MidlothianWX Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 According to the 00z GFS, we should start building our arks now. But then again, we always have the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It certainly does look like a stormy pattern but it's more likely than not going to be rain in the hampton roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 According to every model tonight we should start building our arks now....:arrowhead: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbscott126 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I had a bad feeling that the model runs from yesterday showing the high over Lake Ontario locking in place for the 24/25 storm was too good to be true. Hoping for a positive trend, but it's not looking good. Maybe Weathervswife or CarolineWx can cash in on this one. For RIC and HR, it's probably time to get the galoshes ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 According to every model tonight we should start building our arks now....:arrowhead: Last night actually has me hopeful. When this drifts east like every coastal storm this year has, we'll probably be in a good position for a moderate-heavy event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 ensembles are good for now...and there my faith lies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 My gut tells me west trend. If we had a -NAO I could see an east trend. Just my gut though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I won't make a habit of posting in the MA threads, but be aware gas demand is screaming with the cold coming, and the transporters are reaching capacity. Subject: TCO - Critical Day for Transport Effective Timely Cycle Jan 22-24, 2011 for Specified Market Areas Body: The gas day(s) of January 22 - 24, 2011, will be deemed to be a "Critical Day" for transport in the following market areas: MA 20 Binghamton MA 21 Buena Vista MA 22 Hanover MA 23 Easton MA 24 West Deptford MA 25 Lancaster MA 28 Conowingo MA 29 Downing Town MA 30 Rockville MA 31 Charlottesville MA 33 Richmond MA 34 Norfolk Based on forecasted firm transport requirements, Transporter projects that all available capacity will be required to meet firm service obligations in these market areas. The following daily penalties will apply: Takes in Excess of Total Firm Entitlements (TFE): If Shipper's takes exceed 103 percent of total firm entitlements(TFE), Shipper will be assessed and pay a penalty based on the price per Dth equal to three times the midpoint price reported for "Columbia Gas, Appalachia" as published in Platts Gas Daily for all quantities in excess of TFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 dt saying severe cold coming first week of feb east of the miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 what does the ggem look like midlo. To me looks inland but maybe a tad east from last nights run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 So.. your saying there's a chance... Midlo... what's the BAM Saying! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 In JMA I Trust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like Richmond's official 10 year's w/o a 10" snow storm will live beyond this storm..... and with no end in site in the next week and a half. I do hope this brings in alot of moisture though. Currently surface tracks on the euro ensembles would be one heck of a deluge for the central and eastern Va. Western 1/3rd of Va would get a huge snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Winter Weather AdvisoryURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 343 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2011 ...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST SATURDAY...RESULTING IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS. NCZ095-103-104-220900- /O.NEW.KMHX.WW.Y.0003.110122T1800Z-110123T0300Z/ CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK... NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES 343 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY. * ACCUMULATION: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FROM RODANTHE TO NEWPORT. * TIMING: SNOW WILL BEGIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY AND LINGER INTO EARLY SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ Congrats OBX! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like Richmond's official 10 year's w/o a 10" snow storm will live beyond this storm..... and with no end in site in the next week and a half. I do hope this brings in alot of moisture though. Currently surface tracks on the euro ensembles would be one heck of a deluge for the central and eastern Va. Western 1/3rd of Va would get a huge snow storm. What did RIC record for March 2009? Dec. 2009? Jan. 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 What did RIC record for March 2009? Dec. 2009? Jan. 2010? March 2009: 1st: 4.3" 2nd: 2.0" Total: 6.3" Dec 2009: 18th: 6.0" 19th: 1.4" Total: 7.4" Jan 2010 30th: 9.5" 31st: 0.5" Total 10.0" on the dot. O-o Seems like the last one did some how squeak out 10" ... Don't recall it that high though on the initial report last year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 March 2009: 1st: 4.3" 2nd: 2.0" Total: 6.3" Dec 2009: 18th: 6.0" 19th: 1.4" Total: 7.4" Jan 2010 30th: 9.5" 31st: 0.5" Total 10.0" on the dot. O-o Seems like the last one did some how squeak out 10" ... Don't recall it that high though on the initial report last year... Don't you remember the whole thing with Snow Chill taking pictures of the measurements out by the airport? AKQ sent someone up to confirm and they changed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Don't you remember the whole thing with Snow Chill taking pictures of the measurements out by the airport? AKQ sent someone up to confirm and they changed it. Yea I do remember that but I still thought that after the change it was still below 10" :x The first measurement I thought came in much lower.. at like 7.x something...and was rives to 9.4" ;x maybe that was before the 0.5" XD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 LOL Pick your favorite. (A new feature on Raleigh's model page.. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/18zsnowf114.html Personally I like this one.. Good old p004 ftw.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 March 2009: 1st: 4.3" 2nd: 2.0" Total: 6.3" Dec 2009: 18th: 6.0" 19th: 1.4" Total: 7.4" Jan 2010 30th: 9.5" 31st: 0.5" Total 10.0" on the dot. O-o Seems like the last one did some how squeak out 10" ... Don't recall it that high though on the initial report last year... I know DT keeps saying we haven't had a 10"+ since Jan. 2000, but I could have sworn that Jan. 30th hit that mark. Maybe Anthony can help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Congrats OBX! NW trend all winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Jake, yeah, we did last year. Inudaw, sign me up for that one! How much would it cost? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Jake, yeah, we did last year. Inudaw, sign me up for that one! How much would it cost? How about ...3 years of <2 inch of snow fall for a season (Richmond from 2006 - 2009) ... ;x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Jake, yeah, we did last year. Inudaw, sign me up for that one! How much would it cost? By "we" I actually meant the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Folks, Richmond had a 10" storm last season, period!!! Yes, there was an adjustment, but when all said and done, the January 30-31, 2010 event goes down in history as an official 10" event. Don't believe me? Look at the official NCDC forms. Monthly Dailies RIC JAN 2010.htm Hourly Observations RIC 1-30-2010.htm RIC 1-31-2010.htm It's an official 12 inch event that we are severely lacking. Last time that happened was February 1983 when we got 17.7" at the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Folks, Richmond had a 10" storm last season, period!!! Yes, there was an adjustment, but when all said and done, the January 30-31, 2010 event goes down in history as an official 10" event. Don't believe me? Look at the official NCDC forms. Monthly Dailies RIC JAN 2010.htm Hourly Observations RIC 1-30-2010.htm RIC 1-31-2010.htm It's an official 12 inch event that we are severely lacking. Last time that happened was February 1983 when we got 17.7" at the airport. Thanks for confirming that. All I can say now is at DT's FB comments from Jan. 9th: 1ST CALL MAP-- this is the middle map... there is one more that follows m which will be released Monday midday .. major changes as central VA is cleary in the " least snow possible" are once again. It has now been 10+ years since RIC has had a 10"+ snowfall -- while se va has had 3 of them in the ame 10 years. This is the long time for any major metro area on the entire east coast North of Greensville Spartensburg SC @ MATHEW not actually last winter Richmond got screwed over again... Farmville oanaoke amd Lynchburg and Charlottesville all saw 20 to 30" more snow for the season that Richmond did and all of those locations had snowfalls well over 8 or 10".... in several storms. The city and airport did not get over 8" in any of the event last winter Why does he do that crap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 My prediction: Rain bitches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 My prediction: Rain bitches Classic Coach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Thanks for confirming that. All I can say now is at DT's FB comments from Jan. 9th: Why does he do that crap? b/c RIC does not equal Chester! Dude does have a snow shield over him! DT is one of the best we have......We all wish he were less polarizing, but he actually knows what he is saying (unlike the guys in the DC thread outside of Baroclinic) In western Henrico, I received 12 inches on Jan 30 of last year. THAT was the first storm to break 10 inches since 2000. And, on a final note, I am moving out to Mineral VA within 3 months. That should firmly remove me from the I-95 RIC screw zone. Amazing to think that 40 miles makes a difference, but it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patreeot Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Nice big halo around the moon tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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