Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread

[WeSuck]

yea me too! I work here... and already plan NOT to come in tomorrow.. If i hear anything I will let you know.

lol nice! Has ODU ever had to close down during exam week? If they do, when do they get rescheduled?

[Billabong]

It's pretty much over by then, though, isn't it? What does it look like from 10a-3p or so. That looks like the height of the precip.

Verbatim, 0.43" snow, 0.16" sleet/ice/rain.

Which model has been colder? GFS or NAM? If we stay all or mostly snow this could be huge from RIC to ORF.

The difference is timing. Hopefully 18z will have better agreement. But overall, I wouldn't be too concerned right now.

[WeSuck]

Verbatim, 0.43" snow, 0.16" sleet/ice/rain.

The difference is timing. Hopefully 18z will have better agreement. But overall, I wouldn't be too concerned right now.

Thanks for the updates man. And I hope we can get a WSW out of this!

[WeSuck]

DT in other thread....

with regard to saturday night sunday

s and e of RIC folks need to recall DEC 25 2004 SNOWSTORM for se VA 6-8" fell in willamsburg 12"+ in PHF and ORF and suffolk...

that might be what we see dec 19

[Midlo Snow Maker]

jesus the ggem came waaaayyyyyyyyyyyyyyy west

[WeSuck]

GOOD GOD that looks like a SE VA Blizzard! And it was so far east wasn't this expected?

[mspegasus]

As long as I have been here, never! (been here 20 years).

lol nice! Has ODU ever had to close down during exam week? If they do, when do they get rescheduled?

[RIC Airport]

As long as I have been here, never! (been here 20 years).

When I was a student there, they were always the last to close. There were times when TCC, NSU, etc. are closed while ODU was just a delay......morning or evening classes cancelled.

They did close down in January 2003 and 2004. The January 2002 event happened while we were on winter break, but I do think the university (admin offices) officially closed then, too. That is all I remember the whole time I was there 2000-2005.

[mspegasus]

During that time our top admins who were responsible for making the decision were northeners.. one was from Canada. So our 1" of snow that paralizes the area was laughable to them.

When I was a student there, they were always the last to close. There were times when TCC, NSU, etc. are closed while ODU was just a delay......morning or evening classes cancelled.

They did close down in January 2003 and 2004. The January 2002 event happened while we were on winter break, but I do think the university (admin offices) officially closed then, too. That is all I remember the whole time I was there 2000-2005.

[Billabong]

GOOD GOD that looks like a SE VA Blizzard! And it was so far east wasn't this expected?

I wouldn't say "blizzard". But it is pretty much all snow for us and would be a fairly significant event if it were to verify.

[WeSuck]

I wouldn't say "blizzard". But it is pretty much all snow for us and would be a fairly significant event if it were to verify.

Hey, we have to use that word when possible around here because 6 inches is like a blizzard here lol. BTW I see Wheeler only changed his map to match the NWS WSW lol. I think that 2-5 is going to extend to the coast the way the models are looking ATM.

[Midlo Snow Maker]

nam showing near white out lol

gives ric 0.56" qpf

Station ID: KRIC Lat:   37.51 Long:  -77.32                                                        
NAM Model Run: 12Z 15DEC 2010
 HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
               Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM
  0 12/15 12Z   15      9     258       7    0.00  0.00    516    529  -13.8 -31.4 1016   0          CLR       0.0   15.1
  3 12/15 15Z   24     13     284      10    0.00  0.00    517    529  -13.3 -31.2 1016   6       009FEW066    0.0   14.9
  6 12/15 18Z   28     14     287      12    0.00  0.00    518    531  -11.6 -32.5 1016   5       034FEW041    0.0   14.9
  9 12/15 21Z   28     17     273      10    0.00  0.00    520    533  -11.1 -30.9 1015   0          CLR       0.0   15.1
 12 12/16 00Z   25     15     256       4    0.00  0.00    522    535  -10.3 -28.5 1016   0          CLR       0.0   14.9
 15 12/16 03Z   23     15     254       4    0.00  0.00    525    538   -8.8 -23.2 1016   7       400FEW414    0.0   15.1
 18 12/16 06Z   22     15     231       3    0.00  0.00    528    540   -8.3 -22.9 1016   2       249FEW287    0.0   14.9
 21 12/16 09Z   21     15     213       3    0.00  0.00    530    542   -7.3 -22.8 1016  34       161SCT294    0.0   14.9
 24 12/16 12Z   23     20     191       4    0.00  0.00    534    545   -5.0 -21.4 1014  66       070BKN279    0.0   14.9
 27 12/16 15Z   26     25     184       6    0.04  0.00    536    547   -5.0 -20.2 1013 100 SN    000OVC264    0.4    0.1
 30 12/16 18Z   28     27     165       7    0.28  0.00    539    546   -5.5 -19.5 1009 100 SN    000OVC235    2.8    0.4
 33 12/16 21Z   30     29     177       4    0.19  0.00    541    547   -3.7 -18.5 1007 100 -SN   000OVC268    1.9    0.5
 36 12/17 00Z   31     30     182       0    0.05  0.00    541    547   -1.2 -18.5 1007 100       034OVC321    0.0   15.6

[WeSuck]

Hey DT, when is your next update on your website going to be?

[Ellinwood]

I do like the map DT drew for the Thursday event.

EDIT: My post got edited, but they didn't fix the context! I fixed it

[Inudaw]

Thursday is looking really nice!

Weekend threat... We'll lets get through with tomorrow. XD

[Portsmouth Weather]

Could you post the link to output the data from the NAM and simple directions if necessary.

I would really appreciate it.

Thanks

nam showing near white out lol

gives ric 0.5

Station ID: KRIC Lat:   37.51 Long:  -77.32                                                        
NAM Model Run: 12Z 15DEC 2010
 HR  2/15 12Z   15      9 	258   	7    0.00  0.00    516    529  -13.8 -31.4 1016   0          CLR   	0.0   15.1
  3 12/15 15Z   24 	13 	284      10    0.00  0.00    517    529  -13.3 -31.2 1016   6   	009FEW066    0.0   14.9
  6 12/15 18Z   28 	14 	287      12    0.00  0.00    518    531  -11.6 -32.5 1016   5   	034FEW041    0.0   14.9
  9 12/15 21Z   28 	17 	273      10    0.00  0.00    520    533  -11.1 -30.9 1015   0          CLR   	0.0   15.1
 12 12/16 00Z   25 	15 	256   	4    0.00  0.00    522    535  -10.3 -28.5 1016   0          CLR   	0.0   14.9
 15 12/16 03Z   23 	15 	254   	4    0.00  0.00    525    538   -8.8 -23.2 1016   7   	400FEW414    0.0   15.1
 18 12/16 06Z   22 	15 	231   	3    0.00  0.00    528    540   -8.3 -22.9 1016   2   	249FEW287    0.0   14.9
 21 12/16 09Z   21 	15 	213   	3    0.00  0.00    530    542   -7.3 -22.8 1016  34   	161SCT294    0.0   14.9
 24 12/16 12Z   23 	20 	191   	4    0.00  0.00    534    545   -5.0 -21.4 1014  66   	070BKN279    0.0   14.9
 27 12/16 15Z   26 	25 	184   	6    0.04  0.00    536    547   -5.0 -20.2 1013 100 SN    000OVC264    0.4    0.1
 30 12/16 18Z   28 	27 	165   	7    0.28  0.00    539    546   -5.5 -19.5 1009 100 SN    000OVC235    2.8    0.4
 33 12/16 21Z   30 	29 	177   	4    0.19  0.00    541    547   -3.7 -18.5 1007 100 -SN   000OVC268    1.9    0.5
 36 12/17 00Z   31 	30 	182   	0    0.05  0.00    541    547   -1.2 -18.5 1007 100   	034OVC321    0.0   15.6

[MidlothianWX]

DT seems to have been spot on with his map yesterday...but what else is new

Anyway, no need to start worrying over the weekend system at this point. As others have pointed out, there are so many features going into this thing that one small change could be the difference between OTS and a major coastal low. Let's hope that piece of energy up north can make its way down here!

[MidlothianWX]

looks ric was changed from 1.0 to 1.1" so i edited it

What a correction!

[Midlo Snow Maker]

Could you post the link to output the data from the NAM and simple directions if necessary.

I would really appreciate it.

Thanks

you can change the airpot code (orf) to whatever station

http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Korf.txt

[WeSuck]

Euro on board for tomorrow's event. If ORF stays all snow looking at 3-5 inches

[Midlo Snow Maker]

12z euro 1st event

qpf

DC -.14"

RIC-.38

Norfolk -.48

BWI-.1

[Portsmouth Weather]

Thank you for the info!

you can change the airpot code (orf) to whatever station

http://68.226.77.253...FC/NAM_Korf.txt

[VAB1]

Just a guess with the 24 hour time steps but I think the Euro is going for virtually all snow even for the coast tomorrow given the 0 line at 850 is barely north of ORF even by 12z Fri. For the weekend, nobody's getting nuttin' per the Euro.

[WeSuck]

Just a guess with the 24 hour time steps but I think the Euro is going for virtually all snow even for the coast tomorrow given the 0 line at 850 is barely north of ORF even by 12z Fri. For the weekend, nobody's getting nuttin' per the Euro.

Yeah tomorrow is going to be fun. And I don't care if we get nothing from the weekend storm as long as up north they get screwed too!

[jlewis1111]

12z euro 1st event

qpf

DC -.14"

RIC-.38

Norfolk -.48

BWI-.1

how much broken down for ric is that snow?

[Midlo Snow Maker]

how much broken down for ric is that snow?

.35 i think

[jlewis1111]

.35 i think

THanks. And how many inches is that

[Ellinwood]

THanks. And how many inches is that

I would say between 1.3" and 7.0"

[Martin]

don slater is a idiot... Inept... a true parrot

the last time he had an original thoiught Nixon was POTUS

Hey don't talk that way about my neighbor jk

[SeanVA]

THanks. And how many inches is that

Snow ratios are pretty much impossible to predict, but I'd guess 10:1 or 12:1 given the temps. That gives between 3.5" and 4.2".