yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 yes i use this all the time great page nws//soiltemps.gov.va //lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 man what a set up bitter cold last night ground frozen teens tonight before a snow storm RARE week and a half before christmas snow storm on the way WSW are up models jackpot central va. doesn't get much better than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 man what a set up bitter cold last night ground frozen teens tonight before a snow storm RARE week and a half before christmas snow storm on the way WSW are up models jackpot central va. doesn't get much better than this THATS RIGHT. WHO CARES ABOUT SUNDAY. GAME ON FOLKS.......................................... TIME TO HEAD TO UKROPS O I MEAN MARTINS LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteKEAN2004 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 <br />i think that will be upgraded tomorrow am<br /><br /><br /><br />I'll be the judge of that ...and yes I do take bribes. Seriously though, looking very good for CVA. Just got up so I've got to take a further look at obs upstream but everything I've seen thus far is just corroborating what we saw last night. Should be another fun night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 So, historically an event that was primarily ZR for BNA would yield P-type concerns for the RIC metro area. Apparently that is not the case with this event. Anyone care to comment on why? This has been a rule I know the AKQ mets consider in past events and even mention in AFD's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> I'll be the judge of that ...and yes I do take bribes. Seriously though, looking very good for CVA. Just got up so I've got to take a further look at obs upstream but everything I've seen thus far is just corroborating what we saw last night. Should be another fun night. my prediction is it will be upgraded to everyone except a few miles from the ocean. peninsula is a certain upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> I'll be the judge of that ...and yes I do take bribes. Seriously though, looking very good for CVA. Just got up so I've got to take a further look at obs upstream but everything I've seen thus far is just corroborating what we saw last night. Should be another fun night. fun times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> I'll be the judge of that ...and yes I do take bribes. Seriously though, looking very good for CVA. Just got up so I've got to take a further look at obs upstream but everything I've seen thus far is just corroborating what we saw last night. Should be another fun night. LOL what do you think as far as SE VA goes for accumulation and possible upgrade based on current models? Looks good for ORF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteKEAN2004 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 &lt;br /&gt;my prediction is it will be upgraded to everyone except a few miles from the ocean. peninsula is a certain upgrade.&lt;br /&gt;I can't tell you it won't happen, certainly. It's all going to come down to timing. From the looks of things last evening, we had good amount of warming (mixed pcpn) in dendritic growth zone at the peak of overrunning. If that's still the scenario, I like what we have very much. Given the wetbulbs I saw last night...I'm honestly not inclined to tell you you're wrong (I leave all the wiseguy second guessing to others ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I can't tell you it won't happen, certainly. It's all going to come down to timing. From the looks of things last evening, we had good amount of warming (mixed pcpn) in dendritic growth zone at the peak of overrunning. If that's still the scenario, I like what we have very much. Given the wetbulbs I saw last night...I'm honestly not inclined to tell you you're wrong (I leave all the wiseguy second guessing to others ). You guys have this nailed imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteKEAN2004 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 So, historically an event that was primarily ZR for BNA would yield P-type concerns for the RIC metro area. Apparently that is not the case with this event. Anyone care to comment on why? This has been a rule I know the AKQ mets consider in past events and even mention in AFD's.<br /> That assumes a typically marginally cold airmass. Given the antecedent cold air mass locked in place, (i.e. great evapo cooling potental, etc) the ptype issues will be significantly lessened. In fact, snow ratios upwards of 13-15:1 are a very real possibility at the outset Thursday for the metro. Should be a fun ride! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 DT's Map updated... http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/map2.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 nice any quick thoughts on the wknd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 DT's Map updated... http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/map2.jpg based on models that looks about what i would say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 ANd this is DT's map for the weekend event...this deserves 3 :o http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/GUESS1.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 This is comical....From ODU, I have no idea how they determined this. ODU Inclement Weather Update The National Weather Service is forecasting light snow in the region beginning around 9 a.m. and mixed snow/rain in the late afternoon on Thursday, Dec. 16. Snow accumulation is expected to be less than an inch. Because the university is in the middle of exam week and commencement is scheduled for Saturday, Old Dominion will open as planned tomorrow. However, officials will be closely monitoring the weather over night and through the day tomorrow. Should conditions deteriorate and closing becomes necessary, then all exams affected by the closing will be rescheduled for Monday, Dec. 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 This is comical....From ODU, I have no idea how they determined this. ODU Inclement Weather Update The National Weather Service is forecasting light snow in the region beginning around 9 a.m. and mixed snow/rain in the late afternoon on Thursday, Dec. 16. Snow accumulation is expected to be less than an inch. Because the university is in the middle of exam week and commencement is scheduled for Saturday, Old Dominion will open as planned tomorrow. However, officials will be closely monitoring the weather over night and through the day tomorrow. Should conditions deteriorate and closing becomes necessary, then all exams affected by the closing will be rescheduled for Monday, Dec. 20. Idiots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 ANd this is DT's map for the weekend event...this deserves 3 :o http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/GUESS1.jpg google found no matches for a translation, am i the only one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Another thing I noticed.... the overnight temps for the next few days are lower in the latest forecast from AKQ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Yeah in SEVA you may worry about soil temps - But here in North VA - I'll tell ya all about soil temps - The ground is so unbelievably FROZEN - We have attained profound surface frigidization in terms of ground temps and road temps here IMBY!!!!!! You know what our overnight low was last night? 9 degrees We barely managed to eke out freezing today. It's already back down into the upper 20s. As for our dewpoint - we've done run out of degrees. Yeah - we're in a recession alright lol - a temperature recession with dewpoints near ZERO. This is change I can DEFINITELY live with!!!! We don't have no ptype issues here in N VA or DCA. What the hell is rain anyway? All we'll get is SNOW HELL YEAH BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Believe you me - You got nothin' to worry about wrt ground temps in SEVA. You got COLD ground there too - And lots of snow, heavy at times - IS DEFINITELY ON TAP for your BY tomorrow!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 ANd this is DT's map for the weekend event...this deserves 3 :o http://www.wxrisk.co...0/12/GUESS1.jpg omg, I so hope that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Idiots lol they are scared to cancel and it clearly shows in that idiotic write up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 google found no matches for a translation, am i the only one? WHAT part dont you get ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbfan Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 what are the odds of seeing sleet where im at? just wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31 degrees here and falling. Time to chill down for the precip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31 degrees here and falling. Time to chill down for the precip! Damn right, lol @ GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Damn right, lol @ GFS Based on that run - If you live near the NC/VA state line you are in for 6-8 inches of snow. Yeah, I'm jealous - But cheering you guys on!!! I hope to god the models are WRONG. I hope you get 12 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Yeah in SEVA you may worry about soil temps - But here in North VA - I'll tell ya all about soil temps - The ground is so unbelievably FROZEN - We have attained profound surface frigidization in terms of ground temps and road temps here IMBY!!!!!! You know what our overnight low was last night? 9 degrees We barely managed to eke out freezing today. It's already back down into the upper 20s. As for our dewpoint - we've done run out of degrees. Yeah - we're in a recession alright lol - a temperature recession with dewpoints near ZERO. This is change I can DEFINITELY live with!!!! We don't have no ptype issues here in N VA or DCA. What the hell is rain anyway? All we'll get is SNOW HELL YEAH BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Believe you me - You got nothin' to worry about wrt ground temps in SEVA. You got COLD ground there too - And lots of snow, heavy at times - IS DEFINITELY ON TAP for your BY tomorrow!!! We know that we've got it good when you post in our thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Based on that run - If you live near the NC/VA state line you are in for 6-8 inches of snow. Yeah, I'm jealous - But cheering you guys on!!! I hope to god the models are WRONG. I hope you get 12 inches. Unfortunately, there will probably be some p-type issues down there but there won't be any shortage of freezing rain and ice. Central VA and the Eastern Shore look like the jackpot areas with 95 % of the precip falling as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Damn right, lol @ GFS WOW! Shifted the heavier precip south right over SE VA!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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