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While some up north have a shot at a decent, final round of snow, for most of the forum winter weather is finished...For me, it was finished in mid-February, as the season went out with a bang, pounding me with an entire 1"...I think from a cold squall line. The grades (all items are equally weighted) Overall Seasonal Snowfall: F Picking up where I left off last season, I ended up with another meager, seasonal total...15", which was only 4" more than last winter's disaster. Snow vs. Rain: F Rain was king Staying power/ (number of days) of pack: D- What little "Pack" that I had did manage to hang around a bit. Local winter enjoyment: F Temperature: C Cold was there, but just not at the right time. Snowstorms/ events (quality/ quantity): F My biggest event was under 6"...Not even nude-worthy. Overall Grade: F Again, a failure of a season, my second full year at Lava Lake, but I'm sure the "so much potential" crew will chime in. -
Well let's clear up the long range thread and chase some flakes! High res suite at 18z looks good for the typical NW flow areas. I fully expect to see some flakes break containment across the valley. this is unlikely but the HRRR has a full on meso-low snow squall rolling through.
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Since winter weather is finished for most on the forum (for many it was finished in mid-January), with the exception for places like Moose Knuckle, Maine, Deer Toe, Vermont, and Bear Claw, NH, it’s time to recap. The grades (all items are equally weighted) Overall Seasonal Snowfall: F (farce) With a paltry 11” total for the season I didn’t even come close to my seasonal average. This is the first time in my life that I have lived in an area that received less than a foot of snow for a season. This includes 4 winters in the mid-Atlantic, and 5 winters in R.I. Snow vs. Rain: F (futility) There were so many rain events I lost count. Staying power/ (number of days) of pack: F (forlorn) Pack? Pack my bags and moving to the Sierra Nevada’s for winter next winter…or possibly next week to capitalize on what continues to be a beyond epic winter for that region. Local winter enjoyment: F (foolish) Cold days with zero walkable ice on the lake, and now on the ground made for a miserable depressing, brown landscape of death and despair. Temperature: C There were plenty of cold days, but with bad system timing, and atmospheric dynamics (is such even a thing?), any cold was pretty much useless. Snowstorms/ events (quality/ quantity): F (feeble) 2 events brought about 4” each (mid dec, and late feb). Big fu.cking deal. Overall Grade: F (f.uck you winter 22/23) The pros here will say that there was so much potential…I say, fuc.k potential. It’s all about results. Potential is like hiring the fresh-out-of-school kid because the hiring team sees so much potential in him, By the time his 90-day probationary period is over they find out that he was hanging out at his desk watching gamer girls on Twich play video games in hot tubs, and goat porn most of the time. But it’s too late because the days, weeks, and months were lost, having zero production.
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Here are a few winter outlooks. Feel free to add any others or your own thoughts https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/us-winter-outlook-warmer-drier-south-with-ongoing-la-nina This year La Niña returns for the third consecutive winter, driving warmer-than-average temperatures for the Southwest and along the Gulf Coast and eastern seaboard, according to NOAA’s U.S. Winter Outlook released today by the Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service. Starting in December 2022 through February 2023, NOAA predicts drier-than-average conditions across the South with wetter-than-average conditions for areas of the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes, northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest.
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Figured we can keep the main topic clean and talk about the weekend here. 18Z NAM tilted our trough much more neutral vs positive which is really helping to stack up significant qpf across the NW prone regions. Every tick more neutral will add to totals quietly. Even a good bit of moisture up to 700mb now. RGEM is on board as well. High mountains should see 6+ easily in a setup like this. Should see some thunder as well with temps in the upper 60s, DPs in the upper 50s, and Cape into the 500 range. Exciting weekend ahead!
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Because it’s never too early to be wrong Farmer’s Almanac
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Hi everyone, Thought I’d create a catch-all thread to post, and discuss, some of the most significant winter storms to affect the Southeast U.S. states. With that in mind, I intend to share details regarding many of the historic snow storms that have battered the SE…dating as far back as the 19th century. Moreover, I look forward to reading first-hand accounts of the most memorable events you’ve experienced, first-hand.
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Welcome to a place for weenies to share snow maps and fantasy storms that will never happen... unless they do, of course. Renew those model subscriptions and get to obsessively tracking those storms that are 16 days out. They say the big ones lock in early... Kicking us off for the season is a nice little run of the 00z EPS control. Still room for this to trend better!
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Ok fellas lets see if this season can be any better than the last few! Currently there are signs we may actually see some fall weather in September. Best of luck to all and hopefully we will all have a snow cold winter!
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Not much to really say here. This winter was an abysmal wet mess, best to be forgotten. The grades (all items are equally weighted) Overall Seasonal Snowfall: F Well under average snow fell. This may have been my worst snowfall ever in any of the places I have lived (Albany, NY area, Lake George area, Bristol, R.I., Washington DC, Arlington, VA, Boston, Ma, Stoughton, MA, Brooklyn, CT) . I don't think I have ever had a winter season where the snow total was less than half of the average. Even the 2011/2012 had more snow. Snow vs. Rain: D+ Such an ongoing sh.itty set up for my area from January onward, and it seemed to just repeat itself all season. Cold rain was king. Staying power of the pack: F Pack? Local winter enjoyment: D- Limited hikes(w/ snow) hikes or snow, and zero snow shoeing hikes. Temperature: D Snow Storm Quality: C- Only one "memorable" event was the first event of the season, December 1-3. There were ZERO double digit events. Overall Grade: F The Vid took my mind off of the later part of the season, but even a late blooming April event couldn't save what was a complete and utter dead rat of a winter. On to the upcoming 2020/2021, Winter of Mask
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Winter of 2019-20 IN PICTURES - Southeast Michigan
michsnowfreak posted a topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ive been doing this 2003 on weather boards. In the boards hey day it was quite a popular post lol. I still like to do one every year. Winter 2019-20 saw 43.8" of snow imby. DTW had 43.7". After Detroit saw the largest November snowstorm on record, the earliest single digit temp on record, and the 13th coldest November on record, we followed with the 9th warmest winter on record, and then frequent snow and near record cold in mid-late April and again, of all things, in early-mid May. Overall a winter of frustration but not without several good snowstorms and in the end, average snowfall. Three decent storms hit (8.8", 7.0", and 5.7") and much of the seasons snow had a high water content, with the only true period of fluffy snow being in early Feb. October 2019 - Trace of snow Wind-driven rain turned to snow Halloween night, with no accumulation. November 2019 - 9.1" of snow The first half of Nov was the 2nd coldest on record, behind only 1880, and saw a 9.2" snowstorm on Nov 11-12 become the largest Nov snowstorm on record for Detroit (old record 9.0"). I saw 8.8" with that storm. The scenes were surreal with some trees clinging to late color. A record low of 7F on the 13th was the earliest single digit low on record, and a solid blanket of snow remained on the ground for 9 days, fully melting on the 12th day. 11-7-19 heavy snow squalls drop 0.2", the first measurable snow of the season 11-11-19 heavy snow drops an unprecedented amount of snow for so early in the season 11-12-19 - beautiful scenes and record cold follow snowstorm which dumped 8.8" of snow imby and 9.2" at Detroit, 11-14-19 a light dusting of snow falls but the deep winter wonderland is still in place with record mid-Nov cold 11-16-19 still plenty of snow in place for the Wyandotte Christmas parade. The ground would go bare Nov 21.
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Looking into getting a home weather station. I would like to have solar power too. thanks for any ideas.
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Actually, this is more of a test image. Just checking out the system, timing, ease of use, etc.© Stormitecture, Jason Foster
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A warm front associated with the next system out west will cross the area Sunday night/Monday. The associated precipitation is expected to be very light ... with well under 0.25" very likely. Cold air at the surface looks marginal, with upper 20s at the lowest and with southerly flow around high pressure to the East, that will be kicked out fairly quickly IMO. Any precipitation that does fall will be in the form of sleet and freezing rain initially, with precipitation after roughly 13z likely falling as just plain rain. Soundings are also hinting at some dryness around/below h85, so that may end up being a limiting factor early on (when the ice threat is). I wouldn't expect too much from this event ... though given the potential for freezing rain early in the event, many of us may get a freezing rain/winter wx advisory out of it. This would be for elevated surfaces primarily, 80% of the roads should be fine. Sorry guys, not feeling this one. Out west though across the MS River Valley/parts of the deep south could get interesting on the severe weather side of things ... maybe even a few 'naders! 12z GFS for early Monday morning: Sterling, VA GFS Sounding: KSHD (Staunton/Harrisonburg, VA) GFS Sounding:
