SeanVA Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Just expect rain. Nothing looks right for snow. That's what I'm feeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 On the 0z NAM, is 78 and 84hrs still rain for HR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 the best we can hope for is a strong azz upper low to plow through ric to deliver a little bit of goods, this is a rain, heavy rain to maybe tail end snow that only sticks to my snow pile event. pretty funny how early on we had a hi over NE and now that same hi is hundreds of miles off the coast blocking FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 the best we can hope for is a strong azz upper low to plow through ric to deliver a little bit of goods, this is a rain, heavy rain to maybe tail end snow that only sticks to my snow pile event. pretty funny how early on we had a hi over NE and now that same hi is hundreds of miles off the coast blocking FTL Speak for yourself, my longitude has me balls out all in, FTL most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Speak for yourself, my longitude has me balls out all in, FTL most likely. yea tough spot colder means less precip, more precip means more warmth, i still say someone is going to get clocked that was not supposed to in va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 i thinkthis says it all akq THE TOP 5 GFS BASED CIPS SYSTEM RELATIVE ANALOGS...ONLY FOUR OFWHICH HAVE SNOWFALL DATA WERE ALL INTERIOR STORMS WITH MOST OF THE SNOW CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS. THE ONE EXCEPTION WAS 22-23 JANUARY 1987...WHICH PRODUCED A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW NW OF RICHMOND...AND A TRACE TO AN INCH FROM THE NORTHERN RICHMOND METRO...TO THE NORTHERN NECK...TO THE LOWER MD EASTERN SHORE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sigh a low pressure on top of Hatteras and a new high starting to come into Canada above the lakes.. and we get a driving rain storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Officially 16°F at RIC this morning.....3rd straight day of low to mid teens. Although not particularly unheard of, just indicative of how decent this airmass was, particuarly the evening before last. I was, however, surprised it hit 37°F yesterday afternoon. Meanwhile, BOS hits -2°F this morning....first subzero temperature up there since January 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Noticed a little bit of moisture on the radar this morning. Chance of a few flurries? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 however, surprised it hit 37°F yesterday afternoon. Meanwhile, BOS hits -2°F this morning....first subzero temperature up there since January 2004. i woke up yesterday and akq had us for a hi of 30 at 10am we sky rocketed all the way to 32 i was surprised too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GFS holding with the snow west of 95 from the ULL, it has been that way for a while now. Looks like we may get 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 i have some flurries in midlo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmondsnow Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like West of I-95 could get several hours of heavy, wet backlash snow per 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Flurries in Norfolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 i have some flurries in midlo I have flurries in the city of RIC, near Forest Hill Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 U at odu martin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 flurries here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 flurries downtown RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 KRIC is officially reporting snow. Per the radar, this looks to be short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 KRIC is officially reporting snow. Per the radar, this looks to be short lived. Sun peeking through downtown, no flakes for 10 minutes or so. Oh well, back to building my ark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sun peeking through downtown, no flakes for 10 minutes or so. Oh well, back to building my ark. my poor 15' snow filled yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sun peeking through downtown, no flakes for 10 minutes or so. Oh well, back to building my ark. Not surprising....the back edge was already pushing to the eastend at the time i posted above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 my poor 15' snow filled yard Yeah, you may have to post some before, during and after pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not surprising....the back edge was already pushing to the eastend at the time i posted above. Just enough to freak people out in the office...it doesn't take much. Not our pattern this year but hey, an official White Christmas two years in a row? This one being special...I can take a little bit of this cycle. Holding out hope for early Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 So far, the highest daily maximum temperature for this winter season (DJF) at RIC has been 67°F, which occurred on December 1, 2010. Given that the long range continues to look colder than normal, RIC may be able to continue this streak of non 70°F days. It appers that the current cold regime may persist into early February, potentially through mid month or later. So, we have a shot at finishing the 2010-11 winter season without ANY 70°F days. Since 1897, RIC has averaged 4 days per winter with a temperature of 70°F or higher. Of the 110 winter seasons since 1897, 93 of them featured at least one day with a temperature of 70°F or higher. This corresponds to 85% of all winters having reached 70°F at least once during the season. Since 1930, only 12 winters during the DJF period failed to deliver at least one day 70°F or higher at RIC. (2009-10, 2002-2003, 1986-87,1983-84, 1977-78, 1968-69, 1963-64, 1962-63, 1957-58, 1940-41, 1939-40, 1930-31). Most 70°F occurrences in a winter: 13 days (1975-76) 11 days (1929-30 and 1931-32) Most Consecutive days of 70°F days in a winter: 6 days (December 3-8, 1998) 5 days (February 25-29, 1976) Highest temperature in a winter: 83°F February 11, 1932, February 25, 1930 There have also been some topsy turvy months when extreme warmth and extreme cold took place. Taking a look at the month of January, there have been 14 Januarys since 1950 (2005, 2000, 1997, 1985, 1982, 1976, 1973, 1972, 1970,1968, 1967, 1966, 1962, 1959) that have featured at least one day with a temperature 70°F or greater and a temperature below 10°F on at least one other day during the month. In most cases, the extreme warmth preceded the cold and most often occurred during the first 10 days of the month. The temperature variability in January 1982 is most remarkable because the extremes occurred just several days apart. In January 1982, RIC reached 72°F on the 7th while a low of 4°F and a high of 16°F were observed on the 11th. The following displays the number of winter 70°F days since 1930 when observations for record began at present site RIC Airport. It does not include temperatures from the previous city stations (1897-1929). It would be interesting to see how the rest of the winter unfold and whether or not RIC will meet this criteria. Threshold Exceedance Summary Station: RICHMOND INTL AP State: VA ID: 447201 Latitude: 37.51 degrees Longitude: -77.32 degrees Elevation: 164 feet Station period of record: 01/01/1930-01/23/2011 Thresholds Creation time: 01/24/2011 12:59 EST Element: Max Temperature Units: degF Analysis: Num. of days>=70.0 Season: 12/1 - 2/29 Period of analysis: 1930 - 2011 Column delimiter: tab Rank Value Year Num. Missing 1 0 1930-1931 0 2 11 1931-1932 0 3 7 1932-1933 0 4 3 1933-1934 0 5 2 1934-1935 0 6 2 1935-1936 0 7 6 1936-1937 0 8 5 1937-1938 0 9 4 1938-1939 0 10 0 1939-1940 0 11 0 1940-1941 0 12 1 1941-1942 0 13 7 1942-1943 0 14 4 1943-1944 0 15 2 1944-1945 0 16 2 1945-1946 0 17 5 1946-1947 0 18 4 1947-1948 0 19 7 1948-1949 0 20 9 1949-1950 0 21 10 1950-1951 0 22 6 1951-1952 0 23 1 1952-1953 0 24 6 1953-1954 0 25 1 1954-1955 0 26 3 1955-1956 0 27 8 1956-1957 0 28 0 1957-1958 0 29 4 1958-1959 0 30 2 1959-1960 0 31 6 1960-1961 0 32 4 1961-1962 0 33 0 1962-1963 0 34 0 1963-1964 0 35 4 1964-1965 0 36 1 1965-1966 0 37 10 1966-1967 0 38 4 1967-1968 0 39 0 1968-1969 0 40 1 1969-1970 0 41 3 1970-1971 0 42 8 1971-1972 0 43 3 1972-1973 0 44 8 1973-1974 0 45 6 1974-1975 0 46 13 1975-1976 0 47 5 1976-1977 0 48 0 1977-1978 0 49 4 1978-1979 0 50 2 1979-1980 0 51 5 1980-1981 0 52 2 1981-1982 0 53 7 1982-1983 0 54 0 1983-1984 0 55 10 1984-1985 0 56 3 1985-1986 0 57 0 1986-1987 0 58 3 1987-1988 0 59 7 1988-1989 0 60 6 1989-1990 0 61 8 1990-1991 0 62 5 1991-1992 0 63 2 1992-1993 0 64 2 1993-1994 0 65 6 1994-1995 0 66 2 1995-1996 0 67 7 1996-1997 0 68 2 1997-1998 0 69 10 1998-1999 0 70 6 1999-2000 0 71 1 2000-2001 0 72 9 2001-2002 0 73 0 2002-2003 0 74 4 2003-2004 0 75 10 2004-2005 0 76 1 2005-2006 0 77 7 2006-2007 0 78 10 2007-2008 0 79 6 2008-2009 0 80 0 2009-2010 0 Average 4.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Extended Euro has no storm right now ;x... A nice arctic cold front comes in on the 2nd now... to utter int he what looks to be a LONG cold air mass.... with the way the -NAO builds back in on this run.. it locks the freaking pv in south east Canada toward the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Extended Euro has no storm right now ;x... A nice arctic cold front comes in on the 2nd now... to utter int he what looks to be a LONG cold air mass.... with the way the -NAO builds back in on this run.. it locks the freaking pv in south east Canada toward the end of the run. Do we get a redo on December? I'm talking pattern, not one storm in particular, though I'd like another go at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 So far, the highest daily maximum temperature for this winter season (DJF) at RIC has been 67°F, which occurred on December 1, 2010. 11 days (1929-30 and 1931-32) good stuff ric i was thinking about this stuff too. i wish you would do a thread just on these type of posts you ,they are always interesting if you take out the first and last day of the month (damn timing) our highest would have been 48 do you know what the coldest hi temp for a winter is here $10.00 we hit 70 degrees between hourly obs on feb 28th FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I echo midlo, interesting post even for someone who lives north of Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 spounds like suppression and cold after a massive rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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