I've added the Wednesday afternoon update from SPC. My focus is basically along the warm front-triple point wherever that traverses. CAPE and wind field/shear is good enough for iso SVR up to I84 late Thu afternoon-evening but I'm thinking more favorable zone is near and south of I78 in NJ-PA. Nevertheless, started a thread due to SPC outlooks, some of modeling dumping 1.5-2" of rain in 6 hours especially in se NYS/n NJ and ne PA. I won't be able to comment much of this thread period so just stay with it patiently and keep up to date on SPC outlooks, NWS Watch/warning/stmts and of course the radar with your observed trends.
Never know, there might be a later trend further North into NYS/CT. 12z/28 EC wind algorithm pegs s CT/LI with 40-50kt.