CarolineWx Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 http://www.nbc12.com/Global/story.asp?S=13555195 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 12z GFS once again plays a a cruel joke: EDIT: I meant to post the next frame which shows snow for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 That storm was CRAZY out in the Valley. I lived in Fishersville but still went to Staunton City Schools. Woke up, looked outside, snow was EVERYWHERE. City schools were delayed 2 hrs. I go back to sleep and when I wake up city schools were STILL only delayed 2 hours. I get dressed, etc. and call my mom because she worked for the city schools. WTF?!?!? "Just go slow, once you make it out of the neighborhood you'll be fine." So, I clean off the car and leave. It takes 10 minutes for me to get up the hill (driving east) out of my neighborhood in 6" of snow, +SN BLSN, etc. I get to US250 and turn west. Within 1.5 miles, I go from 6" to NOTHING. Not a single flake of snow had accumulated not much more than 1,500 to 2,000 feet from my house (as the crow flies) while I had 6" on the ground. I was speechless. I remember it well. I was living in an apartment with my brother and a friend and measured an average of 13.5". One side of the apartment building was bare ground. The other side had drifts over 3 feet. My car had this nice sculpted snow shooting off the back, which was surprising since it was powdery. My wife (fiance at the time) was up at Mary Baldwin and didn't receive a flake. A few weeks later I visited her up there and we got close to a foot in just a few hours. That was when the ice storm hit the Piedmont pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 NBC 12 is calling for mild winter with more rain than snow with ice storm risks. They are calling for near normal or below normal snowfall 13.0 Inches or lower. http://www.nbc12.com....asp?S=13555195 Looking at the distribution of snowfall from season to season since 1897, if they really had to guess, 5-10" is more likely than any other class. No TV station would ever predict more than 30" of snow at RIC nor would any ever predict less than 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 12z GFS once again plays a a cruel joke: EDIT: I meant to post the next frame which shows snow for us and the 00z still has it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 You chose the former sign of the Sycamore Square Ukrops as your avatar? Original. I believe the sign is still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Make it stop. I'm glad that it keeps coming up. The trend may be your friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Make it stop. Hampton Roads weather porn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 The GFS listened to me. 12z has a lakes cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 It didn't have much support from its own ensemble members at least for the dec 5-6 storm. The models have been jumping around so much, there is not much to be gleaned from them except that the pattern will be a tough one to call snowstorms much in advance. Wes in response to a comment about recent GFS runs showing a large coastal low. Looks like there is no point in obsessing over model runs at this stage (but then again, when is there ever a point in that). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 I'm not very excited about the storm potentials that the GFS has been jumping around with... Been way to inconsistent... Can't get really excited about it yet that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/akq/climate/special/Thanksgiving%20Day%20Climatology.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxobserver Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Great to see all the stations in the area coming out with there prediction for winter. Looks like we might have a potential for more ice than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Great to see all the stations in the area coming out with there prediction for winter. Looks like we might have a potential for more ice than snow. It's interesting that ice storms (ZR) have not been common the last 10 years. After 5.0" officially at RIC from the December 4-5, 2002 storm, there was a rather significant amount of ZR that fell on top. With a good snowcover, it made for a really pretty scene as lots of ice accumulated on tree limbs and power lines. January 29-30, 2000 delievered much more and is probably the last true major ice storm in the Richmond area. December 23-25, 1998 and particularly February 9-10, 1994 were extremly bad. For the 1994 event, RIC had several inches of pure IP and a couple inches of liquid equivalent ZR on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Thanksgiving 12z GFS: - Possible back end snow from mid-week system - Impressive cold beginning around the 7th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxobserver Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Thanksgiving 12z GFS: - Possible back end snow from mid-week system - Impressive cold beginning around the 7th Saw that this morning. Guess I had better go get the wood burning stove ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Thanksgiving 12z GFS: - Possible back end snow from mid-week system - Impressive cold beginning around the 7th Not even sure that's back in snow really. Looks more like frontal passage precipitation .. which would be rain if anything. 6 hour total precip deception verses instantaneous 850 isotherm location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 25, 2010 Share Posted November 25, 2010 Not even sure that's back in snow really. Looks more like frontal passage precipitation .. which would be rain if anything. 6 hour total precip deception verses instantaneous 850 isotherm location. That's really why I put the laughing face there - GFS deception at its finest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 this looks like it's going to be the winter of warm up-cold front-cold shot, then warm up-cold front, then cold shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 this looks like it's going to be the winter of warm up-cold front-cold shot, then warm up-cold front, then cold shot Yeah, and the southern Mid-Atlantic will NOT be able to score with this routine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 Yeah, and the southern Mid-Atlantic will NOT be able to score with this routine. Take a good look at them...09-10 may be all we have to talk about this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 Take a good look at them...09-10 may be all we have to talk about this winter. good times right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteKEAN2004 Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 I was actually in the middle of talking with Brian. Seems like he's been pretty busy. If nobody has told him or Mike I can shoot them an email. Better late than never I guess. In any case, I made the switch. I like the new digs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 26, 2010 Share Posted November 26, 2010 Better late than never I guess. In any case, I made the switch. I like the new digs! Welcome! Be sure to get your red tag! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 26, 2010 Author Share Posted November 26, 2010 Welcome! Be sure to get your red tag! done!!! welcome aboard WhiteKEAN2004 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 not sure what ch.6 is seeing but he said possible wintry precip this coming week north and west of ric, and maybe even some flurries here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 not sure what ch.6 is seeing but he said possible wintry precip this coming week north and west of ric, and maybe even some flurries here He was talking about Wednesday behind the front, but i think its unlikely even know the GFS been hinting at it a lot the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted November 27, 2010 Share Posted November 27, 2010 Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving! I was at the Macy's parade and it began to flurry/lightly snow near noon. On the turnpike back there was a good bit of sleet. Then I came back to VA and it's 60..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Drove to Indianapolis on Thanksgiving Day. We saw 72 and sunny in WVA mountains, severe Thunderstorms in Eastern Indiana, and heavy snow squalls in Indiana Thursday night. Still some snow on the ground in OH on the drive home today. Somehow I worry I may have peaked for this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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