Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread

[rainstorm]

When we have to rely on re-development off Hatteras, we are too far south to get 12"+.....unless it just sits off the coast for a day like January 2000 did for RDU.

if it redevelops off hatteras most of va isnt going to get much.

[rainstorm]

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/43206/light-snow-creates-slick-trave-1.asp

says norfolk is in the 1-3 zone with icy roads tonight.

[RIC Airport]

if it redevelops off hatteras most of va isnt going to get much.

Well....it depends, but RIC is much more favorable for accumulating snows than VA Beach. Remember, the snowfall climatology there is different from SE VA....it only correlates about half of the time.

[rainstorm]

Well....it depends, but RIC is much more favorable for accumulating snows than VA Beach. Remember, the snowfall climatology there is different from SE VA....it only correlates about half of the time.

true, but we better hope for a se trend and the low developing off the SC coast

[WeSuck]

Radar is nice. However, It looks like Hampton is going to be as far northwest the precip will reach.

[Geoff]

is that 1-3, or 3-6?

[rainstorm]

looks like 1-3 for se va.

[WeSuck]

that is 3-6 in. LOL

[rainstorm]

its 1-3. the bright white is 3-6

[MidlothianWX]

Stop stop stop.

[MidlothianWX]

If the GFS is correct with its depiction of the Christmas storm, it would be a bowling-ball low setup. If I'm not mistaken, these are much more common during moderate-strong La Nina winters, which means they are slightly easier for the models to handle. Not saying this means that the current GFS depiction is accurate; however, it has more of a chance than any coastal we have seen pop up in the long range.

[weathervswife]

If the GFS is correct with its depiction of the Christmas storm, it would be a bowling-ball low setup. If I'm not mistaken, these are much more common during moderate-strong La Nina winters, which means they are slightly easier for the models to handle. Not saying this means that the current GFS depiction is accurate; however, it has more of a chance than any coastal we have seen pop up in the long range.

Euro goes OTS with fairly light precip...right in the gutter with the bowling ball.

[rainstorm]

looks to me almost all the snow richmond gets is wraparound after the low has already passed by. chancy at best.

[WeSuck]

its 1-3. the bright white is 3-6

Yeah, my eyes didn't adjust ha

[Kevin Druff]

looks  to me almost all the  snow  richmond  gets  is wraparound after the  low  has  already  passed  by. chancy  at  best.

Not all of it is wrap around. 5 or 6 inches before thie change over as the low passes overhead and then redevelops. 5 or 6 inches on Christmas Eve?????? Sign my ass up for that. Quit trying to be such a depressing person. If you hate that it doesn't snow there, I will say it again: move away from the f'ing beach.

[RIC Airport]

Not all of it is wrap around. 5 or 6 inches before thie change over as the low passes overhead and then redevelops. 5 or 6 inches on Christmas Eve?????? Sign my ass up for that. Quit trying to be such a depressing person. If you hate that it doesn't snow there, I will say it again: move away from the f'ing beach.

I was tryna be nice earlier. He/she/it needs another suspension.

[Kevin Druff]

I was tryna be nice earlier. He/she/it needs another suspension a life.

Fixed.

[WeSuck]

In other news...

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast_loop.php

[rainstorm]

In other news...

http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php

looks good for later tonight

[Coach McGuirk]

its 1-3. the bright white is 3-6

You're reading it wrong. That's T-1 with a small area in NC at 1-3.

[Billabong]

You're reading it wrong. That's T-1 with a small area in NC at 1-3.

It was 1-3". The map was recently updated.

[Geoff]

it was 1-3 then it went to T-1 and now it's back again to 1-3

[Midlo Snow Maker]

12z gfs 22" ric, dc 33"

Date/hour    FHr  Wind    SfcT   Ptype  SRat|Snow||TotSN    QPF ||TotQPF   Sleet||TotPL    FZRA||TotZR    S%| I%| L%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
101222/1500Z  99  36006KT  31.8F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101222/1800Z 102  36005KT  37.9F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101222/2100Z 105  01003KT  34.9F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/0000Z 108  01005KT  26.2F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101223/0300Z 111  36005KT  23.9F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/0600Z 114  35005KT  22.3F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/0900Z 117  35005KT  21.6F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/1200Z 120  35006KT  20.8F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101223/1500Z 123  36007KT  28.6F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/1800Z 126  35006KT  35.4F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/2100Z 129  35004KT  33.1F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/0000Z 132  01005KT  25.3F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101224/0300Z 135  01004KT  23.4F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/0600Z 138  36003KT  23.7F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/0900Z 141  35003KT  25.2F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/1200Z 144  09003KT  26.6F  SNOW     7:1| 0.1|| 0.1    0.012|| 0.01     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101224/1500Z 147  12004KT  30.0F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.1    0.000|| 0.01     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/1800Z 150  11004KT  29.8F  SNOW    11:1| 2.8|| 2.9    0.252|| 0.26     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101224/2100Z 153  09006KT  30.6F  SNOW     9:1| 2.0|| 4.8    0.220|| 0.48     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/0000Z 156  06007KT  32.4F  RAIN     0:1| 0.0|| 4.8    0.083|| 0.57     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|100
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101225/0300Z 159  02009KT  32.9F  RAIN     0:1| 0.0|| 4.8    0.087|| 0.65     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|100
101225/0600Z 162  35012KT  32.5F  RAIN     0:1| 0.0|| 4.8    0.114|| 0.77     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|100
101225/0900Z 165  33015KT  30.4F  SNOW     8:1| 1.1|| 5.9    0.142|| 0.91     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/1200Z 168  33017KT  27.5F  SNOW    18:1| 2.7|| 8.6    0.154|| 1.06     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101225/1500Z 171  33018KT  26.6F  SNOW    19:1| 5.9||14.6    0.307|| 1.37     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/1800Z 174  33017KT  27.0F  SNOW    26:1| 6.4||21.0    0.248|| 1.62     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/2100Z 177  32015KT  27.5F  SNOW    14:1| 0.9||21.9    0.063|| 1.68     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101226/0000Z 180  31014KT  24.8F  SNOW    10:1| 0.4||22.3    0.043|| 1.72     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0

Date/hour    FHr  Wind    SfcT   Ptype  SRat|Snow||TotSN    QPF ||TotQPF   Sleet||TotPL    FZRA||TotZR    S%| I%| L%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
101222/1500Z  99  35008KT  31.3F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101222/1800Z 102  35009KT  35.1F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101222/2100Z 105  35006KT  32.4F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/0000Z 108  34007KT  26.4F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101223/0300Z 111  34007KT  25.5F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/0600Z 114  33007KT  24.6F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/0900Z 117  33007KT  23.4F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/1200Z 120  34007KT  22.3F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101223/1500Z 123  34009KT  27.9F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/1800Z 126  33008KT  32.2F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101223/2100Z 129  34007KT  30.4F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/0000Z 132  33006KT  25.0F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101224/0300Z 135  35006KT  25.5F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/0600Z 138  33004KT  24.1F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/0900Z 141  36004KT  25.2F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/1200Z 144  08003KT  25.2F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101224/1500Z 147  09005KT  28.2F           0:1| 0.0|| 0.0    0.000|| 0.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00     0|  0|  0
101224/1800Z 150  10006KT  27.3F  SNOW    14:1| 2.4|| 2.4    0.169|| 0.17     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101224/2100Z 153  10008KT  28.2F  SNOW    11:1| 1.0|| 3.4    0.091|| 0.26     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/0000Z 156  07008KT  28.4F  SNOW    10:1| 0.3|| 3.7    0.031|| 0.29     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101225/0300Z 159  05009KT  29.7F  SNOW     8:1| 0.6|| 4.3    0.067|| 0.36     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/0600Z 162  02011KT  31.6F  SNOW    16:1| 1.6|| 5.9    0.102|| 0.46     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/0900Z 165  01015KT  30.4F  SNOW    19:1| 4.7||10.6    0.244|| 0.70     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/1200Z 168  35018KT  28.0F  SNOW    19:1| 5.9||16.4    0.303|| 1.01     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
101225/1500Z 171  34018KT  27.3F  SNOW    20:1| 9.9||26.3    0.492|| 1.50     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/1800Z 174  33016KT  27.9F  SNOW    13:1| 3.7||30.1    0.295|| 1.80     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101225/2100Z 177  32015KT  26.6F  SNOW    16:1| 2.9||33.0    0.185|| 1.98     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
101226/0000Z 180  32016KT  24.8F  SNOW     0:1| 0.0||33.0    0.024|| 2.00     0.00|| 0.00    0.00|| 0.00   100|  0|  0
======================================================================================================================

[WeSuck]

12z gfs 22" ric, dc 33"

This is one time I would cry on Christmas Morning.

[thspoq]

Seeing a few flakes here in the Poquoson/Hampton area.

[Coach McGuirk]

Seeing a few flakes here in the Poquoson/Hampton area.

I didn't go outside but just from looking out my window I didn't see anything.

[thspoq]

I didn't go outside but just from looking out my window I didn't see anything.

Thats odd, I literally just spoke to my sister in-law and she said its snowing on rt.17 in Grafton.

[rainstorm]

snow is spotty right now. will fill in soon.

[Coach McGuirk]

Thats odd, I literally just spoke to my sister in-law and she said its snowing on rt.17 in Grafton.

I'm getting micro-dryslotted.

[Midlo Snow Maker]

12z gfs 22" ric, dc 33"

This is one time I would cry on Christmas Morning.