL OF TIMES . THIS INDEED IS AN UNUSUAL WINTER! GOTTA BELIEVE SOMETHING WILD IS GONNA HAPPEN. WISH CASTING WEENIE OR NOT! REMINDS ME OF THE WILD 70'S BUT THIS IS EVEN MORE BIZARRE! THE LOW SOLAR CYCLE IS REALLY BECOMING A LIKELY CANIDATE FOR GLOBAL COOLING.

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12z GFS just moved way in the wrong direction. Its faster so timing is off, i.e. comes in late in the day christmas eve after it has warmed up. Also low tracks further north thanks to earlier phase. Looks like alot of rain, especially if it keeps trending in the direction its going :gun_bandana:

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12z GFS just moved way in the wrong direction. Its faster so timing is off, i.e. comes in late in the day christmas eve after it has warmed up. Also low tracks further north thanks to earlier phase. Looks like alot of rain, especially if it keeps trending in the direction its going :gun_bandana:

I wouldn't worry about such small details this far out. We still have a lot of time before the storm arrives.

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Well, I think most of the models have a general consensus for what will happen in the central va area. 2-4" low end and maybe 4-8" high end, which is perfect for traveling on Christmas (I have to go to Richmond). I think 850's are what we have to watch. There's a lot more on the line up north, but I think I'd rather see the southern slider as opposed to this hybrid bowling ball/Miller B stuff. The southern slider ala Canadian would give us a better chance to stay all snow.

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GFS warmest... furthest north.. strongest..

ECMF colder not as far north.. moderate precip amounts

GGEM Colder still second most south model. Decent precip all snow for the area..

UKMET Furthest south ... no idea about precip

Richmond perspective: 3 for snow.. 1 for a mix bag.. of everything during some point of the storm.

Hampton Roads area: 2 for snow, 1 mix bag... 1 rain...

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GFS warmest... furthest north.. strongest..

ECMF colder not as far north.. moderate precip amounts

GGEM Colder still second most south model. Decent precip all snow for the area..

UKMET Furthest south ... no idea about precip

Richmond perspective: 3 for snow.. 1 for a mix bag.. of everything during some point of the storm.

Hampton Roads area: 2 for snow, 1 mix bag... 1 rain...

I wonder where UKMET heads once off the SE coast??? Probably OTS, but it might clip SE VA with something, or maybe be at KU storm, lol.

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GFS warmest... furthest north.. strongest..

ECMF colder not as far north.. moderate precip amounts

GGEM Colder still second most south model. Decent precip all snow for the area..

UKMET Furthest south ... no idea about precip

Richmond perspective: 3 for snow.. 1 for a mix bag.. of everything during some point of the storm.

Hampton Roads area: 2 for snow, 1 mix bag... 1 rain...

Thanks for the breakdown. :popcorn:

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