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Richmond Metro/ Hampton roads obs/disco winter thread


Midlo Snow Maker

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down in Midlo you guys have easily 3X more than the rest of RIC metro. I have about 4.4 inches at Patterson/Parham.

You have to have more than that. I think you're not measuring all the snow that's fallen this year. I missed out on the majority of the 3" Midlo picked up in the banding the other day and I'm at 7.5". I think you've missed a storm somewhere.

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You have to have more than that. I think you're not measuring all the snow that's fallen this year. I missed out on the majority of the 3" Midlo picked up in the banding the other day and I'm at 7.5". I think you've missed a storm somewhere.

Correct...missed our 1st event back in Dec.

7.0 for me

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final call

storm is striped of moisture 850 0c line comes blowing west probably ends up in louisa some where (climo) ric gets snow at sad rates but beacuse the ground is cold, and initial ratios it will stick from the get go if the ground was warmer this would be a several hours of light snow that woud never stick, and then we ges pingers with rain maybe a brief burst on the back end.

things that are killing us are the surface low in the ohio valley, and the 850 low way out west, late phase job. i can't believe the hook job this storm is about to do with all the snow down south and then up north and va in the screw zone from what looked so good in the long and medium range

but as every storm some one will get a surprise and others will get the shaft

but hey most are above avg for the year can't complain for ric.especially since most thought this would be a torch winter ----BUST

post-4-0-74798200-1294687751.gif

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final call

storm is striped of moisture 850 0c line comes blowing west probably ends up in louisa some where (climo) ric gets snow at sad rates but beacuse the ground is cold, and initial ratios it will stick from the get go if the ground was warmer this would be a several hours of light snow that woud never stick, and then we ges pingers with rain maybe a brief burst on the back end.

things that are killing us are the surface low in the ohio valley, and the 850 low way out west, late phase job. i can't believe the hook job this storm is about to do with all the snow down south and then up north and va in the screw zone from what looked so good in the long and medium range

but as every storm some one will get a surprise and others will get the shaft

but hey most are above avg for the year can't complain for ric.especially since most thought this would be a torch winter ----BUST

I'll take it.

You are probably double what I'm thinking for all of VA except maybe the Northern Neck. Just our luck we get a little bit of snow and then enough freezing drizzle to cause a couple hundred accidents. Probably out of the cards, but a day or two ago one of the gfs runs had BUFKIT showing .25" freezing rain.

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final call

storm is striped of moisture 850 0c line comes blowing west probably ends up in louisa some where (climo) ric gets snow at sad rates but beacuse the ground is cold, and initial ratios it will stick from the get go if the ground was warmer this would be a several hours of light snow that woud never stick, and then we ges pingers with rain maybe a brief burst on the back end.

things that are killing us are the surface low in the ohio valley, and the 850 low way out west, late phase job. i can't believe the hook job this storm is about to do with all the snow down south and then up north and va in the screw zone from what looked so good in the long and medium range

but as every storm some one will get a surprise and others will get the shaft

but hey most are above avg for the year can't complain for ric.especially since most thought this would be a torch winter ----BUST

I don't think we even squeeze out an inch in the metro area. :x

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FWIW: Something rainstorm wanted me to post here...

Going by the assumption that the snow line will stay further south than originally predicted, I could see SE VA getting 1-3"+ before the changeover (and then a little more AFTER the changeover if it happens!)

...the earlier push of -SN from western VA was a bit of a surprise, and it has dissipated recently (due to the drier atmosphere) and could help the atmosphere in reaching the saturation levels it needs to drop stuff to the ground. Nowcasting via the NC/VA radar indicates that SE VA should be in the accumulating snow in about 5 hours... if that SN/+SN band in central NC can hold its ground I could see the 1-3" verifying in SE VA. Unless there is some very traumatizing dry air over SE VA, they'll get hit by accumulating snow.

EDIT to note that the 5 hours call was from about a half/full hour ago...

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FWIW: Something rainstorm wanted me to post here...

Going by the assumption that the snow line will stay further south than originally predicted, I could see SE VA getting 1-3"+ before the changeover (and then a little more AFTER the changeover if it happens!)

...the earlier push of -SN from western VA was a bit of a surprise, and it has dissipated recently (due to the drier atmosphere) and could help the atmosphere in reaching the saturation levels it needs to drop stuff to the ground. Nowcasting via the NC/VA radar indicates that SE VA should be in the accumulating snow in about 5 hours... if that SN/+SN band in central NC can hold its ground I could see the 1-3" verifying in SE VA. Unless there is some very traumatizing dry air over SE VA, they'll get hit by accumulating snow.

we will be hoping this trend continues.

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Some day I hope that someone would hold up a mirror in front of the pot (DC/NOVA) so they stop making fun of the kettle (Philly/NYC) for it's blackness.:rolleyes:

Seriously man. I have been thinking the same thing reading through the Tuesday Snow Thread. I can only imagine why most of the RIC posters stay away from there.

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Unfortunately most of that isn't hitting the ground yet.

This page: http://www.rap.ucar....ce/java_metars/ (or the similar one on aviationweather.gov) shows the METAR reports and you can use these to judge where the actual precip. is falling.

The "actual snowfall" is still just south of Raleigh... may take a bit longer than originally anticipated to make it up here (which doesn't surprise me) :thumbsdown:

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Unfortunately most of that isn't hitting the ground yet.

This page: http://www.rap.ucar....ce/java_metars/ (or the similar one on aviationweather.gov) shows the METAR reports and you can use these to judge where the actual precip. is falling.

The "actual snowfall" is still just south of Raleigh... may take a bit longer than originally anticipated to make it up here (which doesn't surprise me) :thumbsdown:

This is the radar I like to look at: http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php

I can span both my monitors and ALMOST get the entire CONUS visible.

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Can I join you guys? :D

That thread really kills me sometimes... more sensible convo. going on in here.

Ellinwood - you are more than welcome to post in here. I'd take you any day over 90% of the posters over in that other thread. It's tough to navigate through that crap when most of it consists of weenie forecasts and bickering.

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