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Showing results for tags 'snow?'.
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A fall to remember? Post your obs and discussion here.
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I'll try to kick this off with an image from England in the 1300s: I'm hoping that's Boreas blowing in some cold winds under a storm cloud in the top right corner.
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Another significant weather event is headed our way, about 7-8 days after the last. By the time the first day of winter officially starts, we may see a little snow or ice for the interior and substantial rainfall that could prompt flood and coastal flood statements for our area. Sunday-Thursday "potential pair" of wet events that could eventually change to ice or wet snow, especially I84 elevations Tuesday-Wednesday. Substantial rainfall is outlooked... probably at least an inch for virtually the entire NYC subforum and possibly """isolated 6"""" worst case. Not saying 6" will occur but it's in some of the advance modeling and it could end up over the fish. Persistent northeast winds for possibly up to 4-5 days could be a coastal flood problem. A disturbance in the southwest USA today-Wednesday 12/13 migrates east, ingesting short waves from the northern stream and a juicy one out of the Gulf of Mexico. Then it apparently plods northeast along the east coast. How close the upper low comes up here before fading east is with the traditional uncertainty and TBD, but it will be interesting to monitor. There could be a significant banding signal well to the northwest of the upper low and if that upper low holds together longer and eventually makes it up to the south of LI by the start of winter., it will have produced quite bit of impact here. That is still very uncertain and not a lock. Modeling seen through 06z/13: EC-EPS is basically one and done by late Tuesday, but it even flags interior snowfall, the GEFS is most robust for wintry weather and the CMCE, a slightly warmer model, also has some wintry stuff a little further north of I84. All ensembles agree on accumulations Adirondacks. This is another El Niño event, that is particularly juicy (see FL coast pressure intensity), and has a noticeable RRQ of the upper jet near the Canadian Maritimes (southern-northern stream merge) to assist upward motion. Will there be two events next week? or just one centered on Monday? Title update 6AM Saturday from the original that follows: added Damaging gusts LI/CT. A single or pair of nor'easters Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - Thu evening Dec 21. Potential: flooding rain I95 corridor, persistent gusty ne wind driven tidal flooding episodes next week, change to ice or snow interior elevations by Tue morning.- 489 replies
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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Will the -NAO save winter? Will Hoffman get his 1"? Will we be wearing bikinis for Xmas?
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Since winter weather is finished for most on the forum (for many it was finished in mid-January), with the exception for places like Moose Knuckle, Maine, Deer Toe, Vermont, and Bear Claw, NH, it’s time to recap. The grades (all items are equally weighted) Overall Seasonal Snowfall: F (farce) With a paltry 11” total for the season I didn’t even come close to my seasonal average. This is the first time in my life that I have lived in an area that received less than a foot of snow for a season. This includes 4 winters in the mid-Atlantic, and 5 winters in R.I. Snow vs. Rain: F (futility) There were so many rain events I lost count. Staying power/ (number of days) of pack: F (forlorn) Pack? Pack my bags and moving to the Sierra Nevada’s for winter next winter…or possibly next week to capitalize on what continues to be a beyond epic winter for that region. Local winter enjoyment: F (foolish) Cold days with zero walkable ice on the lake, and now on the ground made for a miserable depressing, brown landscape of death and despair. Temperature: C There were plenty of cold days, but with bad system timing, and atmospheric dynamics (is such even a thing?), any cold was pretty much useless. Snowstorms/ events (quality/ quantity): F (feeble) 2 events brought about 4” each (mid dec, and late feb). Big fu.cking deal. Overall Grade: F (f.uck you winter 22/23) The pros here will say that there was so much potential…I say, fuc.k potential. It’s all about results. Potential is like hiring the fresh-out-of-school kid because the hiring team sees so much potential in him, By the time his 90-day probationary period is over they find out that he was hanging out at his desk watching gamer girls on Twich play video games in hot tubs, and goat porn most of the time. But it’s too late because the days, weeks, and months were lost, having zero production.- 64 replies
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Disclaimer: me starting this thread doesn't mean I think It's Happening. Ron Paul is asleep in his basement.
