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MW/GL/OV February 2011 discussion


Hoosier

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Been a while since we've had a March snowbomb. Let's do it.

2002 is the last 6"+ storm for LAF in March. Of course that winter was horrific, only to be "saved" by that event. Going back a little farther, March 1999 and March 1996 both had 6"+ storms. Really, all I want is to get to 50" for the season. I have a feeling we're going to need some luck...

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2002 is the last 6"+ storm for LAF in March. Of course that winter was horrific, only to be "saved" by that event. Going back a little farther, March 1999 and March 1996 both had 6"+ storms. Really, all I want is to get to 50" for the season. I have a feeling we're going to need some luck...

2002 was the huge gradient storm...you go just northwest of here and it was like a foot...pretty impressive for a late March event.

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2002 was the huge gradient storm...you go just northwest of here and it was like a foot...pretty impressive for a late March event.

Wasn't too shabby here either. Depending which COOP you want to believe, 8.0-9.5" in the area...indeed impressive for late March when LAF climo for March storms is rather poor.

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Wasn't too shabby here either. Depending which COOP you want to believe, 8.0-9.5" in the area...indeed impressive for late March when LAF climo for March storms is rather poor.

LAF had some mixing issues IIRC. I wasn't here then but I remember following that event. It was a 2 parter that occurred on the 25th-26th. Here is the radar from the morning of the 26th:

20020326_1300_nowrad.gif

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LAF had some mixing issues IIRC. I wasn't here then but I remember following that event. It was a 2 parter that occurred on the 25th-26th. Here is the radar from the morning of the 26th:

I wasn't here either. Looks like sn and some pl on the 25th and then pl/zr for an hour in the morning of the 26th, before a flip to mod-heavy snow.

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I wasn't here either. Looks like sn and some pl on the 25th and then pl/zr for an hour in the morning of the 26th, before a flip to mod-heavy snow.

Also interesting that it was a cold storm, especially the second part. Temps were in the low to mid 20's for much of it. Don't see that very often that late in the year.

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The fact that there's a storm, and there's the potential for wintry precip is good enough for me at this juncture.

Agreed and if this one is rain, the pattern looks favorable, if I believe the models, principally, the GFS, that there may be storm after storm afterwards.Win lose or draw, it could be a fun pattern.

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The warmth has pushed well into northern MN with 48 in Bemidji and Brainerd and 50 in Aitken. Winona is still showing 52 but the sensor may very well be at the edge of blacktop in full sunshine for all I know, though its numbers yesterday seemed comparable to other areas. The MSP metro is generally in the 44-47 range, not that far from the record of 51.

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Snow pack taking a Ron Jeremy pounding today I suspect... I can't even look outside and refuse to lol.. Full sun, 40's and windy is just about as bad as it gets in my book.. Tomorrow I'll have excepted the meltdown fully and will be able to just shrug it off and look forward to suntanning and ice fishing all week with full mobility of walking or using the SUV instead of only travel with snowmobile... Winter hopefully comes back to at least the north woods late next week where lots of snow will be needed.

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The models and weather forecasters can't handle this pattern... it was supposed to be in the mid 30s today (they did raise the forecast high to low 40s today when it was already like 39 at 9 am), but it's actually in the mid 40s! Like I said all those forecasts that have been printing out upper 40s Thursday and Friday are going to bust. It's going to be well into the 50s or perhaps even 60s.

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Holy crap pretty many 50+ in WI.. I'm surprised its only 43 here... My guess before I just looked was going to be like 46 or higher. was hoping today was going to be closer to the 38 than 42 range MKE was saying.. Full sun and wind ftl on top of it.. Today's overachieving meltdown pretty much ensures a total wipe out of the pack if there was any little weenie hope left of it not.

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The models and weather forecasters can't handle this pattern... it was supposed to be in the mid 30s today (they did raise the forecast high to low 40s today when it was already like 39 at 9 am), but it's actually in the mid 40s! Like I said all those forecasts that have been printing out upper 40s Thursday and Friday are going to bust. It's going to be well into the 50s or perhaps even 60s.

Easy to arm chair met and pat yourself on the back when sitting in your sad troll shoes but the real METS are just not going to go balls to the walls a week in advance even though they know that's probably whats going to happen with temps. AFD'S always start out conservative this far out so its no shock.

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