WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 High min. at ORF today 29. Do we have a shot at a new record. It's going to be close, only 24.8 here and I am 5 miles south of ORF. Snowcover might help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I believe warning criteria for AKQ CWA is 4" or more. I guess I should know, but I can't remember what the official time frame, but I believe it maybe 24hrs. They have also issued heavy snow warnings for us, I believe February 11-12, 2006 was the last HSW issued for RIC metro. I don't know if they would ever put C VA under a blizzard warning, but I do know for the March 1993 superstorm the entire I-81 corridor.....all counties along and west of the Blue Ridge were under Blizzard warnings before the event even started. I don't recall a storm 02/11-12 in 2006 for RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 New GFS still looks fine for SE VA although verbatim starts as rain and switches over to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z GFS = excruciating with the weekend event. That wraparound on GFS is a fantasy. On to the GGEM/Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z GFS = excruciating with the weekend event. That wraparound on GFS is a fantasy. On to the GGEM/Euro. Oh I agree, a solution like that verbatim and I am heading to Dover for some gambling, drinking and blizzard... But it is a little suspect solution in my opinion unless GGEM and EURO show something similar. If euro and GGEM hold on to OTS solutions then I will expect this GFS run to be throw out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z GFS for Thursday... I don't recall a storm 02/11-12 in 2006 for RIC. RIC recorded 2.2" it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 LOL at Billabong for trying to make us feel better after the 12Z GFS RAIN STORM by posting Thursday's event.... Although that does look nice for 2-3 inches here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I don't recall a storm 02/11-12 in 2006 for RIC. RIC recorded 2.2" it looks like. It was sort've a bust, but not a really bad one I guess. We were progged to get 4-8" across much of the area, but it was more like 2-5" with heavier snows to the north and northeast of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 It was sort've a bust, but not a really bad one I guess. We were progged to get 4-8" across much of the area, but it was more like 2-5" with heavier snows to the north and northeast of town. Thanks. I have absolutely ZERO memory of this out here in SP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 DT just mentioned FEB 1983 in the 12z model thread for the weekend storm. If we could only get such a storm again as that storm dumped 18" officially at Richmond Airport. 13.3" of that fell in 24 hours. This is tired with January 5, 1980 as the 3rd highest single calendar day snowfall on record for Richmond. Only January 1940 and December 1908 featured higher 24hr totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 LOL at Billabong for trying to make us feel better after the 12Z GFS RAIN STORM by posting Thursday's event.... Although that does look nice for 2-3 inches here Actually, looking at ORF bufkit soundings, it starts off with sleet, quickly changes to rain, and is back to all snow by hour 120 giving us a good 12 hours or so of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 DT just mentioned FEB 1983 in the 12z model thread for the weekend storm. If we could only get such a storm again as that storm dumped 18" officially at Richmond Airport. 13.3" of that fell in 24 hours. This is tired with January 5, 1980 as the 3rd highest single calendar day snowfall on record for Richmond. Only January 1940 and December 1908 featured higher 24hr totals. Sign me up. But, damn, I need to go buy a snowblower in that case, ROFL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sign me up. But, damn, I need to go buy a snowblower in that case, ROFL. We would likely break some old daily snowfall records if the event pans out as depicted on the 12z GFS. Current daily records for snow are.... 12/19 5.8" (1919) 12/20 4.5" (1942) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 guys hold back on amounts for this weekends storm. Thats the kiss of death. Lets get thru Thursdays storm first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 We would likely break some old daily snowfall records if the event pans out as depicted on the 12z GFS. Current daily records for snow are.... 12/19 5.8" (1919) 12/20 4.5" (1942) Would be fun times. Big storms are always fun. But, I'll be honest, unlike McGuirk who, seemingly, only gets excited by a 50" blizzard, I get excited just to see snow falling and accumulating, especially around Christmas. Yesterday morning was fantastic. I didn't have to shovel. I didn't have to do anything except watch it snow. I wish it had accumulated more, sure, but I'm perfectly content with 2-3" storms. If we got to 20" a year with 10 2" storms, I'd be very satisfied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 BTW, I'm not sure if RIC will see 30°F today. In the middle of the day, the temp is struggling to get out of the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 BTW, I'm not sure if RIC will see 30°F today. In the middle of the day, the temp is struggling to get out of the mid 20s. Yeh. It's fooking cold. I might might see 27* today. Currently sitting at 26.6*. To me, this is how winter should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Would be fun times. Big storms are always fun. But, I'll be honest, unlike McGuirk who, seemingly, only gets excited by a 50" blizzard, I get excited just to see snow falling and accumulating, especially around Christmas. Yesterday morning was fantastic. I didn't have to shovel. I didn't have to do anything except watch it snow. I wish it had accumulated more, sure, but I'm perfectly content with 2-3" storms. If we got to 20" a year with 10 2" storms, I'd be very satisfied. It would be wonderful if the 2010s are the twin of the 1960s. The area has had an amazing stretch since March 2009.....maybe blocking episodes similar to the 1960s will prevail for the next 10 years? That will mean a lot more snow for us......and when you look at history, our average comes from long term cycles (20-25 years) when snow levels are high or low. It might be safe to say that we are no longer in a minimum phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 guys hold back on amounts for this weekends storm. Thats the kiss of death. Lets get thru Thursdays storm first been on it since saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z Canadian is a miss for everyone. A blend of the GFS and Canadian would be ideal for HR and RIC would probably still get some good accums. with that. If the Euro comes in with the near miss it's a pretty strong signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 12z Canadian is a miss for everyone. A blend of the GFS and Canadian would be ideal for HR and RIC would probably still get some good accums. with that. If the Euro comes in with the near miss it's a pretty strong signal. Euro looks nice actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 Euro looks nice actually i have not seen anything on qpf amounts for va you know them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 i have not seen anything on qpf amounts for va you know them? I believe I saw tombo say 0.25-0.50.. will double check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 I believe I saw tombo say 0.25-0.50.. will double check i think that was for the first event thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 i think that was for the first event thursday Oh I thought he meant the first event, My bad Midlo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 yep, event num 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 so does anybody have amounts for sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 so does anybody have amounts for sunday? I was referring to first event and then track for 2nd event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 some va. porn to bad the gfs is alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Good Night Irene...that is the definition of weather porn. RIC would freak, then shutdown and then freak some more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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