Martin Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Thursday: A chance of snow before 1pm, then a chance of rain and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. West wind between 8 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Thursday Night: A slight chance of freezing rain and sleet before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 20%. No more mention of rain from our friends at AKQ this morning. Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Oh Dear... http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p60_144m.gif ... 6z gfs.. :x http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_p60_138m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This is going to be a very interesting period. AKQ has snow for both thursday and the weekend. The cold is also noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 ... 6z gfs.. :x http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p60_138m.gif The 6z gfs has the storm too close to the coast for HR, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The 6z gfs has the storm too close to the coast for HR, right? nope. Still snow there also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 As of the 6:54am RIC observation, the official snowdepth was 1 inch. This will go down as the snowdepth for the entire day even if the snow melts later on. So, day #1 for snowcover days this season. For 2009-10 season, RIC had 22 days with a snowdepth of at least 1 inch which was the most since the 1965-66 season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I'm hoping any snow that we do get holds off until at least 2pm Thursday. I have my last exam early Thurs morning and should be on my way down around 10:30am... hoping for a nice dry road. Thursday: A chance of snow before 1pm, then a chance of rain and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. West wind between 8 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Thursday Night: A slight chance of freezing rain and sleet before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 20%. No more mention of rain from our friends at AKQ this morning. Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Does anyone else see the similarities between the storm this weekend and the Dec. 26, 2004 romp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I'm hoping any snow that we do get holds off until at least 2pm Thursday. I have my last exam early Thurs morning and should be on my way down around 10:30am... hoping for a nice dry road. I have 2 exams Thursday...SNOW EARLY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 ... 6z gfs.. :x http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p60_138m.gif That is even better! and 6 hours closer! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Does anyone else see the similarities between the storm this weekend and the Dec. 26, 2004 romp? I am sure someone will post maps but I believe that storm wasn't even progged to bring much precip if I remember correctly. They had rain then flurries then 1-2 inches then 2-4 inches then 4-6 inches+ LOL Greatest surprise storm ever. I think that one was also weaker than what this weekend storm is progged to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Thur storm still looks great for central va per the 12z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_850_054m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Nice little quick thump Thursday morning on the 12z NAM. What a start to the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 It's not Dec. 21st yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 nam doesn't give us a whole lot of qpf, but it won't take much to add up with a cold ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 i see a 2-4 event. What you think midlo thats for ric area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 1-3" or 2 to 4" maybe some 5" spots in danville LYH FVX and ROA areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 the NAM WRF past 60 hrs is a little silly... the 5h over central VA is 558 dm yet it has RIC warming to +5c at 850 mb .... that bpatern does not support especiually with that massive vortex sitting over Maine/new brunswick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 http://www.wxrisk.com/?cat=16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 is this going to be warning criteria for ric? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Not to kiss butt...but it is great to have you posting Dave and dropping some knowledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 http://www.wxrisk.com/?cat=16 damn nice work. my outdoor business just hit a brick wall with this cold and snow sucks to have plenty of work but just can't do it, but i am used to that. mother nature runs my business always has always will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 is this going to be warning criteria for ric? borderline i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 damn nice work. my outdoor business just hit a brick wall with this cold and snow sucks to have plenty of work but just can't do it, but i am used to that. mother nature runs my business always has always will Ditto. I'm in horticulture. At least in my position I have stuff to do in prep for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 damn nice work. my outdoor business just hit a brick wall with this cold and snow sucks to have plenty of work but just can't do it, but i am used to that. mother nature runs my business always has always will Midlo -- what kind of business do you run, out of curiosity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 damn nice work. my outdoor business just hit a brick wall with this cold and snow sucks to have plenty of work but just can't do it, but i am used to that. mother nature runs my business always has always will what line of work do you do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 High min. at ORF today 29. Do we have a shot at a new record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 is this going to be warning criteria for ric? borderline i think I believe warning criteria for AKQ CWA is 4" or more. I guess I should know, but I can't remember what the official time frame, but I believe it maybe 24hrs. They have also issued heavy snow warnings for us, I believe February 11-12, 2006 was the last HSW issued for RIC metro. I don't know if they would ever put C VA under a blizzard warning, but I do know for the March 1993 superstorm the entire I-81 corridor.....all counties along and west of the Blue Ridge were under Blizzard warnings before the event even started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 http://www.wxrisk.com/?cat=16 I like the new product, DT. I'm also glad to see you post! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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