michsnowfreak Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 I've had a snowpack for over a week and I'm kind of sick of it already. lol Different strokes for different folks. Ive had snowpack since early December (save for a 4-day bare period Jan 1-4) and Im NOWHERE NEAR sick of it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 I enjoy the snowpack as well. The only reason I am happy about this short mid february thaw is because if for some reason we lost all of snowpack in southern and central minnesota all at once this spring the flooding could be very bad potentially. We need to get some of the water out of this snowpack slowly to prevent flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 I've had deep snow pack since early December. Same thing last year... Its something you just live with, although the vast majority can't stand it. I totally understand why so many people take vacations/move away from this area. If you don't have any winter hobbies, then sitting inside can lead to health problems, depression, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Arctic air is still in place near the ground since we're at 8° F, but WAA is well underway aloft and it's kicking off some light snow here. Hopefully we can mix out the Arctic air near the surface by afternoon, at which point we should get well into the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 We bottomed out at 0. Temperatures is already 22 degrees. The warmth is on our doorsteps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Main clipper system has been trending further north the last couple of runs. Looks like I'll have to settle for the bout of WAA snows before the warm front lifts north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 -SN blossoming to my west, should be my last snow before the thaw. -SN falling out here with better returns coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Snowing moderately now, just another example of cold air in place converting a very low precip event into something decent from high ratios. Warming up fast on top of the met building, 12.8° F. I leave for Indiana in 4 hours, so I'll be driving right into the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 I've had deep snow pack since early December. Same thing last year... Its something you just live with, although the vast majority can't stand it. I totally understand why so many people take vacations/move away from this area. If you don't have any winter hobbies, then sitting inside can lead to health problems, depression, etc. yep its just sometihng you learn to live with although for the majority its a major downer as you said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Increasing clouds should limit things from dropping too much more. Yeah we started rising soon after I posted that. Was 15 by 7am, and didn't get another subzero. We've had 11 subzero days here this season. Had light snow and flurries all morning. Decent size flakes, but it's not sticking at all. Should be the last snowflakes for at least a week to ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Main clipper system has been trending further north the last couple of runs. Looks like I'll have to settle for the bout of WAA snows before the warm front lifts north. yeah that trend needs to reverse a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 yeah that trend needs to reverse a bit looks pretty good on your end. Frankly, with the pattern deamplifying out west, there's not much incentive for this clipper to dig. I'm buying the flatter, more northerly track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Up to a balmy 12 at MSP though it's warmer just southwest of the metro nearing 20. A few spots in the sw portion of the state are cracking the freezing mark. This is the first winter in MN that I've started to believe that I will eventually move from the state because of the winters. It's not even the snow that bothers me(day 91? of snowcover here). It's the temperatures here in January and early Feb that just make me cringe every time I step outside. If it were snowy with temps in the upper 20's to 30's, I'd probably be fine with it. I'll take the occasional teens though the teens do feel a lot better after you have been consistently below zero like today. Count me as one of the many(maybe not on this board but pretty much everyone I know in the area) that is hoping for a late Feb and March like last year(no snow greater than a trace after Feb. 14 and no high temperature below freezing after Feb. 26). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 12z GFS has a low temp of 50F here next Friday morning. That would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 12z GFS has a low temp of 50F here next Friday morning. That would be great. Our snow will be gone by then, so I think it's possible we could make a run at 60. Man that's gonna be nice! 12z GFS has 60s riding into southeast Iowa and western Illinois... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 NWS thinks we are going to get donged next week: THE BIGGEST CONCERN FOR NEXT WEEK IS HOW WARM TEMPERATURES WILL GET. THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST MONDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW SETTING UP BEHIND IT. THE 11.00Z ECMWF SUGGEST 850 MB TEMPERATURES COULD WARM TO AROUND 10C FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. 925MB TEMPERATURES COULD BE AROUND 5C OR WARMER FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE CONCERN IS WHETHER THIS WARM AIR ALOFT WILL MAKE IT DOWN TO THE SURFACE AND IF IT DOES HOW MUCH IT WILL BE MODERATED BY THE SNOW PACK. THE GFS BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT AN INVERSION WILL BE IN PLACE ALL NEXT WEEK AND NOT ALLOW ALL THE WARM AIR ALOFT TO REACH THE SURFACE AND FULLY EXPECT THE SNOW TO FURTHER MODERATE THE TEMPERATURES. THUS KEPT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED BUT BECAUSE OF THE WARM AIR ALOFT DID HAVE TO INCLUDE AT THE LEAST THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 If this were May we would be in trouble..its going to get pretty active with a number of systems coming out as we head into late next week, 12z GFS showed a big snow event after 300hrs. Its not going to happen exactly that way but just the fact its showing it getting more active and a good length of time with zonal/sw flow, were going to have to watch both for snow and severe wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 The NWS and local mets are definitely remaining conservative with their temp forecasts next week, although this morning a couple locals are finally getting more aggressive for Wednesday and Thursday with mid to upper 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 The NWS and local mets are definitely remaining conservative with their temp forecasts next week, although this morning a couple locals are finally getting more aggressive for Wednesday and Thursday with mid to upper 40s. Ya I would assume they would wait and bit as we get closer and also see how the warmth and snowpack battle it out in the low levels. inversion city, here we come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 The NWS and local mets are definitely remaining conservative with their temp forecasts next week, although this morning a couple locals are finally getting more aggressive for Wednesday and Thursday with mid to upper 40s. Yeah they typically stay conservative until the WAA is well underway it seems. The combination of an increasing sun angle, and more importantly mild nights should melt the snow pretty quickly I think. I think we'll see 50s up to the I-80 corridor as early as Wed. By the time the strongest WAA arrives next Friday much of the corn belt will be completely snow free. If things work out as well as they look now I wouldn't be surprised to see Keokuk come in with a 67 or 68 next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 If one of you guys with access to EURO qpf have a moment, could you check for me what it spits out for YYZ through 0z Tuesday. I'll owe you one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 If one of you guys with access to EURO qpf have a moment, could you check for me what it spits out for YYZ through 0z Tuesday. I'll owe you one. 0.10 QPF spread out over 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 0.10 QPF spread out over 2 days. lolz, even drier than the NAM. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Yeah they typically stay conservative until the WAA is well underway it seems. The combination of an increasing sun angle, and more importantly mild nights should melt the snow pretty quickly I think. I think we'll see 50s up to the I-80 corridor as early as Wed. By the time the strongest WAA arrives next Friday much of the corn belt will be completely snow free. If things work out as well as they look now I wouldn't be surprised to see Keokuk come in with a 67 or 68 next Friday. Hopefully the Euro has the timing right. At 12z Friday the GFS has the surface low over central Iowa and through here by midday so we can't get much warmer than the morning low of 50, but the Euro has the low still in Nebraska so this area would get full heating Friday afternoon before the low/front passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Different strokes for different folks. Ive had snowpack since early December (save for a 4-day bare period Jan 1-4) and Im NOWHERE NEAR sick of it! yeah, it was the most snow I've ever seen though. I'll always remember it, but the first 3 days were like "This is awesome" and by day 4, I was like.. ok it can start melting... Not really ready for Spring so kind of hoping we see another big snowstorm in March down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 18zGFS seems to have made a jump towards the euro for the end of next week system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 GFS has been pretty consistent in showing a storm between 216 and 240, after the first round of warmth has moved off to the east. The question will be whether -NAO emerges and helps lock that new batch of cold air in place as the system approaches, or whether the Pacific is dominant and the storm cuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Up to 30 right now and calm now. Feels more like 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Weird...temp has climbed tonite... was 24F when I went for a run just a few hours ago and now its 28F... Niceness.. I need a cold one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Weird...temp has climbed tonite... was 24F when I went for a run just a few hours ago and now its 28F... Niceness.. I need a cold one. WAA. Mid 30's into E. Iowa now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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